Aries Agro Limited (ARIES) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹4.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from ₹560.21 to ₹299.08 (−46.6%) since Jun 29, 2026. Share price +14.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹386.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹162.35 to ₹386.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹77.86 – ₹435.62 · fair‑value band ₹162.35 – ₹386.55 · the ₹397.35 price screens above the ₹299.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Aries Agro Limited (ARIES) currently trades at ₹397.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹299.08, implying the stock looks roughly 24.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Aries Agro Limited generated revenue of ₹7.4B at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue grew 41.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.4%. Net debt stands at ₹261M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹162.35 (bear case) to ₹386.55 (bull case); at ₹397.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -25%, ARIES screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹614.77) versus Dividend Discount (₹18.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aries Agro Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and supply of micronutrients and other nutritional products for plants and animals.
Full company description
Aries Agro Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and supply of micronutrients and other nutritional products for plants and animals. It offers plant protection, aqua culture and animal nutrition, water soluble NPK, organic and bio, high density input, crop specific, slow-release fertilizer pastilles, and other products, as well as nutrients for urban farms and gardens. The company also manufactures and sells chilly and spices, millets, teamin, soymin, coffeemin, maize, cotton, paddy, and betel vine special products; aries pro " calcium chloride products; farm equipment and machinery; and mineral feed supplements. In addition, it provides hydroponics and consultancy services. Aries Agro Limited operates in India, Nepal, Brazil, the Philippines, the United Arab Emirates, Taiwan, Australia, Nigeria, New Zealand, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Aries Agro Limited reported revenue of ₹7.5B in FY2026 versus ₹4.3B in FY2022, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹429M in FY2026, compounding +34.0%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +9.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ARIES screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →
Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 178 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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