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Arrow Financial Corporation (AROW) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $636M

Price$40.36
Fair Value$34.57
Upside-14.3%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $25.93 – $43.21

Analysis

Arrow Financial Corporation (AROW) currently trades at $40.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.57 — implying the stock looks roughly 14.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Arrow Financial Corporation, a bank holding company, provides various commercial and consumer banking, and financial products and services in the United States. The company's deposit products include demand deposits, interest-bearing checking accounts, savings deposits, time deposits, and other time deposits. Its lending activities comprise commercial loans, such as term loans, time notes, and lines of credit; and commercial real estate loans to finance real estate purchases, refinancing, expansions, and enhancement to commercial properties, as well as commercial construction and land development loans to finance projects. The company's lending activities also include consumer installment loans to finance personal expenditures, personal lines of credit, overdraft protection, and automobile loans; and residential real estate loans, fixed home equity loans, and home equity lines of credit for consumers to finance home improvements, debt consolidation, education, and other uses, as wel…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.