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Data-driven stock valuation

Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited stock ₹10.36, price ₹15.83, that is 34.6% below the price, quality 20 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical IN · ISIN INE875R01011

BP Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited

BALKRISHNA · NSE
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 35% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +58% vs. a year ago.
Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +103.7 %/yr in INR)
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Fair value ₹10.36 · Overvalued
Quality 20/100
Loss-making · -121.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
Estimate
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

₹56.25 ₹12.88 Fair Value ₹10.36 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹12.88 – ₹56.25 · fair‑value band ₹7.77 – ₹12.95 · the ₹15.83 price screens above the ₹10.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of paper and paper boards primarily in India. It operates through the Paper and Paper Board, and Trading of Plastic & Packaging Materials segments.

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The company offers eco, chromo white back, eco-white, eco kraft back, and duplex coated boards. It serves pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, health care products, readymade garments, food products, match boxes, incense sticks, and the FMCG sectors.

The company was formerly known as Nirvikara Paper Mills Limited. Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited was founded in 1975 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Stock analysis

Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA) currently trades at ₹15.83, while our estimate is ₹10.36, 35% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: ₹7.77 (bear) to ₹12.95 (bull), the price of ₹15.83 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited reported revenue of ₹47.3M in FY2026 versus ₹2.4B in FY2022, a compound −62.5%/yr. Reported net income was −₹82.4M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹510M (≈ $5.4M) Micro · P/S ratio 8.52 · EPS (TTM) ₹−2.14 · Net margin −122% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −9.2% · Revenue (TTM) ₹53.8M · Revenue growth (YoY) +57.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −35%, BALKRISHNA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear ₹7.77 Fair Value ₹10.36 Bull ₹12.95
Price ₹15.83 · Downside -34.6%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 3
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 14
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 1
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 50
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 69
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 19
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 15
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 23
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−12.5% (2021) → −19.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BALKRISHNA screens overvalued: fair value 35% below the price. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 271 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 20 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −34.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −46.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −121.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −9.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 57.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 9.49× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 43
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €9.48 €9.67 +2% vs BALKRISHNA
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $44.36 $44.16 +0% vs BALKRISHNA
Crown Holdings CCK $123.23 $121.85 −1% vs BALKRISHNA
International Paper Company IP $35.13 $33.06 −6% vs BALKRISHNA
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $24.99 $19.83 −21% vs BALKRISHNA
Ball Corporation BALL $66.79 $48.92 −27% vs BALKRISHNA
Amcor plc AMCR $45.19 $31.20 −31% vs BALKRISHNA
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $189.04 $125.58 −34% vs BALKRISHNA
SIG Group SIGN CHF 15.27 CHF 9.03 −41% vs BALKRISHNA
Packaging Corporation PKG $254.23 $130.52 −49% vs BALKRISHNA

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Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BALKRISHNA

Frequently asked questions

Is Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is ₹10.36 versus a price of ₹15.83, about 35% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BALKRISHNA?
Our estimate for Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited is ₹10.36 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹15.83.
What is the quality score of BALKRISHNA?
Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of ₹10.36 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario ₹7.77, optimistic scenario ₹12.95. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at ₹10.36, about 35% lower versus a price of ₹15.83 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹7.77, optimistic scenario ₹12.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA)?
Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹53.8M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited it is ₹10.36 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ₹15.83.
Is Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, BALKRISHNA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹15.83, fair value ₹10.36, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BALKRISHNA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹15.83); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹10.36). For Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited the two are ₹5.47 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited worth?
The market values Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited at about ₹510M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ₹15.83; our models calculate a fair value of ₹10.36 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BALKRISHNA?
Our models span a range for Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited: cautious scenario ₹7.77, base ₹10.36, optimistic ₹12.95 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ₹15.83). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (as of Nov 10, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BALKRISHNA from its 52-week high?
Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited trades at ₹15.83, about 30% below its 52-week high of ₹22.62 and 23% above the low of ₹12.88 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹10.36 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ₹15.83, calculated fair value ₹10.36 (−35%), Quality Score 20/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ₹15.83. Our estimate is ₹10.36, about 35% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹12.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA)?
The market capitalisation of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited is ₹510M (≈ $5.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited is 8.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA)?
Earnings per share at Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited are ₹−2.14. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA)?
The net margin of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited is −122% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited is −9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA)?
The operating margin of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited is −9.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA)?
Revenue at Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited is growing +57.6% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA) generate?
The free cash flow of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited is −₹42.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited (BALKRISHNA) carry?
The net debt of Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited is ₹1.7B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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