Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arkade Developers Ltd stock ₹24.85, price ₹110, that is 77.5% below the price, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
25‑month range ₹94.83 – ₹207.74 · fair‑value band ₹22.68 – ₹27.86 · the ₹110.37 price screens above the ₹24.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
Follow Arkade Developers in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Arkade Developers is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Arkade Developers Limited operates as a real estate development company in India. It is involved in the development/construction of residential premises on acquired land; greenfield development and redevelopment of existing premises; and identification, acquisition of land.
Show moreShow less
The company also plans, executes, constructs, and markets commercial and residential projects. In addition, it has projects in Mumbai and Thane in Maharashtra, India. Arkade Developers Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE) currently trades at ₹110.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹24.85, 77% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹129.46 per share, and 3 of the 9 models we run sit above the ₹110.37 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹24.85, and 6 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹22.68 (bear) to ₹27.86 (bull), the price of ₹110.37 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Arkade Developers Ltd reported revenue of ₹8.3B in FY2026 versus ₹2.2B in FY2022, a compound +38.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹53.8M in FY2026, compounding −42.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹20.5B (≈ $218M) Micro · P/S ratio 2.52 · EPS (TTM) ₹−0.2300 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity 0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 16.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −77%, ARKADE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear₹22.68Fair Value ₹24.85Bull₹27.86
Price ₹110.37 · Downside -77.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+55.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+30.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+30.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 30%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 491 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−77.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.6% · Below median
Return on assets0.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−0.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)16.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−7.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.32× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)2.55× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA11.6× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 67
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)2· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)4· sector 60
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹24.85 versus a price of ₹110.37, about 77% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARKADE?
Our model-based fair value for Arkade Developers Ltd is ₹24.85 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹110.37.
What is the quality score of ARKADE?
Arkade Developers Ltd has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹24.85 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹22.68, optimistic scenario ₹27.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arkade Developers Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹24.85, about 77% lower versus a price of ₹110.37 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹22.68, optimistic scenario ₹27.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Arkade Developers Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹8.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Arkade Developers Ltd pay a dividend?
Arkade Developers Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.18% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Arkade Developers Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.2%.
What is the intrinsic value of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arkade Developers Ltd it is ₹24.85 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ₹110.37. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Arkade Developers Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, ARKADE trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹110.37, fair value ₹24.85, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARKADE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹110.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹24.85). For Arkade Developers Ltd the two are ₹85.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arkade Developers Ltd worth?
The market values Arkade Developers Ltd at about ₹20.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ₹110.37; our models calculate a fair value of ₹24.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARKADE?
Our models span a range for Arkade Developers Ltd: cautious scenario ₹22.68, base ₹24.85, optimistic ₹27.86 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ₹110.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arkade Developers Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 0.6%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARKADE from its 52-week high?
Arkade Developers Ltd trades at ₹110.37, about 34% below its 52-week high of ₹167.50 and 16% above the low of ₹94.83 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹24.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arkade Developers Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arkade Developers Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ₹110.37, calculated fair value ₹24.85 (−77%), Quality Score 33/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARKADE calculated?
We run Arkade Developers Ltd through 9 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹24.85 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Arkade Developers Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ₹110.37. Our model-based fair value is ₹24.85, about 77% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arkade Developers Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹27.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Arkade Developers Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The market capitalisation of Arkade Developers Ltd is ₹20.5B (≈ $218M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arkade Developers Ltd is 2.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Earnings per share at Arkade Developers Ltd are ₹−0.2300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The dividend yield of Arkade Developers Ltd is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The net margin of Arkade Developers Ltd is −0.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arkade Developers Ltd is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arkade Developers Ltd is 17.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The operating margin of Arkade Developers Ltd is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Revenue at Arkade Developers Ltd is growing −7.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +55.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Earnings per share at Arkade Developers Ltd are growing −33.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE) generate?
The free cash flow of Arkade Developers Ltd is −₹1.5B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE) carry?
The net debt of Arkade Developers Ltd is ₹753M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Arkade Developers Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Arkade Developers Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Some data
Nov 7, 2026