Autins Group plc (AUTG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Autins Group plc £0.14, price £0.12, upside +16.7%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.0630 – £1.50 · fair‑value band £0.1200 – £0.1600 · the £0.1200 price screens below the £0.1400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Autins Group plc, an investment holding company, supplies noise vibration and harshness insulation materials.
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Autins Group plc, an investment holding company, supplies noise vibration and harshness insulation materials. It offers Neptune, a nonwoven microfibre material suitable for automotive applications where acoustic absorption is required; multi-layer products; light foam; heavy layer products; foams; and fleeces, as well as DecibeX, an underlay product to reduce impact noise and improve acoustics in modern flooring materials. The company offers materials manufacturing, conversion and assembly, prototyping, materials testing, design, programme management, research and development services. In addition, it serves automotive, flooring, office, commercial vehicles, building applications, and healthcare industries. Autins Group plc was founded in 1966 and is based in Rugby, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Autins Group plc (AUTG) currently trades at £0.1200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.1400, implying the stock looks roughly 14.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £0.2500 per share, and 15 of the 22 models we run sit above the £0.1200 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at £0.0200, and 7 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £0.1200 (bear) to £0.1600 (bull), the price of £0.1200 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Autins Group plc reported revenue of £17.6M in FY2026 versus £18.9M in FY2022, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was £162K in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap 8.7M GBX · P/S ratio 0.50 · Net margin 0.9% · Return on equity 1.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.6% · Operating margin 8.0% · Revenue (TTM) £17.6M · Revenue growth (YoY) −12.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 17%, AUTG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.1200Fair Value £0.1400Bull £0.1600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.4% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.3% (2021) → 4.2% (2026)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+12% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−12% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Autins Group plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AUTG
Frequently asked questions
Is Autins Group plc (AUTG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.1400 versus a price of £0.1200, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AUTG?
Our model-based fair value for Autins Group plc is £0.1400 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.1200.
What is the quality score of AUTG?
Autins Group plc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.1400 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.1200, optimistic scenario £0.1600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Autins Group plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.1400, about +17% upside versus a price of £0.1200 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.1200, optimistic scenario £0.1600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
Autins Group plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £17.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Autins Group plc would have to grow free cash flow by -9.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -5.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AUTG use?
Our models discount Autins Group plc at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.38, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Autins Group plc that is -9.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Autins Group plc (AUTG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Autins Group plc grew -5.5 % a year. The price currently implies -9.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Autins Group plc (AUTG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Autins Group plc (-9.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.73 %: that much free cash flow Autins Group plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Autins Group plc it is £0.1400 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £0.1200. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Autins Group plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AUTG trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.1200, fair value £0.1400, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AUTG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.1200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.1400). For Autins Group plc the two are £0.0200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Autins Group plc worth?
The market values Autins Group plc at about 8.7M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £0.1200; our models calculate a fair value of £0.1400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AUTG?
Our models span a range for Autins Group plc: cautious scenario £0.1200, base £0.1400, optimistic £0.1600 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £0.1200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Autins Group plc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AUTG from its 52-week high?
Autins Group plc trades at £0.1200, about 25% below its 52-week high of £0.1600 and 60% above the low of £0.0750 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.1400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Autins Group plc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Autins Group plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £0.1200, calculated fair value £0.1400 (+17%), Quality Score 60/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AUTG calculated?
We run Autins Group plc through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.1400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Autins Group plc currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was £0.1200. Our model-based fair value is £0.1400, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Autins Group plc right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Autins Group plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
The market capitalisation of Autins Group plc is 8.7M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Autins Group plc is 0.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
The net margin of Autins Group plc is 0.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Autins Group plc is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Autins Group plc is −3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
The operating margin of Autins Group plc is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Autins Group plc (AUTG)?
Revenue at Autins Group plc is growing −12.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Autins Group plc (AUTG) carry?
The net debt of Autins Group plc is 1.3M GBX (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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