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Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ashland Global Holdings Inc stock $9.31, price $72.67, upside -87.2%, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value 30%+ above price?No
  2. Quality 50+?No
  3. In an uptrend?Yes
  4. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Basic Materials US

AG Ashland Global Holdings Inc logo Thin data Oct 28, 2026

Ashland Global Holdings Inc

ASH · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 87% below what the stock costs today.

Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −2.0 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
Insider activity 40/100
Fair value $9.31 · Strongly overvalued (−87.2%)
Quality 39/100
Negative free cash flow
2.3% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 32/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$104.35 $44.57 Fair Value $9.31 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $44.57 – $104.35 · fair‑value band $6.94 – $13.89 · the $72.67 price screens above the $9.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 28, 2026.

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Company profile

Ashland Inc. provides additives and specialty ingredients in the North and Latin America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through Life Sciences, Personal Care, Specialty Additives, and Intermediates segments.

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The Life Sciences segment offers pharmaceutical solutions, including controlled release polymers, disintegrants, tablet coatings, thickeners, solubilizers, and tablet binders; and nutrition solutions, such as thickeners, stabilizers, emulsifiers, and additives; agricultural chemicals; diagnostic films; and fine chemicals.

Its Personal Care segment provides a range of natural, nature-derived, biodegradable, and performance ingredients; solutions for toothpastes, mouth washes and rinses, denture cleaning, and care for teeth; and household supplies nature-derived rheology ingredients, biodegradable surface wetting agents, performance encapsulates, and specialty polymers.

The Specialty Additives segment offers rheology modifiers, foam control agents, surfactants and wetting agents, pH neutralizers, advanced ceramics used in catalytic converters, environmental filters, ingredients for the manufacturing of ceramic capacitors, plasma display panels and solar cells, ingredients for textile printing, thermoplastic metals, and alloys for welding.

Its Intermediates segment produces 1,4 butanediol and related derivatives, including n-methylpyrrolidone. It offers its products to customers in a range of consumer and industrial markets, such as architectural coatings, construction, energy, food and beverage, personal care, and pharmaceutical.

The company was formerly known as Ashland Global Holdings Inc. and changed its name to Ashland Inc. in August 2022. Ashland Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.

Stock analysis

Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) currently trades at $72.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.31, 87.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $6.94 (bear) to $13.89 (bull), the price of $72.67 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2005: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2005.

Ashland Global Holdings Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$845M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $3.3B Mid · P/E ratio 46.6 · P/S ratio 1.82 · EPS (TTM) $1.56 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −55% fair-value upside, at −87%, ASH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $6.94 Fair Value $9.31 Bull $13.89
Price $72.67 · Upside -87.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $6.94 $9.31 $13.89 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.94 $9.31 $13.89 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 9
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 15
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 39
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 94
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 74
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 77
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 87
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 90
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2005: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2005.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.1% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−22.9% (2020) → −42.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ASH screens overvalued: fair value 87% below the price. Compare with Linde plc →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (91 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: Limited evidence of a durable moat is the central weakness amid significant net losses and weak free cash flow, while scaling the transformed vegetable oils platform stands as the main potential strength.
Main risk: High leverage together with weak free cash flow forms the biggest risk to funding ongoing operations and the new dispersants pipeline.
Reports indicate Ashland has collected bids from private equity firms as its sales process advances. This occurs while the company scales its transformed vegetable oils platform with new biodegradable dispersants for crop care. Will the pipeline of sustainable products deliver stronger standalone results or mainly heighten interest from buyers?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 726 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −87.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 4.0% · Below median
Return on assets −18.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 11.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 7.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.73× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 46.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.76× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 1.82× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.23× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)37 · sector 65
PAST (return on equity)16 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)64 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)46 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.33 ¥68.03 −3% vs ASH
Linde plc LIN $507.56 $444.78 −12% vs ASH
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $113.44 $77.19 −32% vs ASH
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,277 ₹1,479 −35% vs ASH
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $326.01 $145.67 −55% vs ASH
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,944 CHF 1,554 −61% vs ASH
EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG EMSN CHF 850.50 CHF 284.63 −67% vs ASH
Ecolab Inc ECL $291.27 $96.56 −67% vs ASH
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 100.90 CHF 29.15 −71% vs ASH
International Flavors & Fragrances Inc IFF $93.21 $22.45 −76% vs ASH

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Ashland Global Holdings Inc · Fair Value
$9.31 −87%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ashland Global Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASH

Frequently asked questions

Is Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.31 versus a price of $72.67, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASH?
Our model-based fair value for Ashland Global Holdings Inc is $9.31 (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $72.67.
What is the quality score of ASH?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.31 (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.94, optimistic scenario $13.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ashland Global Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.31, about −87% upside versus a price of $72.67 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $6.94, optimistic scenario $13.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does Ashland Global Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 2.29% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ashland Global Holdings Inc it is $9.31 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of $72.67. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ashland Global Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, ASH trades above its calculated fair value: price $72.67, fair value $9.31, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($72.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.31). For Ashland Global Holdings Inc the two are $63.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ashland Global Holdings Inc worth?
The market values Ashland Global Holdings Inc at about $3.3B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is $72.67; our models calculate a fair value of $9.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASH?
Our models span a range for Ashland Global Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $6.94, base $9.31, optimistic $13.89 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price $72.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASH?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 46.6 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $9.31 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 1.8, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 12.4.
What is the PEG ratio of ASH?
The PEG ratio of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 1.23 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 28, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ashland Global Holdings Inc (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 4.0%, debt of 0.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASH from its 52-week high?
Ashland Global Holdings Inc trades at $72.67, about 4% below its 52-week high of $76.01 and 56% above the low of $46.54 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ashland Global Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Givaudan SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ashland Global Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price $72.67, calculated fair value $9.31 (−87%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASH calculated?
We run Ashland Global Holdings Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $9.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Ashland Global Holdings Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was $72.67. Our model-based fair value is $9.31, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ashland Global Holdings Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($6.94 to $13.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Ashland Global Holdings Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The market capitalisation of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is $3.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 1.82 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Earnings per share at Ashland Global Holdings Inc are $1.56 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 46.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The dividend yield of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 2.3% (payout 107%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The net margin of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 2.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is −1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
The operating margin of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is 11.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Revenue at Ashland Global Holdings Inc is growing +7.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH)?
Earnings per share at Ashland Global Holdings Inc are growing −47.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) generate?
The free cash flow of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is −$4.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ashland Global Holdings Inc (ASH) carry?
The net debt of Ashland Global Holdings Inc is $1.4B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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