The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of The Agency Group Australia Ltd stock A$0.04, price A$0.03, upside +45.0%, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 8 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0160 – A$0.0580 · fair‑value band A$0.0335 – A$0.0636 · the A$0.0300 price screens below the A$0.0435 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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The Agency Group Australia Limited engages in the real estate business in Australia. It operates through Real Estate and Property Services, and Property management services segments. The company sells residential properties, as well as offers settlement agent services.
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The Agency Group Australia Limited was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1) currently trades at A$0.0300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0435, implying the stock looks roughly 31% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$0.2700 per share, and 8 of the 8 models we run sit above the A$0.0300 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.1500, and 0 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0335 (bear) to A$0.0636 (bull), the price of A$0.0300 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
The Agency Group Australia Ltd reported revenue of A$109M in FY2026 versus A$72.7M in FY2022, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.4M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$13.2M (≈ $9.1M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.12 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Net margin −2.2% · Return on equity −187% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −2.4% · Revenue (TTM) A$109M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 15 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 45%, AU1 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.0335Fair Value A$0.0435BullA$0.0636
Price A$0.0300 · Upside +45.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +32.4% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.7% (2021) → 0.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.8%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.4% a year for the price.
Compare The Agency Group Australia Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 472 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Below median
Fair Value upside+45.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−5.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−2.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−2.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)2.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity103.70× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Agency Group Australia Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AU1
Frequently asked questions
Is The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0435 versus the last price from Oct 22, 2026 of A$0.0300, about +45% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AU1?
Our model-based fair value for The Agency Group Australia Ltd is A$0.0435 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 22, 2026): A$0.0300.
What is the quality score of AU1?
The Agency Group Australia Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0435 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0335, optimistic scenario A$0.0636. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Agency Group Australia Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0435, about +45% upside versus the last price from Oct 22, 2026 of A$0.0300 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0335, optimistic scenario A$0.0636. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
The Agency Group Australia Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$109M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, The Agency Group Australia Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -9.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.4 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AU1 use?
Our models discount The Agency Group Australia Ltd at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.58, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For The Agency Group Australia Ltd that is -9.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at The Agency Group Australia Ltd grew +13.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -9.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into The Agency Group Australia Ltd (-9.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.81 %: that much free cash flow The Agency Group Australia Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Agency Group Australia Ltd it is A$0.0435 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.0300. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF).
Is The Agency Group Australia Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, AU1 trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0300, fair value A$0.0435, a gap of about +45% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AU1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0435). For The Agency Group Australia Ltd the two are A$0.0135 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The Agency Group Australia Ltd worth?
The market values The Agency Group Australia Ltd at about A$13.2M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0300; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0435 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AU1?
Our models span a range for The Agency Group Australia Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0335, base A$0.0435, optimistic A$0.0636 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price A$0.0300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
Balance-sheet figures for The Agency Group Australia Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −187.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AU1 from its 52-week high?
The Agency Group Australia Ltd trades at A$0.0300, about 12% below its 52-week high of A$0.0340 and 36% above the low of A$0.0220 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0435 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The Agency Group Australia Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The Agency Group Australia Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price A$0.0300, calculated fair value A$0.0435 (+45%), Quality Score 54/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AU1 calculated?
We run The Agency Group Australia Ltd through 8 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0435 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. The Agency Group Australia Ltd currently trades 31% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 22, 2026 and stands at A$0.0300. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0435, about +45% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The Agency Group Australia Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0335). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0335 to A$0.0636) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of The Agency Group Australia Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
The market capitalisation of The Agency Group Australia Ltd is A$13.2M (≈ $9.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of The Agency Group Australia Ltd is 0.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
Earnings per share at The Agency Group Australia Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
The net margin of The Agency Group Australia Ltd is −2.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The Agency Group Australia Ltd is −187% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Agency Group Australia Ltd is −6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
The operating margin of The Agency Group Australia Ltd is −2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
Revenue at The Agency Group Australia Ltd is growing +2.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1)?
Earnings per share at The Agency Group Australia Ltd are growing +7.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does The Agency Group Australia Ltd (AU1) carry?
The net debt of The Agency Group Australia Ltd is A$15.7M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 5.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 4, 2026