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PT Avia Avian Tbk, (AVIA) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 19.5T IDR

PA PT Avia Avian Tbk, AVIA · JK
Price328.00 IDR
Fair Value454.61 IDR
Upside+38.6%
Quality77/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 21.3% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 73/100
Evidence: High Range 296.98 IDR – 598.19 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +4.5% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 39% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • A fairly wide model range (296.98 IDR to 598.19 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

791.98 IDR 288.00 IDR Fair Value 454.61 IDR Dec 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range 288.00 IDR – 791.98 IDR · fair‑value band 296.98 IDR – 598.19 IDR · the 328.00 IDR price screens below the 454.61 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Avia Avian Tbk, (AVIA) currently trades at 328.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 454.61 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 38.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Avia Avian Tbk, generated revenue of 8.5T IDR at a net margin of 21.3%. Revenue grew 16.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.6T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 296.98 IDR (bear case) to 598.19 IDR (bull case); at 328.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 39%, AVIA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 201.01 IDR 264.69 IDR 982.78 IDR 76
Growth DCF 289.68 IDR 427.98 IDR 637.29 IDR 72
Growth-Adj P/E 322.10 IDR 460.15 IDR 598.19 IDR 68
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 284.57 IDR 440.23 IDR 691.17 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 339.40 IDR 528.32 IDR 832.87 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 205.53 IDR 297.05 IDR 411.99 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 279.46 IDR 436.05 IDR 618.51 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 337.88 IDR 545.88 IDR 765.24 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 226.08 IDR 317.71 IDR 438.04 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 279.01 IDR 416.72 IDR 600.08 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 317.17 IDR 494.95 IDR 715.22 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 200.98 IDR 639.81 IDR 852.82 IDR 54
Lynch FV 141.10 IDR 201.57 IDR 262.04 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 141.10 IDR 201.57 IDR 262.04 IDR 46
EPV 280.49 IDR 325.05 IDR 364.66 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 376.83 IDR 502.44 IDR 628.05 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 154.57 IDR 206.10 IDR 257.62 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 362.93 IDR 483.91 IDR 604.89 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 369.80 IDR 483.73 IDR 597.67 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 306.71 IDR 399.62 IDR 492.53 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 172.26 IDR 234.08 IDR 295.91 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 80.65 IDR 108.07 IDR 161.30 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 289.68 IDR 427.98 IDR 637.29 IDR 72
Rev-Margin DCF 205.53 IDR 298.90 IDR 407.63 IDR 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 201.01 IDR 264.69 IDR 982.78 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 300.52 IDR 379.34 IDR 474.49 IDR 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 322.10 IDR 460.15 IDR 598.19 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (460.15 IDR) versus Asset-Based (108.07 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.5T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.8%
Net margin 21.3%
Return on equity 18.1%
Free cash flow 1.3T IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 9.5
More key figures
Operating margin 25.3%
EPS (TTM) 30.23 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +15.2%
Net cash 1.6T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 70
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Avia Avian Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes paints and building materials in Indonesia. It operates in two segments, Architectural Solutions and Trading Goods.

Full company description

PT Avia Avian Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes paints and building materials in Indonesia. It operates in two segments, Architectural Solutions and Trading Goods. The company offers wall paint, special effects and texture paint, waterproofing paint, wood and iron paint, wood preservative, primer, putty, and roof and zinc paint products; and instant cement, including skim coat, lightweight brick adhesive, tile adhesive, instant putty, and plaster adhesive. It also provides glue, natural stone coating, grout filler, duco and spray paint, protective coating, marine coating, floor paint, paint thinner, concrete additives, construction adhesive, and miscellaneous products; supporting products, such as paint brushes and rollers, sandpaper, insulation, mesh, roof filter, and faucet; and sealant products. In addition, the company sells and distributes architectural solutions materials; and provides adhesive solutions for the construction, automotive, engineering, and household sectors. Further, it engages in trading and services business. PT Avia Avian Tbk was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Sidoarjo, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Avia Avian Tbk, reported revenue of 8.1T IDR in FY2025 versus 6.8T IDR in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.7T IDR in FY2025, compounding +5.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.1T IDR
Latest YoY
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+8.2%
Revenue +4.6%/yr
FY21 6.8T IDR
FY22 6.7T IDR
FY23 7.0T IDR
FY24 7.5T IDR
FY25 8.1T IDR
Net income +5.1%/yr
FY21 1.4T IDR
FY22 1.4T IDR
FY23 1.6T IDR
FY24 1.7T IDR
FY25 1.7T IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Avia Avian Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVIA

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +39% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.05× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.31× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 85 · sector 0
FUTURE 84 · sector 19
PAST 72 · sector 23
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Avia Avian Tbk, (AVIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 454.61 IDR versus a price of 328.00 IDR, about +39% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AVIA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Avia Avian Tbk, is 454.61 IDR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 328.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of AVIA?
PT Avia Avian Tbk, has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Avia Avian Tbk, (AVIA)?
PT Avia Avian Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.5T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AVIA?
The net profit margin of PT Avia Avian Tbk, is about 21.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 21.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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