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Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Avax One Technology Ltd. $2.91, price $6.20, upside -53.1%, quality 22 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US · Home Canada · ISIN CA05353F1080

AO Avax One Technology Ltd. logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Avax One Technology Ltd.

AVX · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $2.91 · Strongly overvalued (−53.1%)
!Quality 22/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +8709.3 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$252,000 $0.4010 Fair Value $2.91 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.4010 – $252,000 · fair‑value band $1.91 – $3.63 · the $6.20 price screens above the $2.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

AVAX One Technology Ltd., a digital infrastructure company, builds modular data centers to deliver cost-efficient compute capacity for AI and high-performance computing workloads.

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AVAX One Technology Ltd., a digital infrastructure company, builds modular data centers to deliver cost-efficient compute capacity for AI and high-performance computing workloads. It also mines Bitcoin in Alberta and Ohio; and maintains a strategic Avalanche digital asset treasury, accumulating AVAX and generating onchain yield through native staking and ecosystem participation. The company was formerly known as AgriFORCE Growing Systems Ltd. and changed its name to Avax One Technology Ltd. in November 2025. Avax One Technology Ltd. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in West Palm Beach, Florida.

Stock analysis

Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX) currently trades at $6.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.91, 53.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.91 (bear) to $3.63 (bull), the price of $6.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Avax One Technology Ltd. reported revenue of $2.3M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$33.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $42.4M · P/S ratio 9.26 · EPS (TTM) $−36.48 · Return on equity −105% · Return on assets (EBIT) −47.2% · Operating margin −63.0% · Revenue (TTM) $4.6M · Revenue growth (YoY) +629%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 1,446% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −53%, AVX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.91 Fair Value $2.91 Bull $3.63
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $12.52 $16.77 $25.04 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.52 $16.77 $25.04 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 91
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 25/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AVX screens overvalued: fair value 53% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 357 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −57.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −5.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −63.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 629.1% · Top 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 60
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $512.90 $564.19 +10%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $187.05 $42.16 −77%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $137.30 $112.26 −18%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $264.75 $37.31 −86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $176.33 $164.68 −7%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $434.94 $249.20 −43%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $87.12 $58.32 −33%
Block, Inc XYZ $74.04 $76.95 +4%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $204.41 $157.26 −23%
Okta, Inc OKTA $202.18 $142.12 −30%

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Avax One Technology Ltd. · Fair Value
$2.91 −53%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avax One Technology Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVX

Frequently asked questions

Is Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.91 versus a price of $6.20, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVX?
Our model-based fair value for Avax One Technology Ltd. is $2.91 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.20.
What is the quality score of AVX?
Avax One Technology Ltd. has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.91 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.91, optimistic scenario $3.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avax One Technology Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.91, about −53% upside versus a price of $6.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.91, optimistic scenario $3.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX)?
Avax One Technology Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avax One Technology Ltd. it is $2.91 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $6.20. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Avax One Technology Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, AVX trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.20, fair value $2.91, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.91). For Avax One Technology Ltd. the two are $3.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avax One Technology Ltd. worth?
The market values Avax One Technology Ltd. at about $42.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $6.20; our models calculate a fair value of $2.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVX?
Our models span a range for Avax One Technology Ltd.: cautious scenario $1.91, base $2.91, optimistic $3.63 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $6.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avax One Technology Ltd. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −105.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVX from its 52-week high?
Avax One Technology Ltd. trades at $6.20, about 12% below its 52-week high of $7.08 and 1,446% above the low of $0.4010 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avax One Technology Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avax One Technology Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $6.20, calculated fair value $2.91 (−53%), Quality Score 22/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVX calculated?
We run Avax One Technology Ltd. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Avax One Technology Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $6.20. Our model-based fair value is $2.91, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Avax One Technology Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.91 to $3.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Avax One Technology Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX)?
The market capitalisation of Avax One Technology Ltd. is $42.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Avax One Technology Ltd. is 9.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX)?
Earnings per share at Avax One Technology Ltd. are $−36.48. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avax One Technology Ltd. is −105% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avax One Technology Ltd. is −47.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX)?
The operating margin of Avax One Technology Ltd. is −63.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX)?
Revenue at Avax One Technology Ltd. is growing +629% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX) generate?
The free cash flow of Avax One Technology Ltd. is −$130M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Avax One Technology Ltd. (AVX) hold?
Avax One Technology Ltd. holds more cash than debt, $15.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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