Big River Industries Limited (BRI) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$136M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from A$2.22 to A$2.12 (−4.5%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, screening 49% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (A$1.32 to A$2.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.15 – A$2.39 · fair‑value band A$1.32 – A$2.94 · the A$1.42 price screens below the A$2.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Big River Industries Limited (BRI) currently trades at A$1.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$2.12, implying the stock looks roughly 49.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Big River Industries Limited generated revenue of A$400M at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue declined 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. Net debt stands at A$53.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$1.32 (bear case) to A$2.94 (bull case); at A$1.42, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at 49%, BRI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$2.91) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.4000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Big River Industries Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, distribution, and retail of timber and building products in Australia and New Zealand. The company operates through Panels and Construction segments.
Full company description
Big River Industries Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, distribution, and retail of timber and building products in Australia and New Zealand. The company operates through Panels and Construction segments. It offers building materials, such as building products, pine framing, fibre cement, LVL, I-beams and laminated beams, structural and decorative hardwoods, plywood, sheet materials, timber moldings, particle board flooring, landscape and fencing supplies, timber flooring and decking, doors, door furniture, external timber cladding, builders' hardware, formwork materials, insulation, and others. The company also provides formwork products, including formply, formwork LVL, PVC wall system, steel reinforcing products, and armourdeck steel decking, as well as formwork accessories; and bridge products comprising engineered plywood bridge decking, girder beams, and structural kerbing. In addition, it offers flooring products, including engineered wood panels, oak flooring, hardwood stair tread, prefinished and uncoated engineered timber, and solid tongue and groove flooring; and flooring accessories consisting of trims/beading/scotia, foam and rubber flooring underlays, aluminum trims, floor coatings, adhesives, fixings/nails, and other products. Further, the company provides plywood products, such as anti-slip, structural appearance grade, hardwood, sound barrier fencing, structural, T&G ply flooring and roofing products, and V-grooved plywood and panelling products; MaxiWall, an autoclaved aerated concrete (AAC) panel; MaxiFloor, an AAC flooring product; and Armourcab, a decorative wood panelling. It sells its products to professional builders, formworkers, construction companies, and building contractors in the residential, non-residential and infrastructure markets. Big River Industries Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Junction Hill, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Big River Industries Limited reported revenue of A$405M in FY2025 versus A$281M in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$14.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $188.80 | $147.92 | -22% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$98.54 | C$51.55 | -48% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $85.93 | $108.78 | +27% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$78.93 | C$96.01 | +22% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $76.06 | $51.92 | -32% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹799.50 | ₹201.01 | -75% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥11.74 | ¥14.78 | +26% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$14.17 | C$4.54 | -68% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$13.45 | C$6.43 | -52% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.05 | ¥0.6700 | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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