Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Arkade Developers Ltd ₹23.54, price ₹125, upside -81.2%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ₹23.54 · Strongly overvalued (−81.2%)
!Quality 35/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 3y +55.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers(4/13)
!Narrow moat34/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Arkade Developers Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
Arkade Developers Limited operates as a real estate development company in India. It is involved in the development/construction of residential premises on acquired land; greenfield development and redevelopment of existing premises; and identification, acquisition of land.
Show more
Arkade Developers Limited operates as a real estate development company in India. It is involved in the development/construction of residential premises on acquired land; greenfield development and redevelopment of existing premises; and identification, acquisition of land. The company also plans, executes, constructs, and markets commercial and residential projects. In addition, it has projects in Mumbai and Thane in Maharashtra, India. Arkade Developers Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE) currently trades at ₹125.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹23.54, implying the stock looks roughly 433.0% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹129.82 per share, and 3 of the 9 models we run sit above the ₹125.48 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹26.12, and 6 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Arkade Developers Ltd reported revenue of ₹8.3B in FY2026 versus ₹2.2B in FY2022, a compound +38.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹53.8M in FY2026, compounding −42.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹23.3B (≈ $243M) · P/E ratio 418.3 · P/S ratio 2.72 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.3000 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −81%, ARKADE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹2.15 to ₹222.26). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹23.54Fair Value ₹23.54Bull ₹23.54
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.1479 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+55.8%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+27.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+26.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 30%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−81.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.6% · Below median
Return on assets9.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)0.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)17.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth49.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)418.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.64× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.85× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.7× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)2· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)3· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹23.54 versus a price of ₹125.48, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARKADE?
Our model-based fair value for Arkade Developers Ltd is ₹23.54 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹125.48.
What is the quality score of ARKADE?
Arkade Developers Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹23.54 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 9 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arkade Developers Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹23.54, about −81% upside versus a price of ₹125.48 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Arkade Developers Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹8.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Arkade Developers Ltd pay a dividend?
Arkade Developers Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arkade Developers Ltd it is ₹23.54 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹125.48. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arkade Developers Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, ARKADE trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹125.48, fair value ₹23.54, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARKADE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹125.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹23.54). For Arkade Developers Ltd the two are ₹101.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arkade Developers Ltd worth?
The market values Arkade Developers Ltd at about ₹23.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹125.48; our models calculate a fair value of ₹23.54 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of ARKADE?
Arkade Developers Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 418.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹23.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 12.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arkade Developers Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.6%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARKADE from its 52-week high?
Arkade Developers Ltd trades at ₹125.48, about 28% below its 52-week high of ₹174.98 and 32% above the low of ₹94.83 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹23.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arkade Developers Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arkade Developers Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹125.48, calculated fair value ₹23.54 (−81%), Quality Score 35/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARKADE calculated?
We run Arkade Developers Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹23.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Arkade Developers Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was ₹125.48. Our model-based fair value is ₹23.54, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arkade Developers Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹23.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Arkade Developers Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The market capitalisation of Arkade Developers Ltd is ₹23.3B (≈ $243M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arkade Developers Ltd is 2.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Earnings per share at Arkade Developers Ltd are ₹0.3000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 418.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The dividend yield of Arkade Developers Ltd is 0.2% (payout 66.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The net margin of Arkade Developers Ltd is 0.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arkade Developers Ltd is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arkade Developers Ltd is 17.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
The operating margin of Arkade Developers Ltd is 17.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Revenue at Arkade Developers Ltd is growing +49.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +55.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE)?
Earnings per share at Arkade Developers Ltd are growing −28.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE) generate?
The free cash flow of Arkade Developers Ltd is −₹1.5B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Arkade Developers Ltd (ARKADE) carry?
The net debt of Arkade Developers Ltd is ₹753M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Arkade Developers Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Arkade Developers Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
