Banco Macro SA (BMA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Banco Macro SA $74.66, price $72.00, upside +3.7%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.48 – $108.33 · fair‑value band $71.31 – $79.03 · the $72.00 price screens below the $74.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Banco Macro S.A. provides various banking products and services to retail and corporate customers in Argentina.
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Banco Macro S.A. provides various banking products and services to retail and corporate customers in Argentina. It offers various retail banking products and services, such as savings and checking accounts, time deposits, credit and debit cards, consumer finance loans, mortgage loans, automobile loans, overdrafts, credit-related services, home and car insurance coverage, tax collection, utility payments, automated teller machines, and money transfers. The company also provides personal loans, document discounts, residential mortgages, overdrafts, pledged loans, and credit card loans to retail customers. In addition, it offers corporate banking products and services, including deposits, lending, check cashing advances and factoring, guaranteed loans, credit lines for financing foreign trade, and cash management services; and trust, payroll, and financial agency services, as well as corporate credit cards and other specialty products; and working capital facilities, credit for investment projects, and leasing and foreign trade transactions. Further, the company provides transaction services, such as cash management, collection services, payments to suppliers, payroll services, foreign exchange transactions, and foreign trade services; information services to corporate customers; and internet and mobile banking services. Additionally, it offers short-term and medium-to-long-term corporate lending products. Banco Macro S.A. was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Stock analysis
Banco Macro SA B ADR (BMA) currently trades at $72.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $74.66, implying the stock looks roughly 3.6% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 21 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.
Scenario range: $71.31 (bear) to $79.03 (bull), the price of $72.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Banco Macro SA B ADR reported revenue of $5.8T in FY2025 versus $1.7T in FY2021, a compound +36.0%/yr. Reported net income was $337B in FY2025, compounding +24.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $6.3B · P/E ratio 17.4 · P/S ratio 1.01 · EPS (TTM) $4.06 · Dividend yield 5.5% · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 4%, BMA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $71.31Fair Value $74.66Bull $79.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.97 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+56.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+75.6%
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+60.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+39.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+34.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.34% vs 17%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.1% a year for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (90 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1074 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside+4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)69% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Dividend yield (TTM)5.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.29× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Banco Macro SA B ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BMA
Frequently asked questions
Is Banco Macro SA (BMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $74.66 versus a price of $72.00, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BMA?
Our model-based fair value for Banco Macro SA B ADR is $74.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $72.00.
What is the quality score of BMA?
Banco Macro SA B ADR has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $74.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $71.31, optimistic scenario $79.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Banco Macro SA B ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $74.66, about +4% upside versus a price of $72.00 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $71.31, optimistic scenario $79.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
Banco Macro SA B ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.2T (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Banco Macro SA B ADR pay a dividend?
Banco Macro SA B ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.50% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Banco Macro SA B ADR would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +58.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BMA use?
Our models discount Banco Macro SA B ADR at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.50, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Banco Macro SA B ADR that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Banco Macro SA (BMA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Banco Macro SA B ADR grew +58.1 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Banco Macro SA (BMA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Banco Macro SA B ADR (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 33.98 %: that much free cash flow Banco Macro SA B ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Banco Macro SA B ADR it is $74.66 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $72.00. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Banco Macro SA B ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BMA trades below its calculated fair value: price $72.00, fair value $74.66, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BMA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($72.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($74.66). For Banco Macro SA B ADR the two are $2.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Banco Macro SA B ADR worth?
The market values Banco Macro SA B ADR at about $6.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $72.00; our models calculate a fair value of $74.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BMA?
Our models span a range for Banco Macro SA B ADR: cautious scenario $71.31, base $74.66, optimistic $79.03 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $72.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BMA?
Banco Macro SA B ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $74.66 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5.
What is the PEG ratio of BMA?
The PEG ratio of Banco Macro SA B ADR is 0.47 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Banco Macro SA B ADR (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 10.8%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BMA from its 52-week high?
Banco Macro SA B ADR trades at $72.00, about 29% below its 52-week high of $101.71 and 87% above the low of $38.54 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $74.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Banco Macro SA B ADR?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A, HDFC Bank Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Banco Macro SA B ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $72.00, calculated fair value $74.66 (+4%), Quality Score 47/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BMA calculated?
We run Banco Macro SA B ADR through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $74.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Banco Macro SA B ADR currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $72.00. Our model-based fair value is $74.66, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Banco Macro SA B ADR right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band ($71.31 to $79.03), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Banco Macro SA (BMA) come from?
Earnings per share at Banco Macro SA B ADR grew +27.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +46.9 %, EBIT margin +14.8 %, tax rate −1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −22.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Banco Macro SA B ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
The market capitalisation of Banco Macro SA B ADR is $6.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Banco Macro SA B ADR is 1.01 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
Earnings per share at Banco Macro SA B ADR are $4.06 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
The dividend yield of Banco Macro SA B ADR is 5.5% (payout 97.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
The net margin of Banco Macro SA B ADR is 5.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Banco Macro SA B ADR is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Banco Macro SA B ADR is 12.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
The operating margin of Banco Macro SA B ADR is 69.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast are earnings growing at Banco Macro SA (BMA)?
Earnings per share at Banco Macro SA B ADR are growing −27.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Banco Macro SA (BMA) hold?
Banco Macro SA B ADR holds more cash than debt, $2.1T net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Sep 23, 2026