Hollywood Bowl Group (BOWL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 472M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from £4.54 to £4.56 (+0.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 61% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (£3.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (£3.09 to £5.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £1.34 – £3.12 · fair‑value band £3.09 – £5.70 · the £2.83 price screens below the £4.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Hollywood Bowl Group (BOWL) currently trades at £2.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £4.56, implying the stock looks roughly 61.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hollywood Bowl Group generated revenue of £263M at a net margin of 12.8%. Revenue grew 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.7%. Net debt stands at £221M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £3.09 (bear case) to £5.70 (bull case); at £2.83, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 61%, BOWL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£4.58) versus Asset-Based (£0.6100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hollywood Bowl Group plc operates ten-pin bowling and mini-golf centers in the United Kingdom and Canada. The company also supplies and installs bowling equipment. It operates centers under the Hollywood Bowl and Splitsville brands. The company also operates family entertainment centre.
Full company description
Hollywood Bowl Group plc operates ten-pin bowling and mini-golf centers in the United Kingdom and Canada. The company also supplies and installs bowling equipment. It operates centers under the Hollywood Bowl and Splitsville brands. The company also operates family entertainment centre. Hollywood Bowl Group plc was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Hemel Hempstead, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hollywood Bowl Group reported revenue of £250M in FY2025 versus £71.9M in FY2021, a compound +36.6%/yr. Reported net income was £34.6M in FY2025, compounding +111.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Leisure · 192 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$74.15 | HK$119.29 | +61% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$160.20 | HK$227.30 | +42% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $42.15 | $16.15 | -62% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Benefit Systems S.A BFT | 5,255 PLN | 3,714 PLN | -29% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥37.82 | ¥39.17 | +4% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
Compare Hollywood Bowl Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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