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Arkade Developers Limited (ARKADE) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · IN · Market cap ₹22.9B

AD Arkade Developers Limited ARKADE · NSE
Price₹129.66
Fair Value₹129.46
Upside-0.2%
Quality35/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range ₹89.40 – ₹169.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price −7.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹89.40 to ₹169.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (23 months)

₹207.74 ₹94.83 Fair Value ₹129.46 Sep 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

23‑month range ₹94.83 – ₹207.74 · fair‑value band ₹89.40 – ₹169.51 · the ₹129.66 price screens above the ₹129.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Arkade Developers Limited (ARKADE) currently trades at ₹129.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹129.46, implying the stock looks roughly 0.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Arkade Developers Limited generated revenue of ₹8.2B at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 49.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.6%. Net debt stands at ₹753M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹89.40 (bear case) to ₹169.51 (bull case); at ₹129.66, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 0%, ARKADE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (₹3.13 to ₹222.26). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹32.22 ₹29.98 ₹21.12 76
Gordon GGM ₹1.79 ₹3.72 ₹5.90 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹1.79 ₹3.13 ₹3.90 61
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹1.79 ₹3.72 ₹5.90 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹1.79 ₹3.13 ₹3.90 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple ₹3.69 ₹4.93 ₹6.16 58
P/B Multiple ₹3.69 ₹4.93 ₹6.16 55
EV/EBIT ₹165.77 ₹222.26 ₹278.75 53
EV/EBITDA ₹134.28 ₹180.26 ₹226.25 54
EV/Revenue ₹89.77 ₹129.82 ₹169.88 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹23.76 ₹31.83 ₹47.51 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹32.22 ₹29.98 ₹21.12 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹129.82) versus Dividend Discount (₹3.13). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹8.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +49.5%
Net margin 0.7%
Return on equity 0.6%
Free cash flow −₹1.5B FY2026
P/E ratio 411.3
More key figures
Operating margin 17.8%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.3000
EPS growth (YoY) -28.6%
Net debt ₹753M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Arkade Developers Limited operates as a real estate development company in India. It is involved in the development/construction of residential premises on acquired land; greenfield development and redevelopment of existing premises; and identification, acquisition of land.

Full company description

Arkade Developers Limited operates as a real estate development company in India. It is involved in the development/construction of residential premises on acquired land; greenfield development and redevelopment of existing premises; and identification, acquisition of land. The company also plans, executes, constructs, and markets commercial and residential projects. In addition, it has projects in Mumbai and Thane in Maharashtra, India. Arkade Developers Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Arkade Developers Limited reported revenue of ₹8.3B in FY2026 versus ₹2.2B in FY2022, a compound +38.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹53.8M in FY2026, compounding −42.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹8.3B
Latest YoY
+23.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+55.8%
Revenue +38.8%/yr
FY22 ₹2.2B
FY23 ₹2.2B
FY24 ₹6.3B
FY25 ₹6.7B
FY26 ₹8.3B
Net income −42.9%/yr
FY22 ₹505M
FY23 ₹508M
FY24 ₹1.2B
FY25 ₹1.6B
FY26 ₹53.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arkade Developers Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARKADE

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 586 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −0% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Revenue growth 50% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.11× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 411.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 50
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 2 · sector 10
HEALTH 95 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 147,000 VND 147,415 VND +0%
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Arkade Developers Limited (ARKADE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹129.46 versus a price of ₹129.66, about −0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ARKADE?
Our model-based fair value for Arkade Developers Limited is ₹129.46 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹129.66.
What is the quality score of ARKADE?
Arkade Developers Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Arkade Developers Limited (ARKADE)?
Arkade Developers Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹8.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ARKADE?
The net profit margin of Arkade Developers Limited is about 0.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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