Aqua Corporation (AQUA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 628M THB
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +10.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 127% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (0.1000 THB to 0.3900 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0900 THB – 0.8000 THB · fair‑value band 0.1000 THB – 0.3900 THB · the 0.1100 THB price screens below the 0.2500 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Aqua Corporation (AQUA) currently trades at 0.1100 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2500 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 127.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 1.0B THB. It earns a return on equity of -21.8%. Net debt stands at 1.9B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.1000 THB (bear case) to 0.3900 THB (bull case); at 0.1100 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 127%, AQUA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.4800 THB) versus DCF Models (0.1200 THB). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aqua Corporation Public Company Limited provides real estate and warehouse rental services in Thailand. The company operates through Investment in Other Companies; Property for Rent and Service; Restaurant Business; and Health Rehabilitation Facility segments. It also engages in the restaurant business; and provision of transportation services.
Full company description
Aqua Corporation Public Company Limited provides real estate and warehouse rental services in Thailand. The company operates through Investment in Other Companies; Property for Rent and Service; Restaurant Business; and Health Rehabilitation Facility segments. It also engages in the restaurant business; and provision of transportation services. In addition, the company invests in other companies and the restaurant business. The company was formerly known as P Plus P Public Company Limited and changed its name to Aqua Corporation Public Company Limited in April 2012. Aqua Corporation Public Company Limited was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aqua Corporation reported revenue of 1.0B THB in FY2025 versus 807M THB in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was −1.1B THB in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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