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Automotive Axles Limited (AUTOAXLES) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹28.4B

AA Automotive Axles Limited AUTOAXLES · BSE
Price₹1,879
Fair Value₹1,609
Upside-14.4%
Quality61/100
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.78% dividend yield
Moderate moat 55/100
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Evidence: High Range ₹962.93 – ₹2,311 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 4, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price +3.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 14% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹962.93 to ₹2,311) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹2,486 ₹906.82 Fair Value ₹1,609 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹906.82 – ₹2,486 · fair‑value band ₹962.93 – ₹2,311 · the ₹1,879 price screens above the ₹1,609 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.

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Analysis

Automotive Axles Limited (AUTOAXLES) currently trades at ₹1,879, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,609, implying the stock looks roughly 14.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Automotive Axles Limited generated revenue of ₹21.8B at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 18.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. Net debt stands at ₹17.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 4, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹962.93 (bear case) to ₹2,311 (bull case); at ₹1,879, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -14%, AUTOAXLES screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹794.17 ₹1,185 ₹1,752 80
Residual Income ₹726.35 ₹952.91 ₹2,568 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,022 ₹1,704 ₹2,499 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹783.60 ₹1,230 ₹1,925 38
Owner Earnings ₹995.44 ₹1,567 ₹2,455 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹1,022 ₹1,714 ₹2,613 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,158 ₹1,972 ₹2,935 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹1,243 ₹2,133 ₹3,083 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹892.89 ₹1,508 ₹2,361 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,016 ₹1,688 ₹2,610 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹1,071 ₹1,801 ₹2,725 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹739.65 ₹2,455 ₹3,285 54
Lynch FV ₹555.06 ₹792.94 ₹1,031 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹555.06 ₹792.94 ₹1,031 46
EPV ₹897.32 ₹1,043 ₹1,170 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹280.05 ₹582.28 ₹923.72 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹280.05 ₹476.94 ₹611.12 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,632 ₹2,175 ₹2,719 63
P/S Multiple ₹1,387 ₹1,849 ₹2,311 58
P/B Multiple ₹1,387 ₹1,849 ₹2,311 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,762 ₹2,341 ₹2,920 53
EV/EBITDA ₹1,511 ₹2,007 ₹2,502 54
EV/Revenue ₹1,196 ₹1,698 ₹2,200 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹363.54 ₹487.15 ₹727.09 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹794.17 ₹1,185 ₹1,752 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,022 ₹1,704 ₹2,499 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹726.35 ₹952.91 ₹2,568 76
ROIC Compounder ₹941.02 ₹1,201 ₹1,530 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1,388 ₹1,983 ₹2,578 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,983) versus Dividend Discount (₹476.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹21.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.7%
Net margin 7.6%
Return on equity 15.8%
Free cash flow ₹992M FY2026
P/E ratio 17.3
More key figures
Operating margin 10.1%
EPS (TTM) ₹108.72
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.3%
Net debt ₹17.5M FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 67
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Automotive Axles Limited manufactures and sells automotive components in India. It offers front steer, defence, off-highway, drive and non-drive axles, drum and disc brakes, and suspension related products. The company primarily serves trucks and buses manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, and military and off-highway vehicle sectors.

Full company description

Automotive Axles Limited manufactures and sells automotive components in India. It offers front steer, defence, off-highway, drive and non-drive axles, drum and disc brakes, and suspension related products. The company primarily serves trucks and buses manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, and military and off-highway vehicle sectors. It also exports its products to the United States, China, France, Italy, Brazil, Australia, and internationally. Automotive Axles Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Mysore, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Automotive Axles Limited reported revenue of ₹21.3B in FY2026 versus ₹14.9B in FY2022, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.6B in FY2026, compounding +21.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹21.3B
Latest YoY
+2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+10.0%
Revenue +9.3%/yr
FY22 ₹14.9B
FY23 ₹23.2B
FY24 ₹22.3B
FY25 ₹20.8B
FY26 ₹21.3B
Net income +21.9%/yr
FY22 ₹744M
FY23 ₹1.6B
FY24 ₹1.7B
FY25 ₹1.6B
FY26 ₹1.6B

AUTOAXLES screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Automotive Axles Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AUTOAXLES

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 4, 2026).

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Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
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MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Automotive Axles Limited (AUTOAXLES) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,609 versus a price of ₹1,879, about −14% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AUTOAXLES?
Our model-based fair value for Automotive Axles Limited is ₹1,609 (as of Aug 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1,879.
What is the quality score of AUTOAXLES?
Automotive Axles Limited has a Quality Score of 61/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Automotive Axles Limited (AUTOAXLES)?
Automotive Axles Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹21.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 4, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AUTOAXLES?
The net profit margin of Automotive Axles Limited is about 7.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Automotive Axles Limited pay a dividend?
Automotive Axles Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.78% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 4, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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