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Binero Group (BINERO) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · SE · Market cap 248M SEK

BG Binero Group BINERO · ST
Pricekr 1.68
Fair Valuekr 1.21
Upside-28.2%
Quality19/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -10.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range kr 0.8755 – kr 1.54 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −6.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 28% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 6.36 kr 1.54 Fair Value kr 1.21 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 1.54 – kr 6.36 · fair‑value band kr 0.8755 – kr 1.54 · the kr 1.68 price screens above the kr 1.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Binero Group (BINERO) currently trades at kr 1.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.21, implying the stock looks roughly 28.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Binero Group generated revenue of 480M SEK at a net margin of -10.4%. Revenue grew 18.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -41.5%. Net debt stands at 18.6M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.8755 (bear case) to kr 1.54 (bull case); at kr 1.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -28%, BINERO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 0.2800 kr 0.3500 kr 0.4800 80
EV/EBITDA kr 1.31 kr 1.70 kr 2.09 54
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.4400 kr 0.5900 kr 0.8800 50
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 0.2800 kr 0.3400 kr 0.5000 38
5Y Revenue Exit kr 0.2700 kr 0.3500 kr 0.5200 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 0.9300 kr 1.72 kr 3.25 41
10Y Revenue Exit kr 0.2700 kr 0.3900 kr 0.4800 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 0.6800 kr 1.57 kr 3.30 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA kr 1.31 kr 1.70 kr 2.09 54
EV/Revenue kr 0.2500 kr 0.3000 kr 0.3400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.4400 kr 0.5900 kr 0.8800 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 0.2800 kr 0.3500 kr 0.4800 80

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (kr 0.5900) versus Multiples (kr 0.3000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 479M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.5%
Net margin -10.3%
Return on equity -41.4%
Free cash flow 1.6M SEK FY2025
Operating margin -13.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -0.4000
Net debt 18.6M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Binero Group AB (publ) develops and delivers cloud and platform services in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland. It provides cloud services, including Swedish, public, private, and hybrid cloud; end to end services comprising support, project management, security, and managed services; and insights, such as GDPR-compliant cloud, sustainability, price, and …

Full company description

Binero Group AB (publ) develops and delivers cloud and platform services in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland. It provides cloud services, including Swedish, public, private, and hybrid cloud; end to end services comprising support, project management, security, and managed services; and insights, such as GDPR-compliant cloud, sustainability, price, and green data center services. The company also offers managed services, which include OS management, application and data base operation, backup, container management, and support services; and streaming, connected, hardware procurements, and network services. In addition, it provides IT services, such as infrastructure, operations, security, monitoring, and support services; and colocation, data centers, and IT consultancy services. The company was formerly known as Oniva Online Group Europe AB (publ) and changed its name to Binero Group AB (publ) in June 2018. Binero Group AB (publ) was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Bromma, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Binero Group reported revenue of kr 480M in FY2025 versus kr 52.5M in FY2021, a compound +73.9%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 49.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
480M SEK
Latest YoY
+15.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+66.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+60.0%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.2%
Revenue +73.9%/yr
FY21 kr 52.5M
FY22 kr 104M
FY23 kr 327M
FY24 kr 416M
FY25 kr 480M
Net income
FY21 −kr 19.1M
FY22 −kr 18.3M
FY23 −kr 29.1M
FY24 kr 12.9M
FY25 −kr 49.7M

BINERO screens 28% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Binero Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BINERO

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 19 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −28% · Above median
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 19% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.29× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 16.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 93 · sector 46
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 86 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Binero Group (BINERO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.21 versus a price of kr 1.68, about −28% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BINERO?
Our model-based fair value for Binero Group is kr 1.21 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 1.68.
What is the quality score of BINERO?
Binero Group has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Binero Group (BINERO)?
Binero Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 480M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BINERO?
The net profit margin of Binero Group is about -10.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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