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Avoca LLC (AVOA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Avoca LLC $1,042, price $1,155, upside -9.8%, quality 86 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · US · ISIN US0538432073

AL Avoca LLC logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Avoca LLC

AVOA · US

Great Company, Expensive PriceHigh Quality, but the stock trades above estimated Fair Value.

!Fair value $1,042 · Overvalued (−10%)
✓Quality 86/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +20.4 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 64.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
✓Ranks above peers (10/12)
✓Wide moat 92/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $547.42 to $2,288
!Weak on valuation: 20 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$2,200 $801.01 Fair Value $1,042 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $801.01 – $2,200 · fair‑value band $547.42 – $2,288 · the $1,155 price screens above the $1,042 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Avoca LLC operates as a subsidiary of Hancock Whitney Bank.

Stock analysis

Avoca LLC (AVOA) currently trades at $1,155, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1,042, implying the stock looks roughly 10.9% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $6,998 per share, and 21 of the 25 models we run sit above the $1,155 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $272.52, and 4 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $547.42 (bear) to $2,288 (bull), the price of $1,155 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 86/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Avoca LLC reported revenue of $4.2M in FY2003 versus $2.4M in FY2000, a compound +20.4%/yr. Reported net income was $2.6M in FY2003, compounding +23.2%/yr from FY2000.

Key figures

Market cap $9.4M · P/S ratio 1.77 · Net margin 63.6% · Return on equity 59.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 68.2% · Operating margin 96.7% · Revenue (TTM) $5.0M · Revenue growth (YoY) +24.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −10%, AVOA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $547.42 Fair Value $1,042 Bull $2,288
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $3,016 $3,475 $3,870 74
FCF DCF $4,975 $7,600 $15,784 70
Growth DCF $4,678 $8,805 $15,454 70
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4,975 $7,600 $15,784 70
5Y Revenue Exit $1,844 $2,441 $3,635 67
5Y EBITDA Exit $3,052 $4,883 $8,457 68
5Y P/E Exit $4,044 $8,543 $14,613 63
10Y Revenue Exit $2,795 $4,457 $5,034 63
10Y EBITDA Exit $3,676 $6,998 $12,457 61
10Y P/E Exit $4,384 $9,087 $16,673 56
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2,231 $15,557 $21,832 59
Lynch FV $8,037 $11,482 $14,926 57
PEG = 1.0 $8,037 $11,482 $14,926 53
EPV $3,016 $3,475 $3,870 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1,584 $3,156 $4,780 62
DDM Multi-Stage $1,584 $2,728 $3,332 62
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3,445 $4,593 $5,741 63
P/S Multiple $464.53 $619.38 $774.22 58
P/B Multiple $549.10 $732.14 $915.17 55
EV/EBIT $3,603 $4,767 $5,931 66
EV/EBITDA $2,211 $2,911 $3,611 67
EV/Revenue $543.91 $729.73 $915.54 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $203.37 $272.52 $406.74 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4,678 $8,805 $15,454 70
Rev-Margin DCF $1,983 $2,691 $4,150 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1,870 $2,616 $33,322 59
ROIC Compounder $3,396 $4,457 $5,691 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9,420 $13,457 $17,494 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 86/100

Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 90
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+59.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
88.2% (2000) → 90.2% (2003)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 0 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 709 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 86 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 60% · Top 25%
Return on assets 52% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 65% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 97% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 16.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.85× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.86× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)20 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $469.72 $441.28 −6%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $326.46 $148.97 −54%
Ecolab Inc ECL $276.72 $96.18 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $286.97 $122.14 −57%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 238.00 TWD 235.25 TWD −1%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,406 CHF 1,523 −55%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥71.60 ¥68.03 −5%
Sika AG SIKA CHF 182.10 CHF 98.89 −46%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,455 ₹1,479 −40%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $107.20 $77.06 −28%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avoca LLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVOA

Frequently asked questions

Is Avoca LLC (AVOA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1,042 versus a price of $1,155, about −10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AVOA?
Our model-based fair value for Avoca LLC is $1,042 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1,155.
What is the quality score of AVOA?
Avoca LLC has a Quality Score of 86/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avoca LLC (AVOA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1,042 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $547.42, optimistic scenario $2,288. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avoca LLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1,042, about −10% upside versus a price of $1,155 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $547.42, optimistic scenario $2,288. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Avoca LLC (AVOA)?
Avoca LLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Avoca LLC (AVOA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avoca LLC it is $1,042 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1,155. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Avoca LLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AVOA trades above its calculated fair value: price $1,155, fair value $1,042, a gap of about −10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVOA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1,155); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1,042). For Avoca LLC the two are $113.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avoca LLC worth?
The market values Avoca LLC at about $9.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1,155; our models calculate a fair value of $1,042 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVOA?
Our models span a range for Avoca LLC: cautious scenario $547.42, base $1,042, optimistic $2,288 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1,155). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avoca LLC (AVOA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avoca LLC (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 59.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 86/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVOA from its 52-week high?
Avoca LLC trades at $1,155, about 25% below its 52-week high of $1,545 and 5% above the low of $1,100 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1,042 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avoca LLC?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avoca LLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1,155, calculated fair value $1,042 (−10%), Quality Score 86/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVOA calculated?
We run Avoca LLC through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1,042, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Avoca LLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Avoca LLC (AVOA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1,155. Our model-based fair value is $1,042, about −10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Avoca LLC right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($547.42 to $2,288). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Avoca LLC

How large is the market capitalisation of Avoca LLC (AVOA)?
The market capitalisation of Avoca LLC is $9.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Avoca LLC (AVOA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Avoca LLC is 1.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Avoca LLC (AVOA)?
The net margin of Avoca LLC is 63.6% (fiscal year 2003). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Avoca LLC (AVOA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avoca LLC is 59.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avoca LLC (AVOA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avoca LLC is 68.2% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avoca LLC (AVOA)?
The operating margin of Avoca LLC is 96.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Avoca LLC (AVOA)?
Revenue at Avoca LLC is growing +24.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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