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Blue Coast Hotels Limited (BLUECOAST) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹412M

BC Blue Coast Hotels Limited BLUECOAST · BSE
Price₹23.96
Fair Value₹5.77
Upside-75.9%
Quality43/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹5.17 – ₹6.23 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −8.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹6.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹173.00 ₹2.97 Fair Value ₹5.77 Aug 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹2.97 – ₹173.00 · fair‑value band ₹5.17 – ₹6.23 · the ₹23.96 price screens above the ₹5.77 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Blue Coast Hotels Limited (BLUECOAST) currently trades at ₹23.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹5.77, implying the stock looks roughly 75.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at ₹7.6M. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. Net debt stands at ₹178M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹5.17 (bear case) to ₹6.23 (bull case); at ₹23.96, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -76%, BLUECOAST screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹13.39 ₹18.44 ₹26.26 80
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹3.85 ₹5.00 ₹6.53 41
5Y Revenue Exit ₹3.20 ₹3.87 ₹4.80 39
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹12.82 ₹18.15 ₹27.09 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹3.20 ₹3.87 ₹4.80 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹3.85 ₹5.00 ₹6.53 41
10Y Revenue Exit ₹7.36 ₹8.22 ₹8.89 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹7.73 ₹8.86 ₹9.81 37
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹13.39 ₹18.44 ₹26.26 80

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹18.44) versus DCF Models (₹8.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹7.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.1%
Free cash flow ₹37.2M FY2026
Operating margin 28.3%
EPS (TTM) ₹-7.35
Net debt ₹178M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Blue Coast Hotels Limited does not have significant operations. Previously, the company was engaged in the hotel business. The company was formerly known as Blue Coast Hotels and Resorts Ltd. and changed its name to Blue Coast Hotels Limited in October 2009. Blue Coast Hotels Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is based in New Delhi, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Blue Coast Hotels Limited reported revenue of ₹20.4M in FY2026 versus ₹0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −₹20.9M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 14/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹20.4M
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−37.1%
Revenue
FY22 ₹0
FY23 ₹0
FY24 ₹0
FY25 ₹0
FY26 ₹20.4M
Net income
FY22 −₹34.1M
FY23 −₹71.5M
FY24 −₹73.2M
FY25 ₹800M
FY26 −₹20.9M

BLUECOAST screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Blue Coast Hotels Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BLUECOAST

Peer Group

Lodging · 166 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -13% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.56× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE61 · sector 19
PAST0 · sector 11
HEALTH100 · sector 91
DIVIDEND0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $354.58 $132.35 -63%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $322.53 $122.02 -62%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $161.82 $85.18 -47%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $178.37 $46.78 -74%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹723.35 ₹253.67 -65%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 118,200 KRW 36,890 KRW -69%
Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 16.00 SAR 11.64 SAR -27%
Makkah Construction and Development Company 4100 81.95 SAR 36.25 SAR -56%
Minor International Public Company MINT 22.90 THB 32.82 THB +43%
Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels Co 600754 ¥19.48 ¥22.37 +15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Blue Coast Hotels Limited (BLUECOAST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹5.77 versus a price of ₹23.96, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BLUECOAST?
Our model-based fair value for Blue Coast Hotels Limited is ₹5.77 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹23.96.
What is the quality score of BLUECOAST?
Blue Coast Hotels Limited has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Blue Coast Hotels Limited (BLUECOAST)?
Blue Coast Hotels Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹7.6M (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BLUECOAST?
The net profit margin of Blue Coast Hotels Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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