BETA Technologies, Inc (BETA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $4.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price +38.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($4.25 to $8.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (9 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
9‑month range $13.59 – $36.80 · fair‑value band $4.25 – $8.04 · the $23.51 price screens above the $6.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
BETA Technologies, Inc (BETA) currently trades at $23.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.43, implying the stock looks roughly 72.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $36.2M. Revenue grew 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -73.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.25 (bear case) to $8.04 (bull case); at $23.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -73%, BETA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
BETA Technologies, Inc., an electric aerospace company, designs, manufactures, and sells electric aircraft, electric propulsion systems, components, and charging systems worldwide. It builds and flown ALIA aircraft consisting of conventional fixed-wing electric aircraft and electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft.
Full company description
BETA Technologies, Inc., an electric aerospace company, designs, manufactures, and sells electric aircraft, electric propulsion systems, components, and charging systems worldwide. It builds and flown ALIA aircraft consisting of conventional fixed-wing electric aircraft and electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft. The company is also deploying a network of charging infrastructure. It serves customer base across cargo and logistics, defense, passenger, and medical end markets. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in South Burlington, Vermont.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BETA Technologies, Inc reported revenue of $35.6M in FY2025 versus $15.4M in FY2023, a compound +52.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$746M in FY2025.
BETA screens 73% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- BETA Technologies (BETA) Joins Electric Skyways Consortium, Is It Still 38% Below Fair Value?
- GE Aerospace Partners with NASA, BETA Technologies, and Boeing on World’s First High-Altitude Hybrid Electric Flight
- BETA Technologies Unveils MV250, Delivering Greater Range, Higher Speed, and Lower Costs for Military Logistics
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $381.22 | $116.71 | -69% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $195.93 | $88.37 | -55% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €213.25 | €86.20 | -60% |
| The Boeing Company BA | $217.11 | $48.20 | -78% |
| China CSSC Holdings 600150 | ¥34.31 | ¥21.90 | -36% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 466,000 KRW | 272,966 KRW | -41% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 967,000 KRW | 573,468 KRW | -41% |
| ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS | 337.50 TRY | 130.70 TRY | -61% |
| Saab AB SAABB | kr 520.40 | kr 212.84 | -59% |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG | kr 277.50 | kr 106.93 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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