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Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Beta Technologies, Inc. $6.34, price $24.34, upside -74.0%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN US0869211039

BT Beta Technologies, Inc. logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Beta Technologies, Inc.

BETA · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $6.34 · Strongly overvalued (−74%)
!Quality 35/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +136.0 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$36.80 $13.59 Fair Value $6.34 Nov 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

11‑month range $13.59 – $36.80 · fair‑value band $4.19 – $7.93 · the $24.34 price screens above the $6.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

BETA Technologies, Inc., an electric aerospace company, designs, manufactures, and sells electric aircraft, electric propulsion systems, components, and charging systems worldwide. It builds and flown ALIA aircraft consisting of conventional fixed-wing electric aircraft and electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft.

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BETA Technologies, Inc., an electric aerospace company, designs, manufactures, and sells electric aircraft, electric propulsion systems, components, and charging systems worldwide. It builds and flown ALIA aircraft consisting of conventional fixed-wing electric aircraft and electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft. The company is also deploying a network of charging infrastructure. It serves customer base across cargo and logistics, defense, passenger, and medical end markets. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in South Burlington, Vermont.

Stock analysis

Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA) currently trades at $24.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.34, implying the stock looks roughly 283.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $4.19 (bear) to $7.93 (bull), the price of $24.34 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Beta Technologies, Inc. reported revenue of $35.6M in FY2025 versus $15.4M in FY2023, a compound +52.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$746M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $5.6B · EPS (TTM) $−12.09 · Return on equity −89.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −30.2% · Operating margin −1,079% · Revenue (TTM) $44.8M · Revenue growth (YoY) +146% · Free cash flow −$313M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −74%, BETA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $4.19 Fair Value $6.34 Bull $7.93
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $4.03 $5.40 $8.06 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.03 $5.40 $8.06 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

BETA screens 284% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

Recent news

News mood News mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.

Compare Beta Technologies, Inc. with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −26% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 146% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.11× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 17

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $319.22 $92.68 −71%
RTX Corporation RTX $190.99 $88.37 −54%
Airbus SE AIR €194.60 €112.75 −42%
Safran SA SAF €332.00 €365.20 +10%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $522.34 $440.05 −16%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $225.36 $52.47 −77%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $343.39 $274.32 −20%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $509.86 $383.06 −25%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,112 $1,224 +10%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $239.89 $263.88 +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beta Technologies, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BETA

Frequently asked questions

Is Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.34 versus a price of $24.34, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BETA?
Our model-based fair value for Beta Technologies, Inc. is $6.34 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $24.34.
What is the quality score of BETA?
Beta Technologies, Inc. has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.34 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.19, optimistic scenario $7.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beta Technologies, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.34, about −74% upside versus a price of $24.34 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.19, optimistic scenario $7.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA)?
Beta Technologies, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $44.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beta Technologies, Inc. it is $6.34 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $24.34. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beta Technologies, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BETA trades above its calculated fair value: price $24.34, fair value $6.34, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BETA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($24.34); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.34). For Beta Technologies, Inc. the two are $18.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beta Technologies, Inc. worth?
The market values Beta Technologies, Inc. at about $5.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $24.34; our models calculate a fair value of $6.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BETA?
Our models span a range for Beta Technologies, Inc.: cautious scenario $4.19, base $6.34, optimistic $7.93 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $24.34). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beta Technologies, Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −89.9%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Beta Technologies, Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beta Technologies, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $24.34, calculated fair value $6.34 (−74%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BETA calculated?
We run Beta Technologies, Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Beta Technologies, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $24.34. Our model-based fair value is $6.34, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beta Technologies, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($4.19 to $7.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Beta Technologies, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA)?
The market capitalisation of Beta Technologies, Inc. is $5.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA)?
Earnings per share at Beta Technologies, Inc. are $−12.09. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beta Technologies, Inc. is −89.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beta Technologies, Inc. is −30.2% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA)?
The operating margin of Beta Technologies, Inc. is −1,079% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA)?
Revenue at Beta Technologies, Inc. is growing +146% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA) generate?
The free cash flow of Beta Technologies, Inc. is −$313M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA) hold?
Beta Technologies, Inc. holds more cash than debt, $1.5B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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