Babcock International Group PLC (BAB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Babcock International Group PLC £9.02, price £9.96, upside -9.4%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £2.51 – £15.02 · fair‑value band £6.76 – £13.98 · the £9.96 price screens above the £9.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Babcock International Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and integration of specialist systems for aerospace, defense, and security in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Africa, North America, Australasia, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Marine, Nuclear, Land, and Aviation.
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Babcock International Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and integration of specialist systems for aerospace, defense, and security in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Africa, North America, Australasia, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Marine, Nuclear, Land, and Aviation. The company offers type 31 frigates, project lurcher, jackal contract, ground deployed advanced mortar system, general logistics vehicle, Babcock's LGE, and armored land cruiser 300. It also provides weapons handling systems, autonomous and uncrewed aerial systems, and engineering and systems integration. In addition, the company is involved in the design, integration, and through-life support of various connected combat, support, and surveillance vehicles; integration of long-range fires and C4ISTAR systems; provision of system engineering and general vehicle architecture services; and specialist vehicle conversions. Further, it provides equipment support, frontline support, and training services. The company was founded in 1891 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Babcock International Group PLC (BAB) currently trades at £9.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £9.02, implying the stock looks roughly 10.4% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £10.23 per share, and 8 of the 24 models we run sit above the £9.96 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at £3.06, and 16 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £6.76 (bear) to £13.98 (bull), the price of £9.96 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Babcock International Group PLC reported revenue of £5.2B in FY2026 versus £4.1B in FY2022, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was £211M in FY2026, compounding +6.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 5.1B GBX · P/E ratio 24.3 · P/S ratio 0.99 · EPS (TTM) £0.4100 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 33.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −9%, BAB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £6.76Fair Value £9.02Bull £13.98
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.1658 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5% vs −3%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.3% a year for the price and +2.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (92 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Babcock International Group PLC with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 836 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside−9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)34% · Top 25%
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.77× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)24.3× · Pricier than median
P/B10.98× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Babcock International Group PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BAB
Frequently asked questions
Is Babcock International Group PLC (BAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £9.02 versus a price of £9.96, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BAB?
Our model-based fair value for Babcock International Group PLC is £9.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £9.96.
What is the quality score of BAB?
Babcock International Group PLC has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £9.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario £6.76, optimistic scenario £13.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Babcock International Group PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £9.02, about −9% upside versus a price of £9.96 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £6.76, optimistic scenario £13.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
Babcock International Group PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £5.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Babcock International Group PLC pay a dividend?
Babcock International Group PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.70% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Babcock International Group PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +9.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BAB use?
Our models discount Babcock International Group PLC at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.89, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Babcock International Group PLC that is +9.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Babcock International Group PLC (BAB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Babcock International Group PLC grew +5.5 % a year. The price currently implies +9.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Babcock International Group PLC (+9.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.17 %: that much free cash flow Babcock International Group PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Babcock International Group PLC it is £9.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of £9.96. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Babcock International Group PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BAB trades above its calculated fair value: price £9.96, fair value £9.02, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BAB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£9.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£9.02). For Babcock International Group PLC the two are £0.9380 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Babcock International Group PLC worth?
The market values Babcock International Group PLC at about 5.1B GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is £9.96; our models calculate a fair value of £9.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BAB?
Our models span a range for Babcock International Group PLC: cautious scenario £6.76, base £9.02, optimistic £13.98 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price £9.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BAB?
Babcock International Group PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £9.02 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 11.0, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 18.1.
What is the PEG ratio of BAB?
The PEG ratio of Babcock International Group PLC is 1.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Babcock International Group PLC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 33.7%, debt of 0.77 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BAB from its 52-week high?
Babcock International Group PLC trades at £9.96, about 34% below its 52-week high of £15.02 and 8% above the low of £9.21 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £9.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Babcock International Group PLC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Babcock International Group PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price £9.96, calculated fair value £9.02 (−9%), Quality Score 52/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BAB calculated?
We run Babcock International Group PLC through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £9.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Babcock International Group PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was £9.96. Our model-based fair value is £9.02, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Babcock International Group PLC right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (£6.76 to £13.98) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB) come from?
Earnings per share at Babcock International Group PLC grew −3.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.1 %, EBIT margin −2.8 %, tax rate −1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Babcock International Group PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
The market capitalisation of Babcock International Group PLC is 5.1B GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Babcock International Group PLC is 0.99 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
Earnings per share at Babcock International Group PLC are £0.4100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
The dividend yield of Babcock International Group PLC is 0.7% (payout 17.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
The net margin of Babcock International Group PLC is 4.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Babcock International Group PLC is 33.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Babcock International Group PLC is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
The operating margin of Babcock International Group PLC is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
Revenue at Babcock International Group PLC is growing +8.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Babcock International Group PLC (BAB)?
Earnings per share at Babcock International Group PLC are growing −63.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Babcock International Group PLC (BAB) carry?
The net debt of Babcock International Group PLC is 358M GBX (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026