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Baosheng Media Group (BAOS) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $4.4M

BM Baosheng Media Group logo Baosheng Media Group BAOS · US
Price$0.7072
Fair Value$1.44
Upside+103.6%
Quality40/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.07 – $2.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −74.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 104% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.07). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.07 to $2.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$30.00 $0.5588 Fair Value $1.44 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5588 – $30.00 · fair‑value band $1.07 – $2.14 · the $0.7072 price screens below the $1.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Baosheng Media Group (BAOS) currently trades at $0.7072, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.44, implying the stock looks roughly 103.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $569K. Revenue declined 50.5% year over year. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.07 (bear case) to $2.14 (bull case); at $0.7072, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at 104%, BAOS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.2600 $0.3500 $0.5300 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2600 $0.3500 $0.5300 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $569K
Revenue growth (YoY) -50.5%
Return on equity -133%
Free cash flow −$2.3M FY2025
Operating margin -1,129%
EPS (TTM) $-7.83
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -82.5%
Net cash $535K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 9
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Baosheng Media Group Holdings Limited, an offshore holding company, operates as an online marketing solution provider in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Baosheng Media Group Holdings Limited, an offshore holding company, operates as an online marketing solution provider in the People's Republic of China. It connects advertisers, online media, and helping advertisers to manage their online marketing activities in various ways, including advising on advertising strategies, budget and choice of advertising channels; procures ad inventory; offers ad optimization services; and administrates and fine-tunes the ad placement process. The company also serves media businesses in various ways, including identifying advertisers to buy their ad inventory; facilitating payment arrangements with advertisers; assisting advertisers in handling ad deployment logistics with media; and engaging in other marketing and promotion activities aimed at educating and inducing advertisers to use online advertising. Its advertising services comprise search engine marketing (SEM) services, such as the deployment of ranked search ads and other display search ads offered by search engine operators; and non-SEM services consisting of social media marketing, in-feed advertising, and mobile app advertising through deploying ads on media, such as social media platforms, short-video platforms, news portals, and mobile apps. The company serves advertiser base across various industries, including ecommerce and online service platforms, online travel agencies, financial services, online gaming, car services, and other advertising agencies. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Baosheng Media Group reported revenue of $569K in FY2025 versus $3.9M in FY2021, a compound −38.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$12.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$569K
Latest YoY
−8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−38.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−45.6%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−38.0%
Revenue −38.2%/yr
FY21 $3.9M
FY22 $2.4M
FY23 $922K
FY24 $624K
FY25 $569K
Net income
FY21 −$6.7M
FY22 −$23.7M
FY23 −$1.8M
FY24 −$26.9M
FY25 −$12.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Baosheng Media Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BAOS

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 201 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +104% · Top 25%
Return on assets -28% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth -51% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.34× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 7.77× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 0 · sector 7
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $506.98 $181.37 -64%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €87.16 €146.36 +68%
Omnicom Group OMC $80.75 $99.84 +24%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.00 ¥4.08 -18%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $19.37 $20.76 +7%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥13.81 ¥1.50 -89%
JCDecaux SE DEC €21.28 €20.99 -1%
WPP plc WPP $18.13 $18.56 +2%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥28.85 ¥5.62 -81%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.15 HK$6.43 -42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Baosheng Media Group (BAOS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.44 versus a price of $0.7072, about +104% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BAOS?
Our model-based fair value for Baosheng Media Group is $1.44 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.7072.
What is the quality score of BAOS?
Baosheng Media Group has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Baosheng Media Group (BAOS)?
Baosheng Media Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $569K (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BAOS?
The net profit margin of Baosheng Media Group is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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