Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Ashland Global Holdings Inc $35.06, price $69.01, upside -49.2%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $44.82 – $104.96 · fair‑value band $31.90 – $39.94 · the $69.01 price screens above the $35.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Ashland Inc. provides additives and specialty ingredients in the North and Latin America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through Life Sciences, Personal Care, Specialty Additives, and Intermediates segments.
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Ashland Inc. provides additives and specialty ingredients in the North and Latin America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through Life Sciences, Personal Care, Specialty Additives, and Intermediates segments. The Life Sciences segment offers pharmaceutical solutions, including controlled release polymers, disintegrants, tablet coatings, thickeners, solubilizers, and tablet binders; and nutrition solutions, such as thickeners, stabilizers, emulsifiers, and additives; agricultural chemicals; diagnostic films; and fine chemicals. Its Personal Care segment provides a range of natural, nature-derived, biodegradable, and performance ingredients; solutions for toothpastes, mouth washes and rinses, denture cleaning, and care for teeth; and household supplies nature-derived rheology ingredients, biodegradable surface wetting agents, performance encapsulates, and specialty polymers. The Specialty Additives segment offers rheology modifiers, foam control agents, surfactants and wetting agents, pH neutralizers, advanced ceramics used in catalytic converters, environmental filters, ingredients for the manufacturing of ceramic capacitors, plasma display panels and solar cells, ingredients for textile printing, thermoplastic metals, and alloys for welding. Its Intermediates segment produces 1,4 butanediol and related derivatives, including n-methylpyrrolidone. It offers its products to customers in a range of consumer and industrial markets, such as architectural coatings, construction, energy, food and beverage, personal care, and pharmaceutical. The company was formerly known as Ashland Global Holdings Inc. and changed its name to Ashland Inc. in August 2022. Ashland Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.
Stock analysis
Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) currently trades at $69.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.06, implying the stock looks roughly 96.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $27.86 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the $69.01 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $15.89, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $31.90 (bear) to $39.94 (bull), the price of $69.01 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Ashland Global Holdings Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$845M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $3.2B · P/S ratio 1.74 · EPS (TTM) $−14.81 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin −46.3% · Return on equity −31.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2% · Operating margin 10.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −49%, ASH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $31.90Fair Value $35.06Bull $39.94
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.1% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−22.9% (2020) → −42.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Ashland Global Holdings Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 714 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−49% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−39% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)11% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.73× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.67× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.76× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA12.7× · Pricier than median
PEG1.23× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)3· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)64· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)48· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ashland Global Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASH
Frequently asked questions
Is Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $35.06 versus a price of $69.01, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASH?
Our model-based fair value for Ashland Global Holdings Inc is $35.06 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $69.01.
What is the quality score of ASH?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $35.06 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $31.90, optimistic scenario $39.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ashland Global Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $35.06, about −49% upside versus a price of $69.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $31.90, optimistic scenario $39.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Ashland Global Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ashland Global Holdings Inc it is $35.06 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $69.01. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ashland Global Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ASH trades above its calculated fair value: price $69.01, fair value $35.06, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($69.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($35.06). For Ashland Global Holdings Inc the two are $33.95 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ashland Global Holdings Inc worth?
The market values Ashland Global Holdings Inc at about $3.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $69.01; our models calculate a fair value of $35.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASH?
Our models span a range for Ashland Global Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $31.90, base $35.06, optimistic $39.94 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $69.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of ASH?
The PEG ratio of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 1.23 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ashland Global Holdings Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −31.0%, debt of 0.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASH from its 52-week high?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc trades at $69.01, about 10% below its 52-week high of $76.45 and 49% above the low of $46.46 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $35.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ashland Global Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ashland Global Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $69.01, calculated fair value $35.06 (−49%), Quality Score 43/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASH calculated?
We run Ashland Global Holdings Inc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $35.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ashland Global Holdings Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $69.01. Our model-based fair value is $35.06, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ashland Global Holdings Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($39.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Ashland Global Holdings Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The market capitalisation of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is $3.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 1.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Earnings per share at Ashland Global Holdings Inc are $−14.81. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The dividend yield of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 2.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The net margin of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is −46.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is −31.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is −1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The operating margin of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Revenue at Ashland Global Holdings Inc is growing +0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Earnings per share at Ashland Global Holdings Inc are growing −47.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) generate?
The free cash flow of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is −$4.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) carry?
The net debt of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is $1.4B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026