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Ashoka Metcast Limited (ASHOKAMET) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹379M

AM Ashoka Metcast Limited ASHOKAMET · NSE
Price₹13.78
Fair Value₹13.30
Upside-3.5%
Quality42/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 39.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹13.30 – ₹13.30 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹38.00 to ₹13.30 (−65.0%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −4.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹13.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

₹34.50 ₹12.23 Fair Value ₹13.30 Jun 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

38‑month range ₹12.23 – ₹34.50 · the ₹13.78 price screens above the ₹13.30 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ashoka Metcast Limited (ASHOKAMET) currently trades at ₹13.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹13.30, implying the stock looks roughly 3.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ashoka Metcast Limited generated revenue of ₹277M at a net margin of 39.0%. Revenue grew 23.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at ₹559M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -3%, ASHOKAMET screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E ₹130.23 ₹186.05 ₹241.86 68
P/E Multiple ₹55.09 ₹73.45 ₹91.81 63
Residual Income ₹39.09 ₹41.56 ₹45.54 61
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹19.08 ₹57.20 ₹127.94 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹29.38 ₹204.89 ₹287.54 54
Lynch FV ₹105.85 ₹151.22 ₹196.59 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹105.85 ₹151.22 ₹196.59 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹55.09 ₹73.45 ₹91.81 63
P/S Multiple ₹12.47 ₹16.62 ₹20.78 58
P/B Multiple ₹55.09 ₹73.45 ₹91.81 55
EV/EBIT ₹7.21 ₹15.10 ₹22.99 53
EV/EBITDA ₹2.31 ₹8.57 ₹14.83 54
EV/Revenue ₹0.1600 ₹5.15 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹24.40 ₹32.69 ₹48.80 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹39.09 ₹41.56 ₹45.54 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹130.23 ₹186.05 ₹241.86 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹186.05) versus Multiples (₹15.10). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹277M
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.6%
Net margin 39.0%
Return on equity 8.6%
Free cash flow −₹216M FY2026
P/E ratio 2.3
More key figures
Operating margin 19.5%
EPS (TTM) ₹6.05
EPS growth (YoY) +150%
Net debt ₹559M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ashoka Metcast Limited engages in the trading of steel, goods, and other products in India. It provides thermo-mechanically treated, round, flat, mild steel, and angle bars, and steel channels. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Ashoka Metcast Limited reported revenue of ₹277M in FY2026 versus ₹670M in FY2022, a compound −19.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹108M in FY2026, compounding +50.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 51/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹277M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+111.2%
Revenue −19.8%/yr
FY22 ₹670M
FY23 ₹512M
FY24 ₹662M
FY25 ₹390M
FY26 ₹277M
Net income +50.8%/yr
FY22 ₹20.9M
FY23 ₹32.2M
FY24 ₹47.9M
FY25 ₹73.4M
FY26 ₹108M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ashoka Metcast Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASHOKAMET

Peer Group

Steel · 380 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.37× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 29 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 4
PAST 34 · sector 16
HEALTH 82 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,269 ₹1,140 -10%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.20 ₹145.39 -22%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 37.25 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 325,000 KRW 155,270 KRW -52%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,838 ARS +16%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,112 ₹516.27 -54%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,894 ₹771.10 -59%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 39.22 MXN -53%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,472 ARS +55%
NMDC Limited NMDC ₹85.00 ₹112.98 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ashoka Metcast Limited (ASHOKAMET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹13.30 versus a price of ₹13.78, about −3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ASHOKAMET?
Our model-based fair value for Ashoka Metcast Limited is ₹13.30 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹13.78.
What is the quality score of ASHOKAMET?
Ashoka Metcast Limited has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ashoka Metcast Limited (ASHOKAMET)?
Ashoka Metcast Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹277M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ASHOKAMET?
The net profit margin of Ashoka Metcast Limited is about 39.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 39.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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