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BETA Technologies, Inc (BETA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $4.0B

BT BETA Technologies, Inc logo BETA Technologies, Inc BETA · US
Price$23.51
Fair Value$6.43
Upside-72.7%
Quality33/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range $4.25 – $8.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Share price +38.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($4.25 to $8.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (9 months)

$36.80 $13.59 Fair Value $6.43 Nov 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

9‑month range $13.59 – $36.80 · fair‑value band $4.25 – $8.04 · the $23.51 price screens above the $6.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 11, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

BETA Technologies, Inc (BETA) currently trades at $23.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.43, implying the stock looks roughly 72.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $36.2M. Revenue grew 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -73.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.25 (bear case) to $8.04 (bull case); at $23.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -73%, BETA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $4.09 $5.48 $8.18 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.09 $5.48 $8.18 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $36.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.6%
Return on equity -73.1%
Free cash flow −$313M FY2025
Operating margin -1,312%
EPS (TTM) $-4.26
More key figures
Net cash $1.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 94
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 56
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BETA Technologies, Inc., an electric aerospace company, designs, manufactures, and sells electric aircraft, electric propulsion systems, components, and charging systems worldwide. It builds and flown ALIA aircraft consisting of conventional fixed-wing electric aircraft and electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft.

Full company description

BETA Technologies, Inc., an electric aerospace company, designs, manufactures, and sells electric aircraft, electric propulsion systems, components, and charging systems worldwide. It builds and flown ALIA aircraft consisting of conventional fixed-wing electric aircraft and electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft. The company is also deploying a network of charging infrastructure. It serves customer base across cargo and logistics, defense, passenger, and medical end markets. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in South Burlington, Vermont.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BETA Technologies, Inc reported revenue of $35.6M in FY2025 versus $15.4M in FY2023, a compound +52.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$746M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$35.6M
Latest YoY
+136.0%
Revenue +52.3%/yr
FY23 $15.4M
FY24 $15.1M
FY25 $35.6M
Net income
FY23 −$176M
FY24 −$276M
FY25 −$746M

BETA screens 73% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BETA Technologies, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BETA

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -17% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.10× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.20× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 28 · sector 46
PAST 0 · sector 38
HEALTH 95 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €213.25 €86.20 -60%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BETA Technologies, Inc (BETA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.43 versus a price of $23.51, about −73% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BETA?
Our model-based fair value for BETA Technologies, Inc is $6.43 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $23.51.
What is the quality score of BETA?
BETA Technologies, Inc has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BETA Technologies, Inc (BETA)?
BETA Technologies, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $36.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BETA?
The net profit margin of BETA Technologies, Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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