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Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings $0.47, price $0.45, upside +4.4%, quality 16 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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AM
Thin data
Sep 23, 2026
Thin data
Sep 23, 2026
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings
ARGGY · USLow PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.
·Fair value $0.4700 · Fairly valued (+4.4%)
!Quality 16/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +15.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -36.8% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.4070 – $13.64 · the $0.4500 price screens below the $0.4700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Company profile
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc engages in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of sports cars and sports utility vehicles(SUVs) in the United Kingdom, the United States, the Middle East, Africa, rest of Europe, and the Asia Pacific.
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Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc engages in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of sports cars and sports utility vehicles(SUVs) in the United Kingdom, the United States, the Middle East, Africa, rest of Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company also engages in the sale of parts; sale of vehicles; servicing and restoration of vehicles; and brand licensing and motorsport activities. In addition, it provides engineering, and sales and marketing services. The company sells its vehicles through a network of dealers. Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Gaydon, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY) currently trades at $0.4500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4700, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.3%).
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 16/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings reported revenue of £1.2B in FY2025 versus £1.1B in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was −£482M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $556M · P/S ratio 0.43 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6400 · Net margin −39.2% · Return on equity −91.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.3% · Operating margin −3.3% · Revenue (TTM) £1.3B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 4%, ARGGY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA
n/a
$0.2200
$0.6900
62
NCAV (Graham)
$0.2100
$0.2800
$0.4100
54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA
n/a
$0.2200
$0.6900
62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.2100
$0.2800
$0.4100
54
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
16/100
Of which business quality 15 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10
Profitability
5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
4
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
1
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
10
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
38/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
’14
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−52.8% (2020) → −17.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
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Compare Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 102 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla, Inc TSLA | $354.81 | $40.97 | −88% |
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $183.10 | $211.47 | +15% |
| BYD Company 002594 | ¥83.31 | ¥61.43 | −26% |
| General Motors Company GM | $77.00 | $60.53 | −21% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | $392.85 | $432.14 | +10% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 353,500 KRW | 362,081 KRW | +2% |
| Ford Motor Company F | $12.27 | $12.59 | +3% |
| Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 | €43.00 | €22.09 | −49% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group MBG | €39.73 | €106.67 | +169% |
| Honda Motor Co HMC | $31.62 | $20.31 | −36% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4700 versus a price of $0.4500, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ARGGY?
Our model-based fair value for Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings is $0.4700 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.4500.
What is the quality score of ARGGY?
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings has a Quality Score of 16/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4700 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4700, about +4% upside versus a price of $0.4500 (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY)?
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £1.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings it is $0.4700 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.4500. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ARGGY trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.4500, fair value $0.4700, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARGGY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.4500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4700). For Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings the two are $0.0200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings worth?
The market values Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings at about $556M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.4500; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4700 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −91.1%, debt of 4.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 16/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARGGY from its 52-week high?
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings trades at $0.4500, about 59% below its 52-week high of $1.10 and 11% above the low of $0.4070 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, General Motors Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.4500, calculated fair value $0.4700 (+4%), Quality Score 16/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARGGY calculated?
We run Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.4500. Our model-based fair value is $0.4700, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY)?
The market capitalisation of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings is $556M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings is 0.43 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY)?
Earnings per share at Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings are $−0.6400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY)?
The net margin of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings is −39.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings is −91.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings is −4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY)?
The operating margin of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings is −3.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY)?
Revenue at Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings is growing +15.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY) generate?
The free cash flow of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings is −£134M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (ARGGY) carry?
The net debt of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings is £1.4B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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