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BIGCH Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 3.7B TRY

B BIGCH BIGCH · IS
Price6.87 TRY
Fair Value0.9500 TRY
Upside-86.2%
Quality35/100
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 28/100
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Evidence: High Range 0.6500 TRY – 0.9500 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −1.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.9500 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

43,313 TRY 3.56 TRY Fair Value 0.9500 TRY May 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range 3.56 TRY – 43,313 TRY · fair‑value band 0.6500 TRY – 0.9500 TRY · the 6.87 TRY price screens above the 0.9500 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

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Analysis

BIGCH (BIGCH) currently trades at 6.87 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.9500 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 86.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, BIGCH generated revenue of 4.9B TRY at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue grew 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. Net debt stands at 253M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.6500 TRY (bear case) to 0.9500 TRY (bull case); at 6.87 TRY, the current price sits above that range. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -86%, BIGCH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 11.08 TRY 20.75 TRY 36.33 TRY 80
Residual Income 1.60 TRY 1.47 TRY 1.04 TRY 76
Rev-Margin DCF 7.60 TRY 12.48 TRY 22.74 TRY 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 11.78 TRY 17.93 TRY 37.10 TRY 38
Owner Earnings 3.09 TRY 6.37 TRY 13.02 TRY 31
5Y Revenue Exit 6.97 TRY 10.94 TRY 19.20 TRY 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 17.36 TRY 31.96 TRY 60.63 TRY 41
5Y P/E Exit 3.86 TRY 5.40 TRY 7.02 TRY 38
10Y Revenue Exit 8.34 TRY 15.88 TRY 20.07 TRY 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 15.93 TRY 37.74 TRY 76.65 TRY 37
10Y P/E Exit 6.30 TRY 9.34 TRY 13.26 TRY 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.1400 TRY 0.9500 TRY 1.33 TRY 54
Lynch FV 0.4900 TRY 0.7000 TRY 0.9100 TRY 50
PEG = 1.0 0.4900 TRY 0.7000 TRY 0.9100 TRY 46
EPV 3.70 TRY 4.23 TRY 4.68 TRY 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.3000 TRY 0.4000 TRY 0.5000 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 0.2500 TRY 0.3400 TRY 0.4200 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 0.2500 TRY 0.3400 TRY 0.4200 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 6.62 TRY 8.70 TRY 10.78 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 18.97 TRY 25.16 TRY 31.35 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 4.59 TRY 6.39 TRY 8.19 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.20 TRY 1.61 TRY 2.40 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 11.08 TRY 20.75 TRY 36.33 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 7.60 TRY 12.48 TRY 22.74 TRY 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.60 TRY 1.47 TRY 1.04 TRY 76
ROIC Compounder 4.84 TRY 7.07 TRY 8.56 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.6300 TRY 0.9000 TRY 1.17 TRY 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (12.48 TRY) versus Multiples (0.4000 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.9B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.2%
Net margin 0.6%
Return on equity 2.2%
Free cash flow 383M TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 229.0
More key figures
Operating margin 8.0%
EPS (TTM) 0.0300 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) -76.8%
Net debt 253M TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 10
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Büyük Sefler Gida Turizm Tekstil Danismanlik Organizasyon Egitim Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S., together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of restaurants in Turkey and internationally. The company operates restaurants under the BigChefs, Numnum, Numnum Streetfood, Buselik, and Akademi BigChefs brands. It also franchises its restaurants.

Full company description

Büyük Sefler Gida Turizm Tekstil Danismanlik Organizasyon Egitim Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S., together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of restaurants in Turkey and internationally. The company operates restaurants under the BigChefs, Numnum, Numnum Streetfood, Buselik, and Akademi BigChefs brands. It also franchises its restaurants. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BIGCH reported revenue of 4.6B TRY in FY2025 versus 278M TRY in FY2021, a compound +101.9%/yr. Reported net income was 10.7M TRY in FY2025, compounding −13.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.6B TRY
Latest YoY
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+39.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+96.4%
Revenue +101.9%/yr
FY21 278M TRY
FY22 1.7B TRY
FY23 3.1B TRY
FY24 4.5B TRY
FY25 4.6B TRY
Net income −13.8%/yr
FY21 19.3M TRY
FY22 263M TRY
FY23 246M TRY
FY24 205M TRY
FY25 10.7M TRY

BIGCH screens 86% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
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BIGCH · Fair Value
0.9500 TRY −86%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BIGCH Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BIGCH

Peer Group

Restaurants · 235 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 229.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.87× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.75× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 51 · sector 20
PAST 9 · sector 15
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCDS C$24.01 C$10.84 -55%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $105.49 $35.83 -66%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $34.63 $18.43 -47%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $163.54 $59.66 -64%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR C$104.19 C$36.37 -65%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $195.74 $173.68 -11%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $43.90 $55.10 +26%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $197.03 $104.89 -47%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $68.36 $12.80 -81%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $322.18 $231.96 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BIGCH overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.9500 TRY versus a price of 6.87 TRY, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BIGCH?
Our model-based fair value for BIGCH is 0.9500 TRY (as of Aug 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 6.87 TRY.
What is the quality score of BIGCH?
BIGCH has a Quality Score of 35/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of BIGCH?
BIGCH reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.9B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BIGCH?
The net profit margin of BIGCH is about 0.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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