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BrilliA Inc (BRIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of BrilliA Inc $0.40, price $1.38, upside -71.0%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
BrilliA Inc
BRIA · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $0.4000 · Strongly overvalued (−71%)
!Quality 29/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −2.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · 0.0% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/13)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range $1.10 – $4.03 · fair‑value band $0.3300 – $0.4600 · the $1.38 price screens above the $0.4000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
BrilliA Inc designs, manufactures, and sells ladies intimate apparel in North America, the European Union, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, and internationally.
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BrilliA Inc designs, manufactures, and sells ladies intimate apparel in North America, the European Union, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, and internationally. The company's products include active, shape, sleep, baby, and swim wear; bra and panties; lingerie; brassiere; bodysuits; dresses; tops; and other products under DIANA, Vanity Fair, Hanes, Wonderbra, Playtex, Bali, Maidenform, Jockey, Lands' End, fleur du mal, Kiki de Montparnasse, and Bra n Things brands. It sells through website, social media, and marketplace platforms like Shopee. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Singapore.
Stock analysis
BrilliA Inc (BRIA) currently trades at $1.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4000, implying the stock looks roughly 244.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.4600 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the $1.38 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.2800, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $0.3300 (bear) to $0.4600 (bull), the price of $1.38 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
BrilliA Inc reported revenue of $49.0M in FY2026 versus $70.9M in FY2022, a compound −8.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$17.0K in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $34.5M · P/E ratio 17.3 · P/S ratio 0.73 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity −0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 19.5% · Operating margin 0.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −71%, BRIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.3300
Fair Value $0.4000
Bull $0.4600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.3700
$0.4300
$0.5400
77
Growth DCF
$0.3800
$0.4400
$0.5400
74
Owner Earnings
$0.4100
$0.4800
$0.6100
72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.3700
$0.4300
$0.5400
77
Owner Earnings
$0.4100
$0.4800
$0.6100
72
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.3400
$0.4000
$0.4800
68
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.4200
$0.5400
$0.6900
71
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.3500
$0.3900
$0.4400
63
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.4000
$0.4800
$0.5600
64
Earnings-Based
EPV
$0.2700
$0.2800
$0.2900
70
Multiples
EV/EBIT
$0.4000
$0.4600
$0.5200
63
EV/EBITDA
$0.5000
$0.6000
$0.7000
64
EV/Revenue
$0.3300
$0.3900
$0.4400
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.2900
$0.3900
$0.5900
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.3800
$0.4400
$0.5400
74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder
$0.2700
$0.2800
$0.2900
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
29/100
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10
Profitability
33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
5
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+43.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +40.6% a year for the price.
BRIA screens 245% overvalued. Compare with Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A →
Compare BrilliA Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Retail · 105 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A ITX | €52.90 | €58.19 | +10% |
| Fast Retailing Co 6288 | HK$33.84 | HK$30.74 | −9% |
| The TJX Companies, Inc TJX | $131.63 | $84.95 | −35% |
| Ross Stores, Inc ROST | $233.98 | $118.41 | −49% |
| Burlington Stores, Inc BURL | $256.85 | $149.57 | −42% |
| Trent Limited TRENT | ₹2,774 | ₹709.49 | −74% |
| lululemon athletica inc., LULU | $102.28 | $299.63 | +193% |
| Aritzia Inc ATZ | C$125.27 | C$137.80 | +10% |
| The Gap, Inc GAP | $21.46 | $36.67 | +71% |
| Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN | $75.02 | $93.78 | +25% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is BrilliA Inc (BRIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4000 versus a price of $1.38, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BRIA?
Our model-based fair value for BrilliA Inc is $0.4000 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.38.
What is the quality score of BRIA?
BrilliA Inc has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4000 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3300, optimistic scenario $0.4600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BrilliA Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4000, about −71% upside versus a price of $1.38 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3300, optimistic scenario $0.4600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
BrilliA Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $49.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, BrilliA Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +43.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew -8.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BRIA use?
Our models discount BrilliA Inc at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For BrilliA Inc that is +43.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has BrilliA Inc (BRIA) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at BrilliA Inc grew -8.8 % a year. The price currently implies +43.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of BrilliA Inc (BRIA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into BrilliA Inc (+43.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.74 %: that much free cash flow BrilliA Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BrilliA Inc it is $0.4000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.38. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BrilliA Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BRIA trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.38, fair value $0.4000, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4000). For BrilliA Inc the two are $0.9800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BrilliA Inc worth?
The market values BrilliA Inc at about $34.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.38; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRIA?
Our models span a range for BrilliA Inc: cautious scenario $0.3300, base $0.4000, optimistic $0.4600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BRIA?
BrilliA Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.4000 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 84.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for BrilliA Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRIA from its 52-week high?
BrilliA Inc trades at $1.38, about 39% below its 52-week high of $2.27 and 25% above the low of $1.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BrilliA Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, Fast Retailing Co, The TJX Companies, Inc, Ross Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BrilliA Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.38, calculated fair value $0.4000 (−71%), Quality Score 29/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRIA calculated?
We run BrilliA Inc through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. BrilliA Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $1.38. Our model-based fair value is $0.4000, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BrilliA Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.4600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of BrilliA Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
The market capitalisation of BrilliA Inc is $34.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BrilliA Inc is 0.73 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
Earnings per share at BrilliA Inc are $−0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
The net margin of BrilliA Inc is 0.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BrilliA Inc is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BrilliA Inc is 19.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
The operating margin of BrilliA Inc is 0.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
Revenue at BrilliA Inc is growing −34.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BrilliA Inc (BRIA)?
Earnings per share at BrilliA Inc are growing −96.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does BrilliA Inc (BRIA) hold?
BrilliA Inc holds more cash than debt, $3.6M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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