Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for free
Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. manufactures and sells galvanized steel wires in Turkey and internationally. It provides hot-dip galvanized, Zn-AI coated steel, stranded, and black annealed wires. The company serves the automotive, energy, agriculture, construction, environmental protection and security system, and industrial application sectors.
Show more
Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. manufactures and sells galvanized steel wires in Turkey and internationally. It provides hot-dip galvanized, Zn-AI coated steel, stranded, and black annealed wires. The company serves the automotive, energy, agriculture, construction, environmental protection and security system, and industrial application sectors. It also exports its products to approximately 45 countries, including Europe, North American, and South American countries. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL) currently trades at 43.44 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.99 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 171.7% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 10.44 TRY per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the 43.44 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 3.24 TRY, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 10.96 TRY (bear) to 23.83 TRY (bull), the price of 43.44 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 2.5B TRY in FY2025 versus 555M TRY in FY2021, a compound +45.5%/yr. Reported net income was −70.3M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 13.0B TRY (≈ $268M) · P/S ratio 5.05 · EPS (TTM) −0.1200 TRY · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −2.8% · Return on equity −3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2% · Operating margin 1.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −63%, BMSTL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 10.96 TRYFair Value 15.99 TRYBull 23.83 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+38.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.7%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+46.3%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.1% (2020) → 3.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+61.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 407 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.18× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.11× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF2.0× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)56· sector 2
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 47
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BMSTL
Frequently asked questions
Is Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15.99 TRY versus a price of 43.44 TRY, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BMSTL?
Our model-based fair value for Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 15.99 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 43.44 TRY.
What is the quality score of BMSTL?
Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 15.99 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 10.96 TRY, optimistic scenario 23.83 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 15.99 TRY, about −63% upside versus a price of 43.44 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 10.96 TRY, optimistic scenario 23.83 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.6B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS pay a dividend?
Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS would have to grow free cash flow by +61.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 17.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +54.7 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BMSTL use?
Our models discount Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS at 17.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS that is +61.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (17.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS grew +54.7 % a year. The price currently implies +61.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (+61.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.04 %: that much free cash flow Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (17.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS it is 15.99 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 43.44 TRY. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, BMSTL trades above its calculated fair value: price 43.44 TRY, fair value 15.99 TRY, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BMSTL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (43.44 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (15.99 TRY). For Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS the two are 27.45 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS at about 13.0B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 43.44 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 15.99 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BMSTL?
Our models span a range for Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 10.96 TRY, base 15.99 TRY, optimistic 23.83 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 43.44 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −3.8%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BMSTL from its 52-week high?
Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at 43.44 TRY, about 34% below its 52-week high of 66.00 TRY and 59% above the low of 27.30 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 15.99 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, JSW Steel Limited, Steel Dynamics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 43.44 TRY, calculated fair value 15.99 TRY (−63%), Quality Score 43/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BMSTL calculated?
We run Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 15.99 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (23.83 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (10.96 TRY to 23.83 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
The market capitalisation of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 13.0B TRY (≈ $268M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 5.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
Earnings per share at Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are −0.1200 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
The dividend yield of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
The net margin of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −2.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
The operating margin of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
Revenue at Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is growing +11.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL)?
Earnings per share at Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are growing +179% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BMSTL) carry?
The net debt of Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 238M TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS in the live analysis
One click puts Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret AS on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
