Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value 17.10 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−85%)
!Quality 45/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 5y +69.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers(6/12)
!Moderate moat61/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells hydraulic brake systems for passenger cars and light commercial vehicles in Turkey and internationally. It offers servo brakes; and brake master cylinders and assist systems. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is headquartered in Bursa, Turkey. Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.
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Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells hydraulic brake systems for passenger cars and light commercial vehicles in Turkey and internationally. It offers servo brakes; and brake master cylinders and assist systems. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is headquartered in Bursa, Turkey. Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is a subsidiary of Robert Bosch GmbH.
Stock analysis
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN) currently trades at 117.00 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.10 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 584.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 60.54 TRY per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the 117.00 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 3.15 TRY, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 9.56 TRY (bear) to 24.35 TRY (bull), the price of 117.00 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 2.9B TRL in FY2025 versus 319M TRL in FY2021, a compound +74.1%/yr. Reported net income was 109M TRL in FY2025, compounding +28.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 14.3B TRY (≈ $294M) · P/E ratio 98.3 · P/S ratio 3.64 · EPS (TTM) 1.19 TRY · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 30.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −85%, BFREN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (3.15 TRY to 60.54 TRY). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 9.56 TRYFair Value 17.10 TRYBull 24.35 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.8575 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+62.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+69.8%
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−33.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−28.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−29.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 8%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 20.0%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 654 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−85% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)31% · Top 25%
Return on assets16% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth21% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)98.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B26.74× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)5.02× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA41.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 36
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BFREN
Frequently asked questions
Is Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 17.10 TRY versus a price of 117.00 TRY, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BFREN?
Our model-based fair value for Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 17.10 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 117.00 TRY.
What is the quality score of BFREN?
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 17.10 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.56 TRY, optimistic scenario 24.35 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 17.10 TRY, about −85% upside versus a price of 117.00 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.56 TRY, optimistic scenario 24.35 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.1B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS pay a dividend?
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.89% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS it is 17.10 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 117.00 TRY. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, BFREN trades above its calculated fair value: price 117.00 TRY, fair value 17.10 TRY, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BFREN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (117.00 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (17.10 TRY). For Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS the two are 99.90 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS at about 14.3B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 117.00 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 17.10 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BFREN?
Our models span a range for Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 9.56 TRY, base 17.10 TRY, optimistic 24.35 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 117.00 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BFREN?
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 98.3 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 17.10 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 26.7, P/S 5.0, EV/EBITDA 41.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 30.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BFREN from its 52-week high?
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at 117.00 TRY, about 49% below its 52-week high of 227.20 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 17.10 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 117.00 TRY, calculated fair value 17.10 TRY (−85%), Quality Score 45/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BFREN calculated?
We run Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 17.10 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was 117.00 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 17.10 TRY, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (24.35 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (9.56 TRY to 24.35 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
The market capitalisation of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 14.3B TRY (≈ $294M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 3.64 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Earnings per share at Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are 1.19 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 98.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
The dividend yield of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 0.9% (payout 87.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
The net margin of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 30.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 16.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
The operating margin of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 9.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Revenue at Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is growing +21.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +62.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Earnings per share at Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are growing +291% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN) generate?
The free cash flow of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −2.9M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN) carry?
The net debt of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 41.4M TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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