Actic Group (ATIC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 677M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price −1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 41% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 41.06). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 41.06 to kr 73.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 3.28 – kr 38.50 · fair‑value band kr 41.06 – kr 73.94 · the kr 29.20 price screens below the kr 41.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Actic Group (ATIC) currently trades at kr 29.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 41.06, implying the stock looks roughly 40.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Actic Group generated revenue of 743M SEK at a net margin of 11.0%. Revenue declined 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 39.0%. Net debt stands at 735M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 41.06 (bear case) to kr 73.94 (bull case); at kr 29.20, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 41%, ATIC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 66.14) versus Asset-Based (kr 6.88). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Actic Group AB (publ) operates gyms, swimming, and wellness facilities in Sweden, Norway, and Germany. The company offers stand-alone fitness clubs; outdoor training; and training in the gym, group training, and opportunities for digital training via Actic App, a training app.
Full company description
Actic Group AB (publ) operates gyms, swimming, and wellness facilities in Sweden, Norway, and Germany. The company offers stand-alone fitness clubs; outdoor training; and training in the gym, group training, and opportunities for digital training via Actic App, a training app. It also provides swimming training, aqua training, and water aerobics; group training sessions conducted both indoors and outdoors through gym and swimming pools; lectures on health and fitness, as well as digital business challenges; and training packages for corporate customers' employees. In addition, the company offers dietary supplements, such as energy bars and energy drinks, as well as training clothes through online store. Actic Group AB (publ) was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Solna, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Actic Group reported revenue of kr 695M in FY2025 versus kr 629M in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was kr 77.9M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Leisure · 190 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$74.15 | HK$119.29 | +61% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$160.20 | HK$227.30 | +42% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $42.15 | $16.15 | -62% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Benefit Systems S.A BFT | 5,255 PLN | 3,714 PLN | -29% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥37.82 | ¥39.17 | +4% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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