Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ashland Global Holdings Inc stock $35.06, price $76.62, that is 54.2% below the price, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $44.57 – $104.35 · fair‑value band $31.88 – $39.94 · the $76.62 price screens above the $35.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Ashland Inc. provides additives and specialty ingredients in the North and Latin America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through Life Sciences, Personal Care, Specialty Additives, and Intermediates segments.
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The Life Sciences segment offers pharmaceutical solutions, including controlled release polymers, disintegrants, tablet coatings, thickeners, solubilizers, and tablet binders; and nutrition solutions, such as thickeners, stabilizers, emulsifiers, and additives; agricultural chemicals; diagnostic films; and fine chemicals.
Its Personal Care segment provides a range of natural, nature-derived, biodegradable, and performance ingredients; solutions for toothpastes, mouth washes and rinses, denture cleaning, and care for teeth; and household supplies nature-derived rheology ingredients, biodegradable surface wetting agents, performance encapsulates, and specialty polymers.
The Specialty Additives segment offers rheology modifiers, foam control agents, surfactants and wetting agents, pH neutralizers, advanced ceramics used in catalytic converters, environmental filters, ingredients for the manufacturing of ceramic capacitors, plasma display panels and solar cells, ingredients for textile printing, thermoplastic metals, and alloys for welding.
Its Intermediates segment produces 1,4 butanediol and related derivatives, including n-methylpyrrolidone. It offers its products to customers in a range of consumer and industrial markets, such as architectural coatings, construction, energy, food and beverage, personal care, and pharmaceutical.
The company was formerly known as Ashland Global Holdings Inc. and changed its name to Ashland Inc. in August 2022. Ashland Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.
Stock analysis
Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) currently trades at $76.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.06, 54% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $48.29 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the $76.62 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $9.30, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $31.88 (bear) to $39.94 (bull), the price of $76.62 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2005: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2005.
Ashland Global Holdings Inc reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2026 versus $2.4B in FY2022, a compound −6.0%/yr. Reported net income was $4.0M in FY2026, compounding −74.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $3.5B Mid · P/E ratio 139.3 · P/S ratio 1.89 · EPS (TTM) $0.5500 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 0.2% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −54%, ASH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$31.88Fair Value $35.06Bull$39.94
Price $76.62 · Downside -54.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$41.39$67.24$116.9178
Growth DCF$44.53$69.83$114.7977
Residual Income$24.51$25.75$27.5476
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$41.39$67.24$116.9178
Owner Earnings$29.02$49.63$89.2673
5Y Revenue Exit$14.98$25.35$40.3171
5Y EBITDA Exit$28.50$48.76$75.6374
5Y P/E Exit$3.55$5.56$8.1970
10Y Revenue Exit$23.92$32.70$41.5668
10Y EBITDA Exit$32.89$47.50$62.7769
10Y P/E Exit$17.41$20.18$22.2865
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$0.5900$0.7300$0.820067
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$15.94$17.53$19.9769
DDM Multi-Stage$15.94$20.34$26.6967
Multiples
P/E Multiple$1.11$1.48$1.8663
P/S Multiple$1.11$1.48$1.8658
P/B Multiple$32.04$42.71$53.3955
EV/EBIT$2.41$10.44$18.4659
EV/EBITDA$25.83$41.67$57.5066
EV/Revenuen/a$8.15$17.0950
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$7.12$9.54$14.2454
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$44.53$69.83$114.7977
Rev-Margin DCF$14.98$26.74$41.7571
Economic Profit
Residual Income$24.51$25.75$27.5476
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$0.7900$1.13$1.4767
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2005: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2005.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.7% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−10.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Per share before 2005divided by the spin-off factor 1.2177
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−61.3% vs −27.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 6%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.7% a year for the price and +1.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (93 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Limited evidence of a durable moat is the central weakness amid significant net losses and weak free cash flow, while scaling the transformed vegetable oils platform stands as the main potential strength.
Main risk: High leverage together with weak free cash flow forms the biggest risk to funding ongoing operations and the new dispersants pipeline.
Reports indicate Ashland has collected bids from private equity firms as its sales process advances. This occurs while the company scales its transformed vegetable oils platform with new biodegradable dispersants for crop care. Will the pipeline of sustainable products deliver stronger standalone results or mainly heighten interest from buyers?
Compare Ashland Global Holdings Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 728 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−54.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)7.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.75× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)139.3× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.23× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)22· sector 67
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)63· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)43· sector 31
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ashland Global Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASH
Frequently asked questions
Is Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $35.06 versus a price of $76.62, about 54% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASH?
Our model-based fair value for Ashland Global Holdings Inc is $35.06 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $76.62.
What is the quality score of ASH?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $35.06 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $31.88, optimistic scenario $39.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ashland Global Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $35.06, about 54% lower versus a price of $76.62 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $31.88, optimistic scenario $39.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Ashland Global Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 2.17% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc pays a dividend of $1.67 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 1, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1983. Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.29 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ashland Global Holdings Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +4.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.5 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASH use?
Our models discount Ashland Global Holdings Inc at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.36, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ashland Global Holdings Inc that is +4.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ashland Global Holdings Inc grew -2.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +4.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ashland Global Holdings Inc (+4.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.12 %: that much free cash flow Ashland Global Holdings Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ashland Global Holdings Inc it is $35.06 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $76.62. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Ashland Global Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, ASH trades above its calculated fair value: price $76.62, fair value $35.06, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($76.62); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($35.06). For Ashland Global Holdings Inc the two are $41.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ashland Global Holdings Inc worth?
The market values Ashland Global Holdings Inc at about $3.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $76.62; our models calculate a fair value of $35.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASH?
Our models span a range for Ashland Global Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $31.88, base $35.06, optimistic $39.94 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $76.62). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASH?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 139.3 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $35.06 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 25.3. Other multiples: PEG 1.2.
What is the PEG ratio of ASH?
The PEG ratio of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 1.23 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ashland Global Holdings Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 1.3%, debt of 0.75 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASH from its 52-week high?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc trades at $76.62, at its 52-week high of $76.62 and 63% above the low of $46.87 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $35.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ashland Global Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ashland Global Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $76.62, calculated fair value $35.06 (−54%), Quality Score 63/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASH calculated?
We run Ashland Global Holdings Inc through 22 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $35.06 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Ashland Global Holdings Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $76.62. Our model-based fair value is $35.06, about 54% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ashland Global Holdings Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($39.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Ashland Global Holdings Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The market capitalisation of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is $3.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 1.89 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Earnings per share at Ashland Global Holdings Inc are $0.5500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 139.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The dividend yield of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 2.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The net margin of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 0.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is −1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The operating margin of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Revenue at Ashland Global Holdings Inc is growing +4.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Earnings per share at Ashland Global Holdings Inc are growing −47.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) carry?
The net debt of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is $992M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 6, 2026