Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6.48 TRY – 51.20 TRY · fair‑value band 23.35 TRY – 64.39 TRY · the 41.62 TRY price screens above the 39.54 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. engages in natural gas distribution activities in Ankara. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Ankara, Turkey. Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is a subsidiary of Torunlar Enerji Sanayi Ve Tic.A.S.
Stock analysis
Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ) currently trades at 41.62 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 39.54 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 5.3% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 243.64 TRY per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the 41.62 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 13.56 TRY, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 23.35 TRY (bear) to 64.39 TRY (bull), the price of 41.62 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported revenue of 29.1B TRY in FY2023 versus 4.1B TRY in FY2019, a compound +63.6%/yr. Reported net income was 3.9B TRY in FY2023, compounding +75.0%/yr from FY2019.
Key figures
Market cap 29.1B TRY (≈ $597M) · P/E ratio 15.0 · P/S ratio 2.01 · EPS (TTM) 2.78 TRY · Net margin 13.4% · Return on equity 10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.5% · Operating margin 15.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −5%, BASGZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 23.35 TRYFair Value 39.54 TRYBull 64.39 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+65.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+79.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+57.1%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.9%
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’23
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+28.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2018 to 2023 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 4%
2023 sits 632% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 102 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−12% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)16% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BASGZ
Frequently asked questions
Is Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 39.54 TRY versus a price of 41.62 TRY, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BASGZ?
Our model-based fair value for Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 39.54 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 41.62 TRY.
What is the quality score of BASGZ?
Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 39.54 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 23.35 TRY, optimistic scenario 64.39 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 39.54 TRY, about −5% upside versus a price of 41.62 TRY (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 23.35 TRY, optimistic scenario 64.39 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 49.3B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS would have to grow free cash flow by -8.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +57.1 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BASGZ use?
Our models discount Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS at 14.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.39, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS that is -8.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS grew +57.1 % a year. The price currently implies -8.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (-8.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.66 %: that much free cash flow Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS it is 39.54 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 41.62 TRY. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, BASGZ trades above its calculated fair value: price 41.62 TRY, fair value 39.54 TRY, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BASGZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (41.62 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (39.54 TRY). For Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS the two are 2.08 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS worth?
The market values Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS at about 29.1B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 41.62 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 39.54 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BASGZ?
Our models span a range for Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS: cautious scenario 23.35 TRY, base 39.54 TRY, optimistic 64.39 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 41.62 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BASGZ?
Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.0 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 39.54 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 4.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 10.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BASGZ from its 52-week high?
Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS trades at 41.62 TRY, about 19% below its 52-week high of 51.69 TRY and 38% above the low of 30.10 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 39.54 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, NiSource Inc, Uniper SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 41.62 TRY, calculated fair value 39.54 TRY (−5%), Quality Score 62/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BASGZ calculated?
We run Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 39.54 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was 41.62 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 39.54 TRY, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS right now?
The model range is unusually wide (23.35 TRY to 64.39 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
The market capitalisation of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 29.1B TRY (≈ $597M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 2.01 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
Earnings per share at Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS are 2.78 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
The net margin of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 13.4% (fiscal year 2023). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
The operating margin of Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 15.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
Revenue at Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is growing +7.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +79.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ)?
Earnings per share at Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS are growing −17.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (BASGZ) hold?
Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS holds more cash than debt, 1.5B TRY net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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