Arctic Paper S.A (ARP) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · SE · Market cap 1.1B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from kr 13.58 to kr 35.00 (+157.7%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +3.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range kr 14.88 – kr 31.20 · fair‑value band kr 26.12 – kr 52.24 · the kr 15.55 price screens below the kr 35.00 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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Arctic Paper S.A (ARP) currently trades at kr 15.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 35.00, implying the stock looks roughly 125.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Arctic Paper S.A generated revenue of 3.3B SEK at a net margin of -3.4%. Revenue declined 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.7%. Net debt stands at 122M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 26.12 (bear case) to kr 52.24 (bull case); at kr 15.55, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 125%, ARP screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Arctic Paper S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces paper and pulp in Poland, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Scandinavia, the rest of Western Europe, Central and Eastern Europe, and internationally. It operates the through Paper and Pulp segments. The Paper segment offers uncoated paper for printing or other graphic purposes, including wood-free and wood-containing paper, as well as coated paper, a wood-free paper for printing or other graphic purposes, one-side or two-side coated with mixtures containing mineral pigments, such as China clay, calcium carbonate, etc. The Pulp segment provides bleached sulphate pulp and unbleached sulphate pulp to produce printing and writing papers, cardboard, toilet paper, white packaging paper, and chemi-thermo mechanical pulp to produce printing and writing paper. The company is also involved in the production of packaging; generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity; heat production and distribution; paper and pulp …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Arctic Paper S.A reported revenue of kr 3.2B in FY2025 versus kr 3.4B in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 98.9M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$16.86 | R$2.95 | -83% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPMKF | $29.33 | $17.60 | -40% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$42.04 | R$137.84 | +228% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAA | kr 101.50 | kr 45.12 | -56% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥13.24 | ¥9.88 | -25% |
| Holmen AB HLMMF | $35.72 | $28.52 | -20% |
| Mondi plc MNODF | $9.70 | $7.32 | -25% |
| Oji Holdings OJIPY | $55.39 | $61.84 | +12% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.04 | HK$8.99 | +28% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,048 CLP | 2,317 CLP | +121% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.