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PT Buana Finance Tbk (BBLD) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · ID · Market cap 897B IDR

PB PT Buana Finance Tbk BBLD · JK
Price605.00 IDR
Fair Value106.48 IDR
Upside-82.4%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.3% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range 79.86 IDR – 133.10 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +13.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (133.10 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,121 IDR 335.63 IDR Fair Value 106.48 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 335.63 IDR – 1,121 IDR · fair‑value band 79.86 IDR – 133.10 IDR · the 605.00 IDR price screens above the 106.48 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Buana Finance Tbk (BBLD) currently trades at 605.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 106.48 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 82.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Buana Finance Tbk generated revenue of 410B IDR at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue declined 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Net debt stands at 5.5T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 79.86 IDR (bear case) to 133.10 IDR (bull case); at 605.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -82%, BBLD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (60.53 IDR to 572.92 IDR). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 592.39 IDR 552.08 IDR 410.86 IDR 76
P/E Multiple 79.86 IDR 106.48 IDR 133.10 IDR 63
P/B Multiple 104.43 IDR 139.24 IDR 174.05 IDR 55
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 55.70 IDR 186.44 IDR 249.69 IDR 54
Lynch FV 42.37 IDR 60.53 IDR 78.69 IDR 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple 79.86 IDR 106.48 IDR 133.10 IDR 63
P/B Multiple 104.43 IDR 139.24 IDR 174.05 IDR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 427.56 IDR 572.92 IDR 855.11 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 592.39 IDR 552.08 IDR 410.86 IDR 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (572.92 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (60.53 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 410B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.0%
Net margin 1.3%
Return on equity 0.4%
Free cash flow −469B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 103.0
More key figures
Operating margin 10.3%
EPS (TTM) 5.63 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -82.9%
Net debt 5.5T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Buana Finance Tbk provides investment, working capital, and multipurpose financing services in Indonesia. It operates through Finance Lease Receivables and Consumer Financing Receivables segments.

Full company description

PT Buana Finance Tbk provides investment, working capital, and multipurpose financing services in Indonesia. It operates through Finance Lease Receivables and Consumer Financing Receivables segments. The company offers financing services for various products, including heavy equipment, such as excavators, wheel loaders, tractors, and heavy trucks; generators and forklifts; printing and industrial machineries; consumer cars and commercial vehicles (trucks); vessels; Hajj/Umrah; education; tour traveling/vacation; and others, as well as sale and leaseback services. It also provides working capital financing, which includes factoring; multipurpose financing comprising finance lease, installment finance and funding facility; and investment financing that cover financing facilities for procurement of capital goods, as well as services to individuals, business entities, or legal entities for the modernization and expansion of businesses/investment. It serves customers through a network of 35 branches located in Jabodetabek, Java, Sumatera, Bali, Kalimantan, and Sulawesi. PT Buana Finance Tbk was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Buana Finance Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Sari Dasa Karsa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Buana Finance Tbk reported revenue of 917B IDR in FY2025 versus 516B IDR in FY2021, a compound +15.4%/yr. Reported net income was 13.5B IDR in FY2025, compounding −17.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 33/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
917B IDR
Latest YoY
+16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Revenue +15.4%/yr
FY21 516B IDR
FY22 540B IDR
FY23 658B IDR
FY24 785B IDR
FY25 917B IDR
Net income −17.2%/yr
FY21 28.7B IDR
FY22 87.5B IDR
FY23 105B IDR
FY24 66.1B IDR
FY25 13.5B IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −2.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.5 pp

of which total revenue +4.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −2.2 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −5.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

BBLD screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Buana Finance Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BBLD

Peer Group

Credit Services · 331 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 4.01× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 97.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.64× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.19× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 39
PAST 2 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Buana Finance Tbk (BBLD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 106.48 IDR versus a price of 605.00 IDR, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BBLD?
Our model-based fair value for PT Buana Finance Tbk is 106.48 IDR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 605.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BBLD?
PT Buana Finance Tbk has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Buana Finance Tbk (BBLD)?
PT Buana Finance Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 410B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BBLD?
The net profit margin of PT Buana Finance Tbk is about 1.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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