Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 3, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock TRY 11.84, price TRY 91.40, that is 87.0% below the price, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 15.73 TRY – 337.79 TRY · fair‑value band 10.83 TRY – 12.69 TRY · the 91.40 TRY price screens above the 11.84 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 1, 2026.
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Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells hydraulic brake systems for passenger cars and light commercial vehicles in Turkey and internationally. It offers servo brakes; and brake master cylinders and assist systems.
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The company was incorporated in 1975 and is headquartered in Bursa, Turkey. Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is a subsidiary of Robert Bosch GmbH.
Stock analysis
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN) currently trades at 91.40 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.84 TRY, 87% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 19.48 TRY per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the 91.40 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1.83 TRY, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 10.83 TRY (bear) to 12.69 TRY (bull), the price of 91.40 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 2.9B TRL in FY2025 versus 319M TRL in FY2021, a compound +74.1%/yr. Reported net income was 109M TRL in FY2025, compounding +28.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 11.2B TRY (≈ $224M) Micro · P/E ratio 54.4 · P/S ratio 2.01 · EPS (TTM) 1.68 TRY · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 34.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.3% · Operating margin 6.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −87%, BFREN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (1.83 TRY to 34.60 TRY). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear10.83 TRYFair Value 11.84 TRYBull12.69 TRY
Price 91.40 TRY · Downside -87.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.42 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+62.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+69.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +41.9% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−33.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−29.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−29.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 8%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 20.0%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 655 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−87.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)34.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)7.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)6.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−13.5% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)54.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B19.46× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.97× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA36.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 34
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BFREN
Frequently asked questions
Is Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11.84 TRY versus a price of 91.40 TRY, about 87% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BFREN?
Our model-based fair value for Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 11.84 TRY (as of Nov 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 91.40 TRY.
What is the quality score of BFREN?
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11.84 TRY (as of Nov 1, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 10.83 TRY, optimistic scenario 12.69 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11.84 TRY, about 87% lower versus a price of 91.40 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 10.83 TRY, optimistic scenario 12.69 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS it is 11.84 TRY per share (as of Nov 1, 2026), against a price of 91.40 TRY. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 1, 2026, BFREN trades above its calculated fair value: price 91.40 TRY, fair value 11.84 TRY, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BFREN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (91.40 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (11.84 TRY). For Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS the two are 79.56 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS at about 11.2B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 1, 2026). Per share that is 91.40 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 11.84 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BFREN?
Our models span a range for Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 10.83 TRY, base 11.84 TRY, optimistic 12.69 TRY per share (as of Nov 1, 2026, price 91.40 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BFREN?
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 54.4 (as of Nov 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 11.84 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 19.5, P/S 4.0, EV/EBITDA 36.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (as of Nov 1, 2026): return on equity 34.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BFREN from its 52-week high?
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at 91.40 TRY, about 48% below its 52-week high of 176.20 TRY and 5% above the low of 87.45 TRY (as of Nov 3, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 11.84 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 1, 2026: price 91.40 TRY, calculated fair value 11.84 TRY (−87%), Quality Score 43/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BFREN calculated?
We run Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 11.84 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5% above its aggregate fair value. Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
The closing price on Nov 3, 2026 was 91.40 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 11.84 TRY, about 87% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.69 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
The market capitalisation of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 11.2B TRY (≈ $224M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 2.01 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Earnings per share at Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are 1.68 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 54.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
The net margin of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 34.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 16.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
The operating margin of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Revenue at Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is growing −13.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +62.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN)?
Earnings per share at Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are growing +614% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN) generate?
The free cash flow of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −2.9M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BFREN) carry?
The net debt of Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 41.4M TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 1, 2026