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Bombardier Inc (BDRXF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $5.1B

BI Bombardier Inc logo Bombardier Inc BDRXF · US
Price$18.32
Fair Value$4.50
Upside-75.4%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.7% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
6.27% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/12)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range $3.08 – $5.99 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.08 to $5.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$18.75 $1.92 Fair Value $4.50 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.92 – $18.75 · fair‑value band $3.08 – $5.99 · the $18.32 price screens above the $4.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Bombardier Inc (BDRXF) currently trades at $18.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.50, implying the stock looks roughly 75.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Bombardier Inc generated revenue of $9.6B at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 5.1% year over year. Net debt stands at $3.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.08 (bear case) to $5.99 (bull case); at $18.32, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -75%, BDRXF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.44 $4.94 $7.42 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.14 $5.14 $7.60 74
ROIC Compounder $2.98 $3.69 $4.34 72
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.26 $4.81 $7.61 38
Owner Earnings $4.07 $5.93 $9.26 31
5Y Revenue Exit $3.14 $5.04 $7.80 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.12 $6.74 $10.20 41
5Y P/E Exit $4.09 $6.68 $9.78 38
10Y Revenue Exit $3.04 $4.44 $5.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.74 $5.46 $7.31 37
10Y P/E Exit $3.72 $5.43 $7.07 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.84 $3.48 $3.91 54
EPV $2.98 $3.61 $4.15 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0800 $0.0900 $0.1000 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0800 $0.1000 $0.1200 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.59 $8.79 $10.98 63
P/S Multiple $5.33 $7.11 $8.89 58
EV/EBIT $5.20 $7.27 $9.34 53
EV/EBITDA $5.65 $7.87 $10.09 54
EV/Revenue $3.43 $5.33 $7.22 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.44 $4.94 $7.42 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.14 $5.14 $7.60 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $2.98 $3.69 $4.34 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.65 $6.65 $8.64 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($7.27) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $9.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.1%
Net margin 9.7%
Free cash flow $1.1B FY2025
Operating margin 10.8%
EPS (TTM) $-3.41
More key figures
Dividend yield 6.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +21.6%
Net debt $3.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bombardier Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of business aircraft and aircraft structural components worldwide. It also provides various services, such as parts, service centers, smart services, training, and technical publications.

Full company description

Bombardier Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of business aircraft and aircraft structural components worldwide. It also provides various services, such as parts, service centers, smart services, training, and technical publications. The company serves multinational corporations, charter and fractional ownership providers, governments, and private individuals. Bombardier Inc. was incorporated in 1902 and is based in Dorval, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bombardier Inc reported revenue of $9.7B in FY2025 versus $6.1B in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was $992M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.7B
Latest YoY
+12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+1.7%
Revenue +12.4%/yr
FY21 $6.1B
FY22 $6.9B
FY23 $8.0B
FY24 $8.7B
FY25 $9.7B
Net income
FY21 −$249M
FY22 −$128M
FY23 $445M
FY24 $370M
FY25 $992M

BDRXF screens 75% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bombardier Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BDRXF

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.3% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.53× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 26 · sector 46
PAST 0 · sector 38
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €213.25 €86.20 -60%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bombardier Inc (BDRXF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.50 versus a price of $18.32, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BDRXF?
Our model-based fair value for Bombardier Inc is $4.50 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $18.32.
What is the quality score of BDRXF?
Bombardier Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bombardier Inc (BDRXF)?
Bombardier Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BDRXF?
The net profit margin of Bombardier Inc is about 9.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bombardier Inc pay a dividend?
Bombardier Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.27% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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