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BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of BirlaNu Limited ₹305, price ₹1,400, upside -78.2%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · IN

BL Some data Sep 27, 2026

BirlaNu Limited

BIRLANU · NSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹304.72 · Strongly overvalued (−78.2%)
!Quality 39/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!1.1% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Trails peers (1/10)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 21 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹6,199 ₹1,202 Fair Value ₹304.72 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1,202 – ₹6,199 · fair‑value band ₹191.40 – ₹381.30 · the ₹1,400 price screens above the ₹304.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

BirlaNu Limited engages in the production and distribution of building materials and other solutions in India and internationally. It operates through Roofing Solutions, Building Solutions, Polymer Solutions, Flooring Solutions, and Others segments.

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BirlaNu Limited engages in the production and distribution of building materials and other solutions in India and internationally. It operates through Roofing Solutions, Building Solutions, Polymer Solutions, Flooring Solutions, and Others segments. The Roofing Solutions segment provides fiber cement sheets, colored steel sheets, cement based non-asbestos corrugated sheets, ready mix plasters, primers, block joining mortars, and tile adhesives under the Charminar and Charminar Fortune brands. Its Building Solutions segment offers wet walling and dry walling solutions, including autoclaved fly ash blocks, smart fix, smart bond, panels and boards; and aerocon panels and dry-mix under the Birla Aerocon brand. The Polymer Solutions segment offers UPVC, CPVC, column pipes, foamcore, pressure and UGD pipes, and fittings and water tanks under the Birla HIL Pipes brand; and wall putty under the Birla HIL Putty brand. Its Flooring Solutions segment provides laminate, engineered and resilient flooring, skirtings, and wall panel under the Parador brand. The Others segments generates electricity through wind power; and manufactures material handling, and processing plant and equipment. The company was formerly known as HIL Limited and changed its name to BirlaNu Limited in March 2025. BirlaNu Limited was incorporated in 1946 and is based in New Delhi, India.

Stock analysis

BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU) currently trades at ₹1,400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹304.72, 78.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹986.56 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ₹1,400 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹332.37, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ₹191.40 (bear) to ₹381.30 (bull), the price of ₹1,400 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

BirlaNu Limited reported revenue of ₹37.3B in FY2026 versus ₹35.0B in FY2022, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −₹1.2B in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹10.6B (≈ $110M) · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) ₹−158.51 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin −3.2% · Return on equity −10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3% · Operating margin −4.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −78%, BIRLANU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹191.40 Fair Value ₹304.72 Bull ₹381.30
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ₹209.22 ₹350.42 ₹454.83 68
DDM Multi-Stage ₹209.22 ₹332.37 ₹376.99 67
NCAV (Graham) ₹736.24 ₹986.56 ₹1,472 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹209.22 ₹350.42 ₹454.83 68
DDM Multi-Stage ₹209.22 ₹332.37 ₹376.99 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹736.24 ₹986.56 ₹1,472 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.1% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.0% (2021) → −3.8% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BIRLANU screens overvalued: fair value 78% below the price. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 254 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −3.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −4.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.27× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 26.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)44 · sector 17
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)21 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $454.44 $215.45 −53%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $148.89 $39.93 −73%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $55.38 $19.38 −65%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €69.82 €93.79 +34%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 545.80 CHF 303.40 −44%
Kingspan Group KRX €97.05 €68.47 −29%
Masco Corporation MAS $68.85 $56.94 −17%
Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL $326.37 $347.14 +6%
Lennox International Inc LII $368.41 $302.52 −18%
Madison Air Solutions Corporation MAIR $24.97 $20.32 −19%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BirlaNu Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BIRLANU

Frequently asked questions

Is BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹304.72 versus a price of ₹1,400, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BIRLANU?
Our model-based fair value for BirlaNu Limited is ₹304.72 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,400.
What is the quality score of BIRLANU?
BirlaNu Limited has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹304.72 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹191.40, optimistic scenario ₹381.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BirlaNu Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹304.72, about −78% upside versus a price of ₹1,400 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹191.40, optimistic scenario ₹381.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
BirlaNu Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹37.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does BirlaNu Limited pay a dividend?
BirlaNu Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BirlaNu Limited it is ₹304.72 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹1,400. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BirlaNu Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, BIRLANU trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1,400, fair value ₹304.72, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BIRLANU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹304.72). For BirlaNu Limited the two are ₹1,095 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BirlaNu Limited worth?
The market values BirlaNu Limited at about ₹10.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,400; our models calculate a fair value of ₹304.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BIRLANU?
Our models span a range for BirlaNu Limited: cautious scenario ₹191.40, base ₹304.72, optimistic ₹381.30 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹1,400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
Balance-sheet figures for BirlaNu Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −10.3%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BIRLANU from its 52-week high?
BirlaNu Limited trades at ₹1,400, about 30% below its 52-week high of ₹1,991 and 17% above the low of ₹1,202 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹304.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BirlaNu Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BirlaNu Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹1,400, calculated fair value ₹304.72 (−78%), Quality Score 39/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BIRLANU calculated?
We run BirlaNu Limited through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹304.72, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. BirlaNu Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ₹1,400. Our model-based fair value is ₹304.72, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BirlaNu Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹381.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (₹191.40 to ₹381.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of BirlaNu Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
The market capitalisation of BirlaNu Limited is ₹10.6B (≈ $110M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BirlaNu Limited is 0.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
Earnings per share at BirlaNu Limited are ₹−158.51. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
The dividend yield of BirlaNu Limited is 1.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
The net margin of BirlaNu Limited is −3.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BirlaNu Limited is −10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BirlaNu Limited is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
The operating margin of BirlaNu Limited is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU)?
Revenue at BirlaNu Limited is growing +8.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU) generate?
The free cash flow of BirlaNu Limited is −₹248M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does BirlaNu Limited (BIRLANU) carry?
The net debt of BirlaNu Limited is ₹10.6B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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