Kuehne + Nagel International AG (KNIN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 24.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −3.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 191.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (CHF 104.19 to CHF 191.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 143.13 – CHF 302.30 · fair‑value band CHF 104.19 – CHF 191.65 · the CHF 200.10 price screens above the CHF 147.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Kuehne + Nagel International AG (KNIN) currently trades at CHF 200.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 147.92, implying the stock looks roughly 26.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kuehne + Nagel International AG generated revenue of CHF 23.7B at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.3%. Net debt stands at CHF 3.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 104.19 (bear case) to CHF 191.65 (bull case); at CHF 200.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -26%, KNIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (CHF 163.77) versus Asset-Based (CHF 12.30). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kuehne + Nagel International AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated logistics services in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through four segments: Sea Logistics, Air Logistics, Road Logistics, and Contract Logistics.
Full company description
Kuehne + Nagel International AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated logistics services in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through four segments: Sea Logistics, Air Logistics, Road Logistics, and Contract Logistics. It offers full loads and less than container loads, reefer cold chain solutions for temperature-sensitive goods, order management, and VinLog, a wine, spirits, and drinks logistics solutions, as well as cargo insurance and customs brokerage; and air freight services, such as air charter services, time-critical logistics, sea-air logistics, airside logistics, customs clearance, and smart labels. The company also provides road logistics include full truck load, less than truck load, and groupage services; and fulfillment, warehouse, and distribution services, such as fulfilment operation, distribution and last mile delivery, in-plant, inventory and order management, packaging, returns management, waste management, custom, quality inspections, and value-added services. In addition, it offers customs clearances services comprising export and import customs clearance and transit services, one-stop digital customs solution, and customs and trade consultancy services, as well as inbound logistics for e-commerce and cross-border e-commerce. Further, the company operates various logistic projects, such as industrial, renewable, energy, marine logistics, one global system, engineering, and chartering, and offers CO2e emissions calculator for project logistics. Additionally, it offers sustainable logistics; and supply chain management services comprising 4PL integrated logistics and order management. The company serves aerospace, automotive, mobility, consumer, healthcare, high-tech and semiconductor, industrial, and perishables industries. The company was founded in 1890 and is based in Schindellegi, Switzerland. Kuehne + Nagel International AG operates as a subsidiary of Kuehne Holding AG.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kuehne + Nagel International AG reported revenue of CHF 24.5B in FY2025 versus CHF 32.8B in FY2021, a compound −7.1%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 882M in FY2025, compounding −18.8%/yr from FY2021.
KNIN screens 26% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Kuehne + Nagel International (SWX:KNIN) Offering Value After Recent Share Price Rebound?
- All You Need to Know About Kuehne & Nagel International (KHNGY) Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Kuehne & Nagel International (KHNGY) May Find a Bottom Soon, Here's Why You Should Buy the Stock Now
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 216 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
| Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 | 191,200 KRW | 468,982 KRW | +145% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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