Arhaus Inc (ARHS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arhaus Inc stock $9.74, price $14.19, that is 31.4% below the price, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.12 – $18.76 · fair‑value band $6.43 – $12.67 · the $14.19 price screens above the $9.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Arhaus, Inc. operates as a premium retailer in the home furnishings market in the United States.
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The company offers bedroom, dining room, and living room, as well as home office furnishings, including sofas, dining tables and chairs, accent chairs, console and coffee tables, beds, headboards, dressers, desks, bookcases, modular storage, and other items; and outdoor products, such as outdoor dining tables, chairs, chaises and other furniture, lighting, textiles, décor, umbrellas, and fire pits.
It also provides bath product assortment comprising vanities and storage pieces, faucets and hardware, and Turkish bath towels; lighting fixtures, including chandeliers, pendants, table and floor lamps, and sconces; indoor and outdoor rugs, bed linens, and pillows and throws; and décor products, such as wall art, mirrors, vases, candles, and other decorative accessories.
The company distributes its products through an omni-channel model comprising showrooms, ecommerce, catalogs and digital media, interior designer services, trade services, and client engagement. Arhaus, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Boston Heights, Ohio.
Stock analysis
Arhaus Inc (ARHS) currently trades at $14.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.74, 31% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.08 per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the $14.19 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.92, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.43 (bear) to $12.67 (bull), the price of $14.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Arhaus Inc reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $797M in FY2021, a compound +14.7%/yr. Reported net income was $67.3M in FY2025, compounding +33.6%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $2.0B Mid · P/E ratio 28.1 · P/S ratio 1.43 · EPS (TTM) $0.4600 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 17.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 147% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −31%, ARHS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$6.43Fair Value $9.74Bull$12.67
Price $14.19 · Downside -31.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3932 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors sold shares worth $1.9M and none bought.
SaleJohn P ReedCEO and Chairman, Director, 10% owner147,431 shares at $12.63$1.9MNov 4, 202610b5-1 plan
Sale2018 Reed Dynasty Trust10% owner127,965 shares at $12.63$1.6MNov 4, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleAlton F Doody IIIDirector3,500 shares at $8.47$29,645Sep 8, 2026
Plus 13 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+25.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+25.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 6%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.4% a year for the price and +3.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 203 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Below median
Fair Value upside−31.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)17.3% · Above median
Return on assets4.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)4.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)7.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)7.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arhaus Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARHS
Frequently asked questions
Is Arhaus Inc (ARHS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.74 versus a price of $14.19, about 31% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARHS?
Our model-based fair value for Arhaus Inc is $9.74 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $14.19.
What is the quality score of ARHS?
Arhaus Inc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.74 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.43, optimistic scenario $12.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arhaus Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.74, about 31% lower versus a price of $14.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $6.43, optimistic scenario $12.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
Arhaus Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Arhaus Inc pay a dividend?
Arhaus Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 0.02% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
Arhaus Inc has a dividend yield of 0.0%.
What growth is priced into Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Arhaus Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +27.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +22.1 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ARHS use?
Our models discount Arhaus Inc at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 2.25, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Arhaus Inc that is +27.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Arhaus Inc (ARHS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Arhaus Inc grew +22.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +27.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Arhaus Inc (ARHS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Arhaus Inc (+27.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.93 %: that much free cash flow Arhaus Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arhaus Inc it is $9.74 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $14.19. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Arhaus Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, ARHS trades above its calculated fair value: price $14.19, fair value $9.74, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARHS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($14.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.74). For Arhaus Inc the two are $4.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arhaus Inc worth?
The market values Arhaus Inc at about $2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $14.19; our models calculate a fair value of $9.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARHS?
Our models span a range for Arhaus Inc: cautious scenario $6.43, base $9.74, optimistic $12.67 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $14.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ARHS?
Arhaus Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.1 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $9.74 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2021 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 19.3. Other multiples: P/B 4.8, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 15.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arhaus Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 17.3%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARHS from its 52-week high?
Arhaus Inc trades at $14.19, at its 52-week high of $14.19 and 147% above the low of $5.75 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arhaus Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arhaus Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $14.19, calculated fair value $9.74 (−31%), Quality Score 54/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARHS calculated?
We run Arhaus Inc through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $9.74 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Arhaus Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $14.19. Our model-based fair value is $9.74, about 31% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arhaus Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($12.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($6.43 to $12.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Arhaus Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
The market capitalisation of Arhaus Inc is $2.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arhaus Inc is 1.43 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
Earnings per share at Arhaus Inc are $0.4600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
The dividend yield of Arhaus Inc is 0.0% (payout 0.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
The net margin of Arhaus Inc is 4.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arhaus Inc is 17.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arhaus Inc is 10.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
The operating margin of Arhaus Inc is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
Revenue at Arhaus Inc is growing +7.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arhaus Inc (ARHS)?
Earnings per share at Arhaus Inc are growing +12.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Arhaus Inc (ARHS) carry?
The net debt of Arhaus Inc is $327M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026