Biglari Holdings (BH-A) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.2B
Biglari Holdings
BH-A · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +13.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $1,334 – $2,463 · fair‑value band $271.12 – $430.13 · the $1,947 price screens above the $319.77 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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Biglari Holdings (BH-A) currently trades at $1,947, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $319.77, implying the stock looks roughly 83.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Biglari Holdings generated revenue of $398M at a net margin of -4.7%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.5%. Net debt stands at $89.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $271.12 (bear case) to $430.13 (bull case); at $1,947, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -84%, BH-A screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Biglari Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, primarily operates and franchises restaurants in the United States. The company owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the Steak n Shake and Western Sizzlin names. It also engages in underwriting commercial truck insurance, including selling physical damage and non-trucking liability insurance to truckers; and property and casualty insurance and reinsurance. In addition, the company operates oil and natural gas properties offshore in Louisiana state waters and in the Permian Basin; and publishes, licenses, and sells magazines under the MAXIM brand names. Further, it involved investment activities. The company was formerly known as The Steak n Shake Company and changed its name to Biglari Holdings Inc. in April 2010. Biglari Holdings Inc. was founded in 1934 and is based in San Antonio, Texas.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Biglari Holdings reported revenue of $395M in FY2025 versus $366M in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$37.5M in FY2025.
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10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compass Group CPG | $0.3250 | $0.1900 | -42% |
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SRB | €88.72 | €35.83 | -60% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $28.18 | $14.95 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.87 | $71.29 | -53% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Restaurant Brands International Limited RSTRF | $77.57 | $43.31 | -44% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc D1RI34 | R$263.92 | R$39.74 | -85% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $42.88 | $41.58 | -3% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $179.77 | $128.38 | -29% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.