Babcock International Group (BAB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · GB · Market cap 5.1B GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from £9.36 to £9.02 (−3.6%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +17.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 13% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from £6.55 (bear) to £11.27 (bull), base £9.02. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £2.18 – £13.07 · fair‑value band £6.55 – £11.27 · the £10.36 price screens above the £9.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Babcock International Group (BAB) currently trades at £10.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £9.02, implying the stock looks roughly 12.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Babcock International Group generated revenue of £5.0B at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 44.9%. Net debt stands at £358M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £6.55 (bear case) to £11.27 (bull case); at £10.36, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -13%, BAB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£9.55) versus Asset-Based (£0.8400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Babcock International Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and integration of specialist systems for aerospace, defense, and security in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Africa, North America, Australasia, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Marine, Nuclear, Land, and Aviation.
Full company description
Babcock International Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and integration of specialist systems for aerospace, defense, and security in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Africa, North America, Australasia, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Marine, Nuclear, Land, and Aviation. The company offers type 31 frigates, project lurcher, jackal contract, ground deployed advanced mortar system, general logistics vehicle, Babcock's LGE, and armored land cruiser 300. It also provides weapons handling systems, autonomous and uncrewed aerial systems, and engineering and systems integration. In addition, the company is involved in the design, integration, and through-life support of various connected combat, support, and surveillance vehicles; integration of long-range fires and C4ISTAR systems; provision of system engineering and general vehicle architecture services; and specialist vehicle conversions. Further, it provides equipment support, frontline support, and training services. The company was founded in 1891 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Babcock International Group reported revenue of £5.2B in FY2026 versus £4.1B in FY2022, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was £211M in FY2026, compounding +6.5%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +1.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BAB screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Are Investors Undervaluing Babcock International Group (BCKIY) Right Now?
- Babcock International Group PLC (BCKIF) Full Year 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Profit ...
- Babcock (LSE:BAB) Stock Faces Mixed Analyst Target Changes After Buy Ratings Shift
- With EPS Growth And More, Babcock International Group (LON:BAB) Makes An Interesting Case
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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