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BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. (BGWTATO) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹1.5B

BA BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. BGWTATO · BSE
Price₹681.75
Fair Value₹730.98
Upside+7.2%
Quality76/100
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Strengths

Healthy Growth
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)

Risks

!Thin margins · 7.6% net margin
!Moderate moat 63/100
!Weak on dividend: 10 out of 100
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.68% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range ₹454.91 – ₹959.70 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 16, 2026, revised from ₹800.57 to ₹730.98 (−8.7%) since Aug 12, 2026.

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹454.91 to ₹959.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹708.15 ₹112.44 Fair Value ₹730.98 Nov 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹112.44 – ₹708.15 · fair‑value band ₹454.91 – ₹959.70 · the ₹681.75 price screens below the ₹730.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

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Analysis

BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. (BGWTATO) currently trades at ₹681.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹730.98, implying the stock looks roughly 7.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. generated revenue of ₹1.7B at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 16.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.7%. Net debt stands at ₹111M. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹454.91 (bear case) to ₹959.70 (bull case); at ₹681.75, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 116% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 7%, BGWTATO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹455.65 ₹668.72 ₹956.17 80
Residual Income ₹255.53 ₹340.93 ₹1,240 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹556.46 ₹919.66 ₹1,357 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹456.64 ₹686.66 ₹1,011 38
Owner Earnings ₹450.79 ₹677.71 ₹997.58 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹556.46 ₹925.29 ₹1,409 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹520.36 ₹855.15 ₹1,256 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹505.89 ₹827.05 ₹1,175 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹493.49 ₹804.69 ₹1,247 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹488.76 ₹759.26 ₹1,136 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹480.20 ₹741.05 ₹1,078 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹307.10 ₹1,142 ₹1,543 54
Lynch FV ₹274.41 ₹392.01 ₹509.61 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹274.41 ₹392.01 ₹509.61 46
EPV ₹515.64 ₹582.94 ₹639.02 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹575.82 ₹767.76 ₹959.70 63
P/S Multiple ₹575.82 ₹767.76 ₹959.70 58
P/B Multiple ₹459.87 ₹613.16 ₹766.46 55
EV/EBIT ₹741.83 ₹981.72 ₹1,222 53
EV/EBITDA ₹624.42 ₹825.17 ₹1,026 54
EV/Revenue ₹645.87 ₹913.18 ₹1,180 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹102.19 ₹136.94 ₹204.39 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹455.65 ₹668.72 ₹956.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹556.46 ₹919.66 ₹1,357 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹255.53 ₹340.93 ₹1,240 76
ROIC Compounder ₹552.40 ₹669.69 ₹798.23 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹449.86 ₹642.66 ₹835.46 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹767.76) versus Asset-Based (₹136.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹1.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.5%
Net margin 7.6%
Return on equity 24.7%
Free cash flow ₹127M FY2026
P/E ratio 15.1
More key figures
Operating margin 10.0%
EPS (TTM) ₹45.14
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +14.1%
Net debt ₹111M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 76/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 80
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 98
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bhagwati Autocast Limited engages in the production and sale of grey iron and ductile iron castings in India. It provides cylinder blocks, crank cases, hydraulic lift housings, gear box and clutch housings/differential housings, and front axle support for tractors, as well as gear and power industry housings.

Full company description

Bhagwati Autocast Limited engages in the production and sale of grey iron and ductile iron castings in India. It provides cylinder blocks, crank cases, hydraulic lift housings, gear box and clutch housings/differential housings, and front axle support for tractors, as well as gear and power industry housings. The company serves automotive, air and gas compression, refrigeration, commercial vehicle manufacturing, hydraulic systems, plastic injection molding machinery, agricultural equipment, wind energy generation, and general engineering industries. Bhagwati Autocast Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. reported revenue of ₹1.7B in FY2026 versus ₹1.1B in FY2022, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹130M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹1.7B
Latest YoY
+22.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Revenue +11.2%/yr
FY22 ₹1.1B
FY23 ₹1.5B
FY24 ₹1.3B
FY25 ₹1.4B
FY26 ₹1.7B
Net income
FY22 −₹9.6M
FY23 ₹77.2M
FY24 ₹69.3M
FY25 ₹61.6M
FY26 ₹130M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BGWTATO

Peer Group

Steel · 387 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.85× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE43 · sector 17
FUTURE83 · sector 4
PAST99 · sector 16
HEALTH98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND10 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,296 ₹1,119 -14%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.20 ₹145.39 -22%
POSCO Holdings 005490 310,000 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 11,230 ARS 16,076 ARS +43%
Jindal Steel & Power Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,114 ₹429.44 -61%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,891 ₹793.69 -58%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 39.22 MXN -53%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,472 ARS +55%
NMDC Limited NMDC ₹84.35 ₹116.23 +38%
Jindal Stainless Limited JSL ₹735.40 ₹552.30 -25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. (BGWTATO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹730.98 versus a price of ₹681.75, about +7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BGWTATO?
Our model-based fair value for BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. is ₹730.98 (as of Aug 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹681.75.
What is the quality score of BGWTATO?
BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. (BGWTATO)?
BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BGWTATO?
The net profit margin of BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. is about 7.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. pay a dividend?
BHAGWATI AUTOCAST LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.68% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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