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Australian Vintage Ltd (AUVGF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $4.5M

AV Australian Vintage Ltd logo Australian Vintage Ltd AUVGF · US
Price$0.0138
Fair Value$0.0148
Upside+7.3%
Quality26/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $0.0148 – $0.0289 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$0.0726 $0.0138 Fair Value $0.0148 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $0.0138 – $0.0726 · fair‑value band $0.0148 – $0.0289 · the $0.0138 price screens below the $0.0148 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Australian Vintage Ltd (AUVGF) currently trades at $0.0138, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0148, implying the stock looks roughly 7.3% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Australian Vintage Ltd generated revenue of $255M at a net margin of -12.2%. Revenue declined 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.2%. Net debt stands at $133M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0148 (bear case) to $0.0289 (bull case); at $0.0138, the current price sits below that range. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 7%, AUVGF screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $255M
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.7%
Net margin -12.2%
Return on equity -16.2%
Free cash flow −$14.7M FY2025
Operating margin -3.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0700
EPS growth (YoY) -78.4%
Net debt $133M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Australian Vintage Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, produces, packages, markets, and distributes wine in Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, Europe, the Americas, Asia, and internationally. The company offers wine under the Barossa Valley Wine Company, Chateau Marmalade, CTZN, Poco Vino, McGuigan, Lemsecco, Nepenthe, Not Guilty, Passion Pop, Tempus Two, The Butcher's Cellar, The Shy Pig, Kilkenny Cream, Mr Stubbs, and Tempus One brand names. It also engages in the growing of grapes; sale of concentrate and commercial products; and sells alcoholic and non-alcoholic wine, and other beverages. It sells its products through retail, wholesale, and distribution channels. The company was formerly known as McGuigan Simeon Wines Ltd. and changed its name to Australian Vintage Ltd in February 2008. Australian Vintage Ltd was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Cowandilla, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Australian Vintage Ltd reported revenue of $257M in FY2025 versus $274M in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.6M in FY2025.

Revenue −1.6%/yr
FY21 $274M
FY22 $260M
FY23 $259M
FY24 $261M
FY25 $257M
Net income
FY21 $19.6M
FY22 $17.3M
FY23 $4.0M
FY24 −$93.0M
FY25 −$9.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Australian Vintage Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AUVGF

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Frequently asked questions

Is Australian Vintage Ltd (AUVGF) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0148 versus a price of $0.0138, about +7% (fairly valued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AUVGF?
Our model-based fair value for Australian Vintage Ltd is $0.0148 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0138.
What is the quality score of AUVGF?
Australian Vintage Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Australian Vintage Ltd (AUVGF)?
Australian Vintage Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $255M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AUVGF?
The net profit margin of Australian Vintage Ltd is about -12.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.