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Blumar S.A (BLUMAR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Blumar S.A CLP 175, price CLP 328, upside -46.5%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · CL · ISIN CL0001820167

BS Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Blumar S.A

BLUMAR · SN

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 175.48 CLP · Strongly overvalued (−47%)
!Quality 58/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.8% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/13)
!Narrow moat 34/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 4 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

330.25 CLP 134.36 CLP Fair Value 175.48 CLP Mar 2018 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 134.36 CLP – 330.25 CLP · fair‑value band 72.16 CLP – 263.52 CLP · the 328.00 CLP price screens above the 175.48 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Blumar S.A. engages in the fishing and aquaculture businesses. The company produces and sells fresh or frozen salmon products in the United States, Brazil and the rest of Latin America, Europe, and Asia. It also provides fishmeal and fish oil products used in the production of animal feed; and frozen mackerel.

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Blumar S.A. engages in the fishing and aquaculture businesses. The company produces and sells fresh or frozen salmon products in the United States, Brazil and the rest of Latin America, Europe, and Asia. It also provides fishmeal and fish oil products used in the production of animal feed; and frozen mackerel. In addition, the company produces and sells mussels; and other products, such as fillets. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1948 and is based in Santiago, Chile.

Stock analysis

Blumar S.A (BLUMAR) currently trades at 328.00 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 175.48 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 86.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 233.97 CLP per share, and 3 of the 25 models we run sit above the 328.00 CLP price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 29.25 CLP, and 22 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 72.16 CLP (bear) to 263.52 CLP (bull), the price of 328.00 CLP sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Blumar S.A reported revenue of $713M in FY2025 versus $626M in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was $18.1M in FY2025, compounding −21.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 531B CLP (≈ $531M) · P/E ratio 100.3 · P/S ratio 2.55 · EPS (TTM) 3.27 CLP · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3% · Operating margin 15.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −47%, BLUMAR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 72.16 CLP Fair Value 175.48 CLP Bull 263.52 CLP
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.39 CLP per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 29.25 CLP 77.99 CLP 136.48 CLP 76
Residual Income 194.98 CLP 185.23 CLP 155.98 CLP 76
Growth DCF 29.25 CLP 68.24 CLP 116.99 CLP 75
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 29.25 CLP 77.99 CLP 136.48 CLP 76
Owner Earnings 68.24 CLP 126.74 CLP 214.48 CLP 74
5Y Revenue Exit 107.24 CLP 233.97 CLP 399.70 CLP 69
5Y EBITDA Exit 204.73 CLP 409.45 CLP 662.92 CLP 73
5Y P/E Exit 58.49 CLP 146.23 CLP 243.72 CLP 68
10Y Revenue Exit 68.24 CLP 175.48 CLP 311.96 CLP 63
10Y EBITDA Exit 126.74 CLP 282.72 CLP 497.19 CLP 65
10Y P/E Exit 48.74 CLP 116.99 CLP 194.98 CLP 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 77.99 CLP 243.72 CLP 321.71 CLP 65
Lynch FV 48.74 CLP 77.99 CLP 97.49 CLP 61
PEG = 1.0 48.74 CLP 77.99 CLP 97.49 CLP 57
EPV 39.00 CLP 48.74 CLP 68.24 CLP 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 19.50 CLP 39.00 CLP 48.74 CLP 68
DDM Multi-Stage 19.50 CLP 29.25 CLP 39.00 CLP 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 175.48 CLP 233.97 CLP 282.72 CLP 63
P/S Multiple 136.48 CLP 185.23 CLP 233.97 CLP 58
P/B Multiple 136.48 CLP 185.23 CLP 233.97 CLP 55
EV/EBIT 272.97 CLP 380.21 CLP 497.19 CLP 65
EV/EBITDA 370.46 CLP 506.94 CLP 653.18 CLP 67
EV/Revenue 175.48 CLP 272.97 CLP 380.21 CLP 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 136.48 CLP 185.23 CLP 282.72 CLP 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 29.25 CLP 68.24 CLP 116.99 CLP 75
Economic Profit
Residual Income 194.98 CLP 185.23 CLP 155.98 CLP 76
ROIC Compounder 39.00 CLP 48.74 CLP 68.24 CLP 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 146.23 CLP 204.73 CLP 263.22 CLP 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.4%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 11 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−10.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−11% → 6%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+53.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +49.6% a year for the price.

BLUMAR screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 297 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −47% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.32× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 100.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.13× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 103.0× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.6× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $82.34 $38.02 −54%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥41.86 ¥114.67 +174%
Bunge Global SA BG $110.00 $56.19 −49%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $51.82 $37.28 −28%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.90 ¥12.08 −19%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 196.70 kr 280.64 +43%
SalMar ASA SALM kr 561.00 kr 171.05 −70%
PT Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk PGUN 9,400 IDR 1,200 IDR −87%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥163.80 ¥311.94 +90%
United Plantations Berhad 2089 33.20 MYR 36.52 MYR +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Blumar S.A (BLUMAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 175.48 CLP versus a price of 328.00 CLP, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BLUMAR?
Our model-based fair value for Blumar S.A is 175.48 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 328.00 CLP.
What is the quality score of BLUMAR?
Blumar S.A has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 175.48 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 72.16 CLP, optimistic scenario 263.52 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Blumar S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 175.48 CLP, about −47% upside versus a price of 328.00 CLP (overvalued). Cautious scenario 72.16 CLP, optimistic scenario 263.52 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
Blumar S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $696M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Blumar S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +53.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BLUMAR use?
Our models discount Blumar S.A at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.42, country premium for Chile. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Blumar S.A that is +53.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Blumar S.A (BLUMAR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Blumar S.A grew +9.0 % a year. The price currently implies +53.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Blumar S.A (BLUMAR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Blumar S.A (+53.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.97 %: that much free cash flow Blumar S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Blumar S.A it is 175.48 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 328.00 CLP. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Blumar S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BLUMAR trades above its calculated fair value: price 328.00 CLP, fair value 175.48 CLP, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BLUMAR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (328.00 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (175.48 CLP). For Blumar S.A the two are 152.52 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Blumar S.A worth?
The market values Blumar S.A at about 531B CLP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 328.00 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 175.48 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BLUMAR?
Our models span a range for Blumar S.A: cautious scenario 72.16 CLP, base 175.48 CLP, optimistic 263.52 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 328.00 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BLUMAR?
Blumar S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 100.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 175.48 CLP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 9.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Blumar S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.0%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BLUMAR from its 52-week high?
Blumar S.A trades at 328.00 CLP, about 1% below its 52-week high of 330.25 CLP and 59% above the low of 206.51 CLP (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 175.48 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Blumar S.A?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Blumar S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 328.00 CLP, calculated fair value 175.48 CLP (−47%), Quality Score 58/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BLUMAR calculated?
We run Blumar S.A through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 175.48 CLP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Blumar S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 328.00 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 175.48 CLP, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Blumar S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (263.52 CLP). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (72.16 CLP to 263.52 CLP). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Blumar S.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
The market capitalisation of Blumar S.A is 531B CLP (≈ $531M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Blumar S.A is 2.55 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
Earnings per share at Blumar S.A are 3.27 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 100.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
The net margin of Blumar S.A is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Blumar S.A is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Blumar S.A is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
The operating margin of Blumar S.A is 15.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
Revenue at Blumar S.A is growing −8.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Blumar S.A (BLUMAR)?
Earnings per share at Blumar S.A are growing −44.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Blumar S.A (BLUMAR) carry?
The net debt of Blumar S.A is $252M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 48.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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