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Avoca LLC (AVOA) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $9.7M

AL Avoca LLC logo Avoca LLC AVOA · US
Price$1,200
Fair Value$2,911
Upside+142.6%
Quality87/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 64.8% net margin
Low debt
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Wide moat 92/100
Evidence: Medium Range $2,211 – $11,644 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −0.4% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 143% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (87/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2,211). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($2,211 to $11,644). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$2,200 $801.01 Fair Value $2,911 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $801.01 – $2,200 · fair‑value band $2,211 – $11,644 · the $1,200 price screens below the $2,911 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Avoca LLC (AVOA) currently trades at $1,200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2,911, implying the stock looks roughly 142.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 87/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Avoca LLC generated revenue of $5.0M at a net margin of 64.8%. Revenue grew 24.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 59.5%. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2,211 (bear case) to $11,644 (bull case); at $1,200, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 143%, AVOA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3,505 $5,592 $8,852 80
Residual Income $1,421 $1,979 $18,221 76
Rev-Margin DCF $1,823 $2,448 $3,737 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3,735 $5,192 $9,441 38
5Y Revenue Exit $1,697 $2,225 $3,279 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $2,754 $4,358 $7,486 41
5Y P/E Exit $3,623 $7,564 $12,866 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2,437 $3,788 $4,234 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3,112 $5,727 $9,974 37
10Y P/E Exit $3,654 $7,321 $13,183 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2,231 $15,557 $21,832 54
Lynch FV $8,037 $11,482 $14,926 50
PEG = 1.0 $8,037 $11,482 $14,926 46
EPV $2,393 $2,667 $2,890 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1,256 $2,104 $2,731 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1,256 $1,996 $2,264 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3,445 $4,593 $5,741 63
P/S Multiple $464.53 $619.38 $774.22 58
P/B Multiple $549.10 $732.14 $915.17 55
EV/EBIT $3,603 $4,767 $5,931 53
EV/EBITDA $2,211 $2,911 $3,611 54
EV/Revenue $543.91 $729.73 $915.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $203.37 $272.52 $406.74 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3,505 $5,592 $8,852 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1,823 $2,448 $3,737 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1,421 $1,979 $18,221 76
ROIC Compounder $2,651 $3,284 $3,949 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9,420 $13,457 $17,494 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($13,457) versus Asset-Based ($272.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.1%
Net margin 64.8%
Return on equity 59.5%
Operating margin 96.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 87/100

Of which business quality 83 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 90
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Avoca LLC operates as a subsidiary of Hancock Whitney Bank.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2000 – FY2003 · reported fiscal years

Avoca LLC reported revenue of $4.2M in FY2003 versus $2.4M in FY2000, a compound +20.4%/yr. Reported net income was $2.6M in FY2003, compounding +23.2%/yr from FY2000.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2003)
$4.2M
Latest YoY
+59.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.4%
Revenue +20.4%/yr
FY00 $2.4M
FY01 $5.5M
FY02 $2.6M
FY03 $4.2M
Net income +23.2%/yr
FY00 $1.4M
FY01 $3.6M
FY02 $1.6M
FY03 $2.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avoca LLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVOA

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 87 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +143% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 60% · Top 25%
Return on assets 52% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 65% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 97% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.96× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.94× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 19
PAST 100 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

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Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Avoca LLC (AVOA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2,911 versus a price of $1,200, about +143% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AVOA?
Our model-based fair value for Avoca LLC is $2,911 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1,200.
What is the quality score of AVOA?
Avoca LLC has a Quality Score of 87/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Avoca LLC (AVOA)?
Avoca LLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AVOA?
The net profit margin of Avoca LLC is about 64.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 64.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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