Bid Corporation (BID) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ZA · Market cap 145B ZAC
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from R462.77 to R347.60 (−24.9%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −0.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (R170.57 to R611.58). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R276.38 – R479.27 · fair‑value band R170.57 – R611.58 · the R433.39 price screens above the R347.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Bid Corporation (BID) currently trades at R433.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R347.60, implying the stock looks roughly 19.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bid Corporation generated revenue of 244B ZAR at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.3%. Net debt stands at 14.4B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R170.57 (bear case) to R611.58 (bull case); at R433.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at -20%, BID screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (R462.00) versus Asset-Based (R94.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bid Corporation Limited engages in the provision of foodservice solutions in the United Kingdom, Australia, the Netherlands, Italy, New Zealand, Czech Republic, Belgium, South Africa, the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally.
Full company description
Bid Corporation Limited engages in the provision of foodservice solutions in the United Kingdom, Australia, the Netherlands, Italy, New Zealand, Czech Republic, Belgium, South Africa, the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company distributes fresh ingredients, including fish, seafood, meat, produce, dairy products, liquor, and ambient goods for the hospitality, institutional, catering, and retail sectors; and develops e-commerce solutions. It also manufactures and distributes meat, poultry, dairy, and general food ingredients, as well as baking ingredients and equipment; manufactures ice cream; and offers a multi-temperature foodservice for various ambient, and chilled and frozen food products, as well as various other non-food catering. Bid Corporation Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bid Corporation reported revenue of R236B in FY2025 versus R115B in FY2021, a compound +19.7%/yr. Reported net income was R8.2B in FY2025, compounding +27.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BID screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Sysco Corporation →
Peer Group
Food Distribution · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $84.69 | $59.83 | -29% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $110.94 | $53.53 | -52% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $113.96 | $37.94 | -67% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €17.68 | €21.59 | +22% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.80 THB | 17.42 THB | +18% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $111.07 | $37.27 | -66% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.34 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +58% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $47.27 | $6.00 | -87% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $65.61 | $47.78 | -27% |
| Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 | ¥31.47 | ¥6.75 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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