P/F Bakkafrost, (BAKKA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · NO · Market cap 24.5B NOK
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from kr 187.99 to kr 343.67 (+82.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +12.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 429.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 382.65 – kr 721.97 · fair‑value band kr 257.75 – kr 429.60 · the kr 463.40 price screens above the kr 343.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
P/F Bakkafrost, (BAKKA) currently trades at kr 463.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 343.67, implying the stock looks roughly 25.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, P/F Bakkafrost, generated revenue of 7.2B NOK at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue grew 11.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at 3.9B NOK. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 257.75 (bear case) to kr 429.60 (bull case); at kr 463.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -26%, BAKKA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 193.80) versus DCF Models (kr 17.51). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
P/F Bakkafrost, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of salmon products in North America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Full company description
P/F Bakkafrost, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of salmon products in North America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through seven segments: Fishmeal, Fish Oil and Fish Feed; Freshwater Faroe Islands; Freshwater Scotland; Farming Faroe Islands; Farming Scotland; Services; and Sales & Other. Its products include fresh and frozen whole salmon, fresh and frozen salmon fillets, fresh skin-packed salmon portions, frozen salmon portions and tails, frozen smoked salmon and salmon fillets, frozen salmon bits and pieces, frozen salmon off-cuts and belly flaps, frozen salmon heads, salmon backbones, and salmon skin. The company is also involved in the production and sale of fishmeal, fish oil, and fish feed; production of eggs from breeding self-owned salmon strains; production of smolts; and on-growing of salmon. In addition, it manages a fleet of farming service vessels; provides fish transportation, treatments, net cleaning, harvesting, freight and logistical, and heavy marine support services; converts organic waste into biogas, heating, electricity, and fertilizers; produces styrofoam boxes; and optimizes the value creation and retention from the harvested fish. P/F Bakkafrost was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Glyvrar, Denmark.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
P/F Bakkafrost, reported revenue of kr 7.0B in FY2025 versus kr 5.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was kr 530M in FY2025, compounding −13.9%/yr from FY2021.
BAKKA screens 26% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 291 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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