Alphaville S.A (AVLL3) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · BR · Market cap R$82.0M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from R$0.5694 to R$14.07 (+2,371.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −22.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$0.8700 – R$46.00 · fair‑value band R$9.33 – R$18.81 · the R$10.15 price screens below the R$14.07 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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Alphaville S.A (AVLL3) currently trades at R$10.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$14.07, implying the stock looks roughly 38.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Alphaville S.A generated revenue of R$571M at a net margin of -23.6%. Revenue declined 10.9% year over year. Net debt stands at R$588M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$9.33 (bear case) to R$18.81 (bull case); at R$10.15, the current price sits within that range. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at 39%, AVLL3 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Alphaville S.A. engages in residential subdivision business under the Alphaville brand in Brazil.It also offers real estate purchase and sale of residential and commercial properties and asset management. Alphaville S.A. was formerly known as Private Equity AE Investimentos e Participações S.A. The company was founded in 1973 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alphaville S.A reported revenue of R$585M in FY2025 versus R$228M in FY2021, a compound +26.6%/yr. Reported net income was −R$126M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 155,400 VND | 148,549 VND | -4% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹627.60 | ₹215.17 | -66% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,150 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹926.65 | ₹774.29 | -16% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,592 | ₹1,400 | -12% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹1,708 | ₹2,070 | +21% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,075 IDR | 1,909 IDR | +78% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 595.00 IDR | 1,363 IDR | +129% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 152.22 IDR | +138% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 545.00 IDR | 1,363 IDR | +150% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.