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Bodycote plc (BOY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GB · Market cap 1.2B GBX

BP Bodycote plc BOY · LSE
Price£6.88
Fair Value£5.34
Upside-22.3%
Quality69/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.35% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range £3.17 – £7.54 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from £5.33 to £5.34 (+0.2%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +41.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 22% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (£3.17 to £7.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£6.94 £2.98 Fair Value £5.34 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £2.98 – £6.94 · fair‑value band £3.17 – £7.54 · the £6.88 price screens above the £5.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Bodycote plc (BOY) currently trades at £6.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £5.34, implying the stock looks roughly 22.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Bodycote plc generated revenue of £727M at a net margin of 7.6%. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at £166M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 26.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £3.17 (bear case) to £7.54 (bull case); at £6.88, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -22%, BOY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £2.57 £3.65 £4.95 80
Residual Income £3.04 £3.24 £3.48 76
Rev-Margin DCF £3.63 £6.15 £8.93 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £2.53 £3.74 £5.27 38
Owner Earnings £2.53 £3.74 £5.28 31
5Y Revenue Exit £3.63 £6.15 £9.31 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £6.02 £10.48 £15.58 41
5Y P/E Exit £3.19 £5.35 £7.54 38
10Y Revenue Exit £3.00 £5.03 £7.65 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £4.51 £7.74 £11.90 37
10Y P/E Exit £2.87 £4.53 £6.45 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £2.20 £5.81 £7.59 54
PEG = 1.0 £1.12 £1.59 £2.07 46
EPV £3.17 £3.68 £4.11 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £1.87 £3.34 £4.64 70
DDM Multi-Stage £1.87 £2.73 £3.52 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £4.85 £6.47 £8.09 63
P/S Multiple £4.12 £5.50 £6.87 58
P/B Multiple £4.12 £5.50 £6.87 55
EV/EBIT £7.29 £9.92 £12.55 53
EV/EBITDA £9.72 £13.16 £16.60 54
EV/Revenue £4.71 £6.99 £9.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £1.89 £2.53 £3.77 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £2.57 £3.65 £4.95 80
Rev-Margin DCF £3.63 £6.15 £8.93 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £3.04 £3.24 £3.48 76
ROIC Compounder £3.17 £3.68 £4.32 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £3.82 £5.45 £7.09 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (£6.47) versus Asset-Based (£2.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 727M GBX
Net margin 7.6%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow 58.9M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 22.1
Operating margin 14.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) £0.3100
Dividend yield 3.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +3,968%
Net debt 166M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bodycote plc provides heat treatment and thermal processing services worldwide. It operates in Specialist Technologies and Precision Heat Treatment divisions.

Full company description

Bodycote plc provides heat treatment and thermal processing services worldwide. It operates in Specialist Technologies and Precision Heat Treatment divisions. The company offers heat treatment services, including altering the microstructure of metals and alloys, which include steel and aluminum to impart properties comprising surface hardness, temperature resistance, ductility, and strength; metal joining services consisting of electron beam welding, HIP diffusion bonding, hydrogen brazing, induction brazing, and furnace/vacuum brazing; and hot isostatic pressing (HIP) services, such as isostatic pressing and HIP supporting services, as well as Powdermet technologies. It also provides surface technologies, which are used to prolong the working life of components and protect from environmental factors, such as corrosion and abrasion. The company's surface technologies include anodising, flame and combustion spraying, high-velocity oxygen fuel coatings, plasma spray, electric arc wire, vapor phase aluminide, liquid and ceramic coatings, and thermochemically formed ceramic coatings to enhance corrosion protection and wear resistance. It serves automotive, aerospace and defense, energy, and general industrial markets. Bodycote plc was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Macclesfield, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bodycote plc reported revenue of £727M in FY2025 versus £616M in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was £54.9M in FY2025, compounding −2.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£727M
Latest YoY
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+7.5%
Revenue +4.2%/yr
FY21 £616M
FY22 £744M
FY23 £803M
FY24 £757M
FY25 £727M
Net income −2.0%/yr
FY21 £59.5M
FY22 £73.7M
FY23 £85.6M
FY24 £20.0M
FY25 £54.9M

BOY screens 22% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bodycote plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BOY

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −22% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.44× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.15× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 26.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.66× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 4 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 34 · sector 28
HEALTH 90 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 67 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €967.60 €212.97 -78%
1SIE 1SIE €284.30 €122.46 -57%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bodycote plc (BOY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £5.34 versus a price of £6.88, about −22% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BOY?
Our model-based fair value for Bodycote plc is £5.34 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £6.88.
What is the quality score of BOY?
Bodycote plc has a Quality Score of 69/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bodycote plc (BOY)?
Bodycote plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £727M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BOY?
The net profit margin of Bodycote plc is about 7.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bodycote plc pay a dividend?
Bodycote plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.86% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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