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Autins Group (AUTG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 8.7M GBX

AG Autins Group AUTG · LSE
Price£0.1600
Fair Value£0.0700
Upside-56.3%
Quality60/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range £0.0500 – £0.0800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from £0.2100 to £0.0700 (−66.7%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 56% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.0800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£1.50 £0.0630 Fair Value £0.0700 May 2017 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.0630 – £1.50 · fair‑value band £0.0500 – £0.0800 · the £0.1600 price screens above the £0.0700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Autins Group (AUTG) currently trades at £0.1600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0700, implying the stock looks roughly 56.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Autins Group generated revenue of £19.5M at a net margin of -4.7%. Revenue declined 12.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.2%. Net debt stands at £1.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.0500 (bear case) to £0.0800 (bull case); at £0.1600, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -56%, AUTG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £0.1600 £0.1900 £0.2500 80
Residual Income £0.1100 £0.1000 £0.0700 76
Rev-Margin DCF £0.1400 £0.1900 £0.2500 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £0.1500 £0.1900 £0.2500 38
Owner Earnings £0.2500 £0.3200 £0.4200 31
5Y Revenue Exit £0.1400 £0.1800 £0.2500 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £0.2900 £0.4400 £0.6500 41
5Y P/E Exit £0.1000 £0.1200 £0.1500 38
10Y Revenue Exit £0.1400 £0.1700 £0.2100 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £0.2200 £0.3100 £0.4100 37
10Y P/E Exit £0.1200 £0.1400 £0.1500 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.0200 £0.0200 £0.0300 54
EPV £0.1000 £0.1100 £0.1100 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.0300 £0.0400 £0.0400 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.0300 £0.0400 £0.0500 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £0.0500 £0.0700 £0.0800 63
P/S Multiple £0.0400 £0.0500 £0.0600 58
P/B Multiple £0.0400 £0.0500 £0.0600 55
EV/EBIT £0.1900 £0.2500 £0.3100 53
EV/EBITDA £0.4700 £0.6300 £0.7800 54
EV/Revenue £0.1300 £0.1800 £0.2400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.0900 £0.1100 £0.1700 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £0.1600 £0.1900 £0.2500 80
Rev-Margin DCF £0.1400 £0.1900 £0.2500 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.1100 £0.1000 £0.0700 76
ROIC Compounder £0.1000 £0.1100 £0.1100 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £0.0300 £0.0500 £0.0600 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (£0.1900) versus Earnings-Based (£0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 19.5M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.2%
Net margin -4.7%
Return on equity -12.2%
Free cash flow 1.1M GBX FY2026
Operating margin -4.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) £-0.0200
Net debt 1.3M GBX FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 97
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Autins Group plc, an investment holding company, supplies noise vibration and harshness insulation materials. It offers Neptune, a nonwoven microfibre material suitable for automotive applications where acoustic absorption is required; multi-layer products; light foam; heavy layer products; foams; and fleeces, as well as DecibeX, an underlay product to …

Full company description

Autins Group plc, an investment holding company, supplies noise vibration and harshness insulation materials. It offers Neptune, a nonwoven microfibre material suitable for automotive applications where acoustic absorption is required; multi-layer products; light foam; heavy layer products; foams; and fleeces, as well as DecibeX, an underlay product to reduce impact noise and improve acoustics in modern flooring materials. The company offers materials manufacturing, conversion and assembly, prototyping, materials testing, design, programme management, research and development services. In addition, it serves automotive, flooring, office, commercial vehicles, building applications, and healthcare industries. Autins Group plc was founded in 1966 and is based in Rugby, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Autins Group reported revenue of £17.6M in FY2026 versus £18.9M in FY2022, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was £162K in FY2026.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£17.6M
Latest YoY
−3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Revenue −1.7%/yr
FY22 £18.9M
FY23 £22.7M
FY24 £21.4M
FY25 £18.3M
FY26 £17.6M
Net income
FY22 −£3.3M
FY23 −£913K
FY24 −£1.2M
FY25 −£1.0M
FY26 £162K

AUTG screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Autins Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AUTG

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −56% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth -12% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.27× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 10.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 7 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Autins Group (AUTG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.0700 versus a price of £0.1600, about −56% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AUTG?
Our model-based fair value for Autins Group is £0.0700 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £0.1600.
What is the quality score of AUTG?
Autins Group has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Autins Group (AUTG)?
Autins Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £19.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AUTG?
The net profit margin of Autins Group is about -4.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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