Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Aviation Links Ltd ILS 41.19, price ILS 19.33, upside +113.1%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.10 ILA – 21.50 ILA · fair‑value band 28.83 ILA – 53.55 ILA · the 19.33 ILA price screens below the 41.19 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Aviation Links Ltd engages in the provision of tourism and vacation package services in Israel. It offers flights, hotel rooms, car rental, transfers, organized tours, cruises, tickets for cultural and sports events, facilities, and other services. The company also sells tickets, as well as sells tickets to o sports games and shows.
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Aviation Links Ltd engages in the provision of tourism and vacation package services in Israel. It offers flights, hotel rooms, car rental, transfers, organized tours, cruises, tickets for cultural and sports events, facilities, and other services. The company also sells tickets, as well as sells tickets to o sports games and shows. Aviation Links Ltd was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Stock analysis
Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA) currently trades at 19.33 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 41.19 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 53.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 51.59 ILA per share, and 22 of the 25 models we run sit above the 19.33 ILA price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 7.39 ILA, and 3 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 28.83 ILA (bear) to 53.55 ILA (bull), the price of 19.33 ILA sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Aviation Links Ltd reported revenue of $225M in FY2025 versus $52.1M in FY2021, a compound +44.1%/yr. Reported net income was $4.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 148M ILA · P/S ratio 0.66 · EPS (TTM) −0.2480 ILA · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 17.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2% · Operating margin −1.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 113%, AVIA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 28.83 ILAFair Value 41.19 ILABull 53.55 ILA
Price 19.33 ILA · Upside +113.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+63.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.8% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9.9% vs 8.1%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−6% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Travel Services · 86 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside+113.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)17.5% · Above median
Return on assets2.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−1.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 41.19 ILA versus a price of 19.33 ILA, about +113% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AVIA?
Our model-based fair value for Aviation Links Ltd is 41.19 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 19.33 ILA.
What is the quality score of AVIA?
Aviation Links Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 41.19 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 28.83 ILA, optimistic scenario 53.55 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aviation Links Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 41.19 ILA, about +113% upside versus a price of 19.33 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 28.83 ILA, optimistic scenario 53.55 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
Aviation Links Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $208M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does Aviation Links Ltd pay a dividend?
Aviation Links Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.93% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aviation Links Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -10.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +40.6 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AVIA use?
Our models discount Aviation Links Ltd at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.23, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aviation Links Ltd that is -10.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aviation Links Ltd grew +40.6 % a year. The price currently implies -10.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aviation Links Ltd (-10.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.05 %: that much free cash flow Aviation Links Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aviation Links Ltd it is 41.19 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 19.33 ILA. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aviation Links Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, AVIA trades below its calculated fair value: price 19.33 ILA, fair value 41.19 ILA, a gap of about +113% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (19.33 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (41.19 ILA). For Aviation Links Ltd the two are 21.86 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aviation Links Ltd worth?
The market values Aviation Links Ltd at about 148M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 19.33 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 41.19 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVIA?
Our models span a range for Aviation Links Ltd: cautious scenario 28.83 ILA, base 41.19 ILA, optimistic 53.55 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 19.33 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aviation Links Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 17.5%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVIA from its 52-week high?
Aviation Links Ltd trades at 19.33 ILA, about 6% below its 52-week high of 20.57 ILA and 18% above the low of 16.39 ILA (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 41.19 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aviation Links Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Booking Holdings, Airbnb, Inc, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd, Viking Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aviation Links Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 19.33 ILA, calculated fair value 41.19 ILA (+113%), Quality Score 52/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVIA calculated?
We run Aviation Links Ltd through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 41.19 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Aviation Links Ltd currently trades 53 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 19.33 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 41.19 ILA, about +113% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aviation Links Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (28.83 ILA). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (28.83 ILA to 53.55 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA) come from?
Earnings per share at Aviation Links Ltd grew +9.0 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.3 %, EBIT margin +2.0 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Aviation Links Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
The market capitalisation of Aviation Links Ltd is 148M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aviation Links Ltd is 0.66 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
Earnings per share at Aviation Links Ltd are −0.2480 ILA. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
The dividend yield of Aviation Links Ltd is 3.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
The net margin of Aviation Links Ltd is 2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aviation Links Ltd is 17.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aviation Links Ltd is 8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
The operating margin of Aviation Links Ltd is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
Revenue at Aviation Links Ltd is growing +2.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA)?
Earnings per share at Aviation Links Ltd are growing +64.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aviation Links Ltd (AVIA) carry?
The net debt of Aviation Links Ltd is $13.4M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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