Addentax Group Corp (ATXG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Addentax Group Corp $5.40, price $3.44, upside +57.1%, quality 21 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.95 – $98,481 · fair‑value band $2.72 – $9.70 · the $3.44 price screens below the $5.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Addentax Group Corp., through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of logistic services in China. It operates through three segments: Garment Manufacturing, Logistics Services, and Property Management and Subleasing.
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Addentax Group Corp., through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of logistic services in China. It operates through three segments: Garment Manufacturing, Logistics Services, and Property Management and Subleasing. The company manufactures and distributes garments; and provides logistic services, such as storage, transportation, warehousing, handling, packaging, and order processing, as well as customs declaration and tax clearance services. It also offers shop subleasing and property management services for garment wholesalers and retailers in the garment market. Additionally, it engages in the wholesale of men's and women's apparel and garments to home-based e-commerce retailers. Addentax Group Corp. is based in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Addentax Group Corp (ATXG) currently trades at $3.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.40, implying the stock looks roughly 36.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $25.22 per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the $3.44 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $6.34, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $2.72 (bear) to $9.70 (bull), the price of $3.44 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Addentax Group Corp reported revenue of $4.2M in FY2025 versus $24.7M in FY2021, a compound −35.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $3.7M · P/S ratio 0.86 · EPS (TTM) $−14.55 · Net margin −122% · Return on equity −34.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.4% · Operating margin −7.1% · Revenue (TTM) $4.3M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 57%, ATXG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.72Fair Value $5.40Bull $9.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−30.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +128.4% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+128.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−8.5% (2020) → −43.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 207 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Addentax Group Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATXG
Frequently asked questions
Is Addentax Group Corp (ATXG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.40 versus a price of $3.44, about +57% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ATXG?
Our model-based fair value for Addentax Group Corp is $5.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.44.
What is the quality score of ATXG?
Addentax Group Corp has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.72, optimistic scenario $9.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Addentax Group Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.40, about +57% upside versus a price of $3.44 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.72, optimistic scenario $9.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
Addentax Group Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Addentax Group Corp would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -16.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ATXG use?
Our models discount Addentax Group Corp at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Addentax Group Corp that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Addentax Group Corp (ATXG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Addentax Group Corp grew -16.3 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Addentax Group Corp (ATXG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Addentax Group Corp (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 44.99 %: that much free cash flow Addentax Group Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Addentax Group Corp it is $5.40 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $3.44. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Addentax Group Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ATXG trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.44, fair value $5.40, a gap of about +57% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATXG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.44); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.40). For Addentax Group Corp the two are $1.96 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Addentax Group Corp worth?
The market values Addentax Group Corp at about $3.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $3.44; our models calculate a fair value of $5.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATXG?
Our models span a range for Addentax Group Corp: cautious scenario $2.72, base $5.40, optimistic $9.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $3.44). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Addentax Group Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −34.3%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Addentax Group Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Addentax Group Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $3.44, calculated fair value $5.40 (+57%), Quality Score 21/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATXG calculated?
We run Addentax Group Corp through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Addentax Group Corp currently trades 57 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $3.44. Our model-based fair value is $5.40, about +57% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Addentax Group Corp right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (21/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide ($2.72 to $9.70). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Addentax Group Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
The market capitalisation of Addentax Group Corp is $3.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Addentax Group Corp is 0.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
Earnings per share at Addentax Group Corp are $−14.55. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
The net margin of Addentax Group Corp is −122% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Addentax Group Corp is −34.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Addentax Group Corp is −5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
The operating margin of Addentax Group Corp is −7.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
Revenue at Addentax Group Corp is growing +12.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −30.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Addentax Group Corp (ATXG)?
Earnings per share at Addentax Group Corp are growing −33.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Addentax Group Corp (ATXG) carry?
The net debt of Addentax Group Corp is $22.1M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 35.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026