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AptarGroup, Inc (ATR) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $8.6B

AI AptarGroup, Inc logo AptarGroup, Inc ATR · US
Price$135.42
Fair Value$84.83
Upside-37.4%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 10.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.44% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: High Range $49.92 – $127.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +9.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($127.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($49.92 to $127.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$172.64 $88.90 Fair Value $84.83 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $88.90 – $172.64 · fair‑value band $49.92 – $127.37 · the $135.42 price screens above the $84.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

AptarGroup, Inc (ATR) currently trades at $135.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $84.83, implying the stock looks roughly 37.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, AptarGroup, Inc generated revenue of $3.9B at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. Net debt stands at $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $49.92 (bear case) to $127.37 (bull case); at $135.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -37%, ATR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $38.91 $60.39 $89.39 80
Residual Income $40.87 $52.00 $126.00 76
Rev-Margin DCF $43.88 $77.10 $114.30 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $38.01 $62.05 $96.40 38
Owner Earnings $56.24 $89.11 $136.09 31
5Y Revenue Exit $43.88 $77.02 $118.88 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $59.20 $105.18 $158.14 41
5Y P/E Exit $50.53 $89.24 $129.14 38
10Y Revenue Exit $39.38 $68.46 $106.53 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $50.64 $87.39 $135.35 37
10Y P/E Exit $45.27 $76.68 $114.07 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $41.85 $119.03 $156.82 54
Lynch FV $24.30 $34.71 $45.13 50
PEG = 1.0 $24.30 $34.71 $45.13 46
EPV $47.35 $56.65 $64.67 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $16.62 $33.12 $50.15 70
DDM Multi-Stage $16.62 $26.00 $34.96 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $78.47 $104.63 $130.79 63
P/S Multiple $66.58 $88.78 $110.97 58
P/B Multiple $78.47 $104.63 $130.79 55
EV/EBIT $72.74 $100.84 $128.94 53
EV/EBITDA $82.43 $113.76 $145.08 54
EV/Revenue $50.60 $77.23 $103.86 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $20.90 $28.01 $41.81 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $38.91 $60.39 $89.39 80
Rev-Margin DCF $43.88 $77.10 $114.30 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $40.87 $52.00 $126.00 76
ROIC Compounder $48.51 $62.73 $79.71 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $64.34 $91.91 $119.49 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($100.84) versus Dividend Discount ($26.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.8%
Net margin 10.0%
Return on equity 14.8%
Free cash flow $300M FY2025
P/E ratio 22.1
More key figures
Operating margin 11.1%
EPS (TTM) $6.09
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net debt $1.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AptarGroup, Inc. designs and manufactures drug delivery, consumer product dispensing, and active material science solutions and services for the pharmaceutical, fragrance, facial skincare, color cosmetics, personal care, home care, and food and beverage markets. The company operates through three segments: Pharma, Beauty, and Closures.

Full company description

AptarGroup, Inc. designs and manufactures drug delivery, consumer product dispensing, and active material science solutions and services for the pharmaceutical, fragrance, facial skincare, color cosmetics, personal care, home care, and food and beverage markets. The company operates through three segments: Pharma, Beauty, and Closures. It provides dispensing pumps used to dispense sprays, liquids, or lotions from non-pressurized containers; fine-mist pumps for pharmaceutical and fragrance applications; and lotion pumps for viscous formulations, as well as closures, such as dispensing and non-dispensing solutions that enable product delivery without removal of the cap and used across various consumer end markets. The company also offers aerosol valves used in pressurized containers and continuous spray and metered-dose valves for pharmaceutical, personal care, and household applications; elastomeric primary packaging components; active material science solutions; and digital health solutions. The company primarily sells its products and services in Asia, Europe, Latin America, and North America. AptarGroup, Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Crystal Lake, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AptarGroup, Inc reported revenue of $3.8B in FY2025 versus $3.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was $393M in FY2025, compounding +12.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.8B
Latest YoY
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y)
+7.3%
Revenue +4.0%/yr
FY21 $3.2B
FY22 $3.3B
FY23 $3.5B
FY24 $3.6B
FY25 $3.8B
Net income +12.6%/yr
FY21 $244M
FY22 $239M
FY23 $284M
FY24 $375M
FY25 $393M

ATR screens 37% overvalued. Compare with Intuitive Surgical, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AptarGroup, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATR

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Instruments & Supplies · 203 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −37% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Instruments & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.22× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.22× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 28.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 54 · sector 27
PAST 59 · sector 25
HEALTH 79 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 29 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Intuitive Surgical, Inc ISRG $402.33 $150.04 -63%
EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme 1EL €172.45 €68.55 -60%
Medline Inc MDLN $41.11 $30.15 -27%
Becton, Dickinson and Company BDX $150.65 $103.53 -31%
Alcon Inc ALC $70.26 $39.78 -43%
ResMed Inc RMD $203.87 $187.89 -8%
West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc WST $353.71 $143.97 -59%
Straumann Holding STMN CHF 106.00 CHF 47.31 -55%
Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A DIM €188.50 €51.16 -73%
Coloplast A/S COLOB kr 414.00 kr 382.22 -8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AptarGroup, Inc (ATR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $84.83 versus a price of $135.42, about −37% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATR?
Our model-based fair value for AptarGroup, Inc is $84.83 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $135.42.
What is the quality score of ATR?
AptarGroup, Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AptarGroup, Inc (ATR)?
AptarGroup, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATR?
The net profit margin of AptarGroup, Inc is about 10.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does AptarGroup, Inc pay a dividend?
AptarGroup, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.65% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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