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The Berkeley Group (BKG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 3.2B GBX

Pricep34.46
Fair Valuep55.71
Upside+61.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range p34.20 – p85.94

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

The Berkeley Group (BKG) currently trades at p34.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is p55.71 — implying the stock looks roughly 61.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

The Berkeley Group Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, builds homes and neighbourhoods in the United Kingdom. The company engages in the residential-led and mixed-use property development and ancillary activities; and land selling activities. It operates under the Berkeley, St Edward, St George, St James, St Joseph, and St William brands. The Berkeley Group Holdings plc was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Cobham, the United Kingdom.

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Berkeley Group (BKG) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of p55.71 versus a price of p34.46 — about +62% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BKG?
Our 21-model fair value for The Berkeley Group is p55.71 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is p34.46.
What is the quality score of BKG?
The Berkeley Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.