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Blackline Inc (BL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Blackline Inc $27.00, price $28.13, upside -4.0%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US · ISIN US09239B1098

BI Blackline Inc logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Blackline Inc

BL · US

Low PriorityQuality growthFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $27.00 · Fairly valued (−4%)
!Quality 48/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.7% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Insider activity 35/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 28 out of 100
!Weak on past: 26 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$131.39 $25.23 Fair Value $27.00 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $25.23 – $131.39 · fair‑value band $18.90 – $35.10 · the $28.13 price screens above the $27.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

BlackLine, Inc. provides cloud-based solutions to automate and streamline accounting and finance operations in the United States and internationally.

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BlackLine, Inc. provides cloud-based solutions to automate and streamline accounting and finance operations in the United States and internationally. It offers financial close and consolidation solutions, such as account reconciliations that provides a centralized workspace for users to collaborate on account reconciliations; transaction matching, which analyzes and reconciles individual transactions; task management to create and manage processes and task lists; and financial reporting analytics that enables analysis and validation of financial data. The company also provides journal entry, which allows users to generate, review, and post manual journal entries; variance analysis that offers anomalous fluctuations in balance sheet and income statement account balances; compliance, an integrated solution that facilitates compliance-related initiatives, consolidates project management, and provides visibility over control self-assessments and testing; and smart close for SAP solution. In addition, it offers credit and risk, collection, dispute and deduction, and team and task management, as well as AR intelligence, electronic invoicing and payment, and cash application solutions. Further, the company provides intercompany create functionality that stores permissions and business logic exceptions by entity, service, and transaction type; intercompany balance and resolve, which records an organization's intercompany transactions; and netting and settlement that enables open intercompany transactions, which integrate with treasury systems. Additionally, it offers implementation, optimization, live and web-based training, and support services. The company sells its solutions primarily through direct sales force to multinational corporations, large domestic enterprises, and mid-market companies across various industries. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Woodland Hills, California.

Stock analysis

Blackline Inc (BL) currently trades at $28.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.00, implying the stock looks roughly 4.2% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $29.96 per share, and 6 of the 22 models we run sit above the $28.13 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.80, and 16 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $18.90 (bear) to $35.10 (bull), the price of $28.13 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Blackline Inc reported revenue of $700M in FY2025 versus $426M in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was $24.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.0B · P/E ratio 67.0 · P/S ratio 2.34 · EPS (TTM) $0.4200 · Net margin 3.5% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.3% · Operating margin 4.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −4%, BL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $18.90 Fair Value $27.00 Bull $35.10
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3072 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $32.34 $51.72 $104.83 76
Growth DCF $30.30 $55.39 $99.33 75
5Y EBITDA Exit $19.32 $35.53 $65.02 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $32.34 $51.72 $104.83 76
Owner Earnings $10.08 $25.93 $55.36 70
5Y Revenue Exit $10.94 $17.62 $29.87 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $19.32 $35.53 $65.02 72
5Y P/E Exit $13.04 $24.78 $38.90 69
10Y Revenue Exit $17.79 $29.96 $39.64 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $23.40 $44.79 $81.70 65
10Y P/E Exit $19.33 $33.69 $55.92 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.84 $19.82 $27.82 63
Lynch FV $6.15 $8.79 $11.42 61
PEG = 1.0 $6.15 $8.79 $11.42 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.78 $11.70 $14.63 63
P/S Multiple $5.33 $7.11 $8.88 58
P/B Multiple $5.33 $7.11 $8.88 55
EV/EBIT $5.54 $8.95 $12.37 64
EV/EBITDA $13.69 $19.82 $25.95 67
EV/Revenue $0.4700 $2.69 $4.91 48
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.83 $3.80 $5.67 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $30.30 $55.39 $99.33 75
Rev-Margin DCF $10.94 $19.81 $32.92 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.36 $4.51 $4.57 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9.45 $13.50 $17.55 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 94
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 58
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.2%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +23.7% a year
Revenue growth 12 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−3.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−6% → 5%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.8% a year for the price and +6.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+9.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+10.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+9.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+8.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+7.6%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 710 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.00× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 67.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 6.06× · book value is mostly goodwill Goodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 2.81× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 38.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG 4.53× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)28 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)49 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)26 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €182.32 €159.06 −13%
Shopify Inc SHOP $147.74 $64.36 −56%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.89 $104.82 +50%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $233.28 $344.41 +48%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $137.00 $150.70 +10%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $302.95 $225.14 −26%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $336.59 $75.08 −78%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $247.48 $32.92 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $238.25 $454.04 +91%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $269.64 $177.51 −34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Blackline Inc (BL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $27.00 versus a price of $28.13, about −4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BL?
Our model-based fair value for Blackline Inc is $27.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $28.13.
What is the quality score of BL?
Blackline Inc has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Blackline Inc (BL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $27.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $18.90, optimistic scenario $35.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Blackline Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $27.00, about −4% upside versus a price of $28.13 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $18.90, optimistic scenario $35.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Blackline Inc (BL)?
Blackline Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $717M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Blackline Inc (BL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Blackline Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +3.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BL use?
Our models discount Blackline Inc at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.66, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Blackline Inc that is +3.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Blackline Inc (BL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Blackline Inc grew +14.8 % a year. The price currently implies +3.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Blackline Inc (BL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Blackline Inc (+3.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Blackline Inc (BL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.02 %: that much free cash flow Blackline Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Blackline Inc (BL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Blackline Inc it is $27.00 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $28.13. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Blackline Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BL trades above its calculated fair value: price $28.13, fair value $27.00, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($28.13); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($27.00). For Blackline Inc the two are $1.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Blackline Inc worth?
The market values Blackline Inc at about $2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $28.13; our models calculate a fair value of $27.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BL?
Our models span a range for Blackline Inc: cautious scenario $18.90, base $27.00, optimistic $35.10 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $28.13). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BL?
Blackline Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 67.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $27.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 4.5, P/B 6.1, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 38.4.
What is the PEG ratio of BL?
The PEG ratio of Blackline Inc is 4.53 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Blackline Inc (BL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Blackline Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.5%, debt of 2.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BL from its 52-week high?
Blackline Inc trades at $28.13, about 52% below its 52-week high of $58.83 and 11% above the low of $25.23 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $27.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Blackline Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Blackline Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $28.13, calculated fair value $27.00 (−4%), Quality Score 48/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BL calculated?
We run Blackline Inc through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $27.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Blackline Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Blackline Inc (BL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $28.13. Our model-based fair value is $27.00, about −4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Blackline Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($18.90 to $35.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Blackline Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Blackline Inc (BL)?
The market capitalisation of Blackline Inc is $2.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Blackline Inc (BL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Blackline Inc is 2.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Blackline Inc (BL)?
Earnings per share at Blackline Inc are $0.4200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 67.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Blackline Inc (BL)?
The net margin of Blackline Inc is 3.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Blackline Inc (BL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Blackline Inc is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Blackline Inc (BL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Blackline Inc is −0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Blackline Inc (BL)?
The operating margin of Blackline Inc is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Blackline Inc (BL)?
Revenue at Blackline Inc is growing +9.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Blackline Inc (BL)?
Earnings per share at Blackline Inc are growing +37.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Blackline Inc (BL) carry?
The net debt of Blackline Inc is $550M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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