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Azerion Group (AZRN) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · NL · Market cap €124M

AG Azerion Group AZRN · AS
Price€1.06
Fair Value€2.83
Upside+167.0%
Quality39/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -6.4% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Low Range €1.77 – €3.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +1.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 167% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€1.77). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (€1.77 to €3.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€10.00 €0.6880 Fair Value €2.83 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.6880 – €10.00 · fair‑value band €1.77 – €3.89 · the €1.06 price screens below the €2.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Azerion Group (AZRN) currently trades at €1.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.83, implying the stock looks roughly 167.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Azerion Group generated revenue of €542M at a net margin of -6.4%. Revenue grew 1.6% year over year. Net debt stands at €172M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €1.77 (bear case) to €3.89 (bull case); at €1.06, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at 167%, AZRN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA €1.88 €2.94 €4.00 54
NCAV (Graham) €0.0600 €0.0800 €0.1200 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €1.88 €2.94 €4.00 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.0600 €0.0800 €0.1200 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (€2.94) versus Asset-Based (€0.0800). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €542M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.6%
Net margin -6.4%
Return on equity -233%
Free cash flow −€9.8M FY2025
Operating margin 0.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.4600
Net debt €172M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 64
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Azerion Group N.V. operates a digital entertainment and media platform. It provides digital advertising solutions; Demand Side Platform which offers a tool to manage every aspect of campaigns for global brands, major agencies, and local advertisers; Supply Side Platform that enables publishers to manage their available ad slots across various media formats, …

Full company description

Azerion Group N.V. operates a digital entertainment and media platform. It provides digital advertising solutions; Demand Side Platform which offers a tool to manage every aspect of campaigns for global brands, major agencies, and local advertisers; Supply Side Platform that enables publishers to manage their available ad slots across various media formats, including websites, apps, TV, outdoor screens, and audio streams; and data management platform technology. The company also engages in distribution of AAA and casual games. It operates in Belgium, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Nordic Countries, Spain, the Netherlands, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, the United States, other Europeian Countries, and other non-European Countries. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Schiphol-Rijk, the Netherlands.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Azerion Group reported revenue of €541M in FY2025 versus €308M in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€34.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 19/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€541M
Latest YoY
−1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Revenue +15.1%/yr
FY21 €308M
FY22 €453M
FY23 €515M
FY24 €551M
FY25 €541M
Net income
FY21 −€19.6M
FY22 −€134M
FY23 €23.7M
FY24 −€57.9M
FY25 −€34.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Azerion Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AZRN

Peer Group

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 152 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +167% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Debt / equity 14.77× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/B 9.71× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 15
FUTURE 8 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 11
HEALTH 0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

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Electronic Arts Inc EA $207.27 $76.57 -63%
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $237.04 $60.45 -74%
Roblox Corporation RBLX $57.07 $21.20 -63%
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥14.04 ¥14.68 +5%
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 240,500 KRW 395,557 KRW +64%
Kunlun Tech Co 300418 ¥44.61 ¥6.87 -85%
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥29.98 ¥15.69 -48%
International Games System Co 3293 704.00 TWD 568.16 TWD -19%
37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 ¥19.02 ¥22.29 +17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Azerion Group (AZRN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.83 versus a price of €1.06, about +167% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AZRN?
Our model-based fair value for Azerion Group is €2.83 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €1.06.
What is the quality score of AZRN?
Azerion Group has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Azerion Group (AZRN)?
Azerion Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €542M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AZRN?
The net profit margin of Azerion Group is about -6.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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