Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Boyd Group Services Inc. stock $37.66, price $88.72, that is 57.5% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $76.81 – $237.52 · fair‑value band $32.72 – $53.42 · the $88.72 price screens above the $37.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Boyd Group Services Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates non-franchised collision repair centers in North America. The company operates its locations under the Boyd Autobody & Glass and Assured Automotive trade names in Canada, and Gerber Collision and Glass trade name in the United States.
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It operates as a retail auto glass operator under the Gerber Collision and Glass, Glass America, Auto Glass Service, Auto Glass Authority, and Autoglassonly.com trade names in the United States.
In addition, the company operates a third-party administrator, Gerber National Claims Services that offers glass, emergency roadside, and first notice of loss services; and a Mobile Auto Solutions service that offers scanning and calibration services.
It serves insurance companies and individual vehicle owners. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Winnipeg, Canada.
Stock analysis
Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) currently trades at $88.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.66, 58% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $188.09 per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the $88.72 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $6.06, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $32.72 (bear) to $53.42 (bull), the price of $88.72 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Boyd Group Services Inc. reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was $18.4M in FY2025, compounding −5.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.5B Mid · P/E ratio 197.2 · P/S ratio 0.69 · EPS (TTM) $0.4500 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −58%, BGSI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$32.72Fair Value $37.66Bull$53.42
Price $88.72 · Downside -57.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0051 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$157.40$255.03$413.4079
Growth DCF$158.40$253.17$405.9777
Residual Income$38.49$39.68$42.3876
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$157.40$255.03$413.4079
Owner Earnings$131.84$212.47$343.2575
5Y Revenue Exit$87.70$121.54$163.4373
5Y EBITDA Exit$139.96$223.60$323.5175
5Y P/E Exit$66.10$79.37$92.0172
10Y Revenue Exit$109.39$147.64$198.0867
10Y EBITDA Exit$144.73$220.30$325.5068
10Y P/E Exit$96.75$117.61$141.2265
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$4.50$16.99$23.0064
Lynch FV$4.11$5.88$7.6461
PEG = 1.0$4.11$5.88$7.6457
EPV$51.58$58.42$64.4274
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$3.15$6.58$10.4866
DDM Multi-Stage$3.15$5.54$6.9066
Multiples
P/E Multiple$10.42$13.90$17.3763
P/S Multiple$8.44$11.25$14.0658
P/B Multiple$79.98$106.65$133.3155
EV/EBIT$43.12$63.33$83.5465
EV/EBITDA$115.82$160.27$204.7167
EV/Revenue$25.76$44.31$62.8552
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$11.85$15.88$23.7054
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$158.40$253.17$405.9777
Rev-Margin DCF$87.70$123.00$166.4173
Economic Profit
Residual Income$38.49$39.68$42.3876
ROIC Compounder$51.58$58.42$68.3872
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$7.55$10.78$14.0167
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−1.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 4%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.8%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+18.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
The revenue jump in 2026 (+74.6%) comes with 24% more shares (acquisition or merger paid in stock). Per share it is about +40.9%. The comparison above is unreliable in such a year.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.0% a year for the price and +15.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (77 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.
Compare Boyd Group Services Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto & Truck Dealerships · 85 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−57.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)4.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)29.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.54× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)197.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.44× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)0.69× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)9.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA7.1× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)3· sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)73· sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)10· sector 74
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Boyd Group Services Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BGSI
Frequently asked questions
Is Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $37.66 versus a price of $88.72, about 58% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BGSI?
Our model-based fair value for Boyd Group Services Inc. is $37.66 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $88.72.
What is the quality score of BGSI?
Boyd Group Services Inc. has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $37.66 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $32.72, optimistic scenario $53.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Boyd Group Services Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $37.66, about 58% lower versus a price of $88.72 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $32.72, optimistic scenario $53.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
Boyd Group Services Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Boyd Group Services Inc. pay a dividend?
Boyd Group Services Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.50% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Boyd Group Services Inc. pays a dividend of $0.444 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 30, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2007. The payout ratio is 98.7% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 22.36 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Boyd Group Services Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by -8.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.0 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BGSI use?
Our models discount Boyd Group Services Inc. at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.69, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Boyd Group Services Inc. that is -8.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Boyd Group Services Inc. grew +15.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -8.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Boyd Group Services Inc. (-8.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.16 %: that much free cash flow Boyd Group Services Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Boyd Group Services Inc. it is $37.66 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $88.72. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Boyd Group Services Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, BGSI trades above its calculated fair value: price $88.72, fair value $37.66, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BGSI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($88.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($37.66). For Boyd Group Services Inc. the two are $51.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Boyd Group Services Inc. worth?
The market values Boyd Group Services Inc. at about $2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $88.72; our models calculate a fair value of $37.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BGSI?
Our models span a range for Boyd Group Services Inc.: cautious scenario $32.72, base $37.66, optimistic $53.42 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $88.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BGSI?
Boyd Group Services Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 197.2 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $37.66 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2020 to 2025), reported earnings: 107.9. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Boyd Group Services Inc. (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 0.7%, debt of 0.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BGSI from its 52-week high?
Boyd Group Services Inc. trades at $88.72, about 51% below its 52-week high of $181.63 and 16% above the low of $76.81 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $37.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Boyd Group Services Inc.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Carvana Co, Penske Automotive Group, Hotai Motor Co, CarMax, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Boyd Group Services Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $88.72, calculated fair value $37.66 (−58%), Quality Score 36/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BGSI calculated?
We run Boyd Group Services Inc. through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $37.66 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Boyd Group Services Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $88.72. Our model-based fair value is $37.66, about 58% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Boyd Group Services Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($53.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Boyd Group Services Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
The market capitalisation of Boyd Group Services Inc. is $2.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Boyd Group Services Inc. is 0.69 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
Earnings per share at Boyd Group Services Inc. are $0.4500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 197.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
The dividend yield of Boyd Group Services Inc. is 0.5% (payout 98.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
The net margin of Boyd Group Services Inc. is 0.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Boyd Group Services Inc. is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Boyd Group Services Inc. is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
The operating margin of Boyd Group Services Inc. is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
Revenue at Boyd Group Services Inc. is growing +29.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)?
Earnings per share at Boyd Group Services Inc. are growing −81.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) carry?
The net debt of Boyd Group Services Inc. is $487M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 7, 2026